Várda SE vs Ferencváros: match statistics
Ferencváros clearly dominates this matchup in all key statistics. The visitors are in 2nd place in the table with an impressive record of 77% away wins, while Várda SE sit in 6th place with just a 54% home win rate. Ferencváros are in significantly better form, having scored 12 goals in their last 5 matches (averaging 2 goals per away game) while conceding only 6, and their away goal difference (+16) is far superior to the hosts' home difference (+2). Furthermore, the visitors boast higher average xG (1.7 vs 1.38), better shot accuracy (14% vs 12%), and higher average possession (55% vs 52%). Várda SE concede an average of 1.31 goals per home match, which, when facing Ferencváros's offensive power, points to an away victory. Taking all these factors into account, an away win for Ferencváros is the most likely outcome.
Várda SE vs Ferencváros: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Várda SE played Ferencváros in NB I (Hungary). The match was played on 22 March 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Várda SE: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Ferencváros: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Várda SE scores 1.23 and concedes 1.50 goals per match. Ferencváros scores 1.96 and concedes 1.08. League average: 2.97 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Várda SE 46%, Ferencváros 64%. Over 2.5: Várda SE 50%, Ferencváros 72%. League level: BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 59%.
xG, shots and style
Ferencváros has higher xG: 1.95 vs 1.29. Várda SE: 10.9 shots per match, Ferencváros: 16.2.
Match halves
Várda SE: half-time lead 23%, second-half goals 0.62. Ferencváros: half-time lead 52%, second-half goals 0.92.
Goals by minute
Várda SE: 16-30 (8 goals). Ferencváros: 76-90+ (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
NB I: 2.97 goals per match, BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 59%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-2. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Ferencváros clearly dominates this matchup in all key statistics. The visitors are in 2nd place in the table with an impressive record of 77% away wins, while Várda SE sit in 6th place with just a 54% home win rate. Ferencváros are in significantly better form, having scored 12 goals in their last 5 matches (averaging 2 goals per away game) while conceding only 6, and their away goal difference (+16) is far superior to the hosts' home difference (+2). Furthermore, the visitors boast higher average xG (1.7 vs 1.38), better shot accuracy (14% vs 12%), and higher average possession (55% vs 52%). Várda SE concede an average of 1.31 goals per home match, which, when facing Ferencváros's offensive power, points to an away victory. Taking all these factors into account, an away win for Ferencváros is the most likely outcome.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Várda SE | Ferencváros | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Ferencváros is 71% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Várda SE · 2.4 pts / match - Ferencváros
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ferencváros is 59% better for: goals scored per match.
1.23 goals / match - Várda SE · 1.96 goals / match - Ferencváros
Ferencváros is 39% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.5 goals / match - Várda SE · 1.08 goals / match - Ferencváros
Várda SE scores in 73% of matches (19 of 26 matches), while Ferencváros keeps a clean sheet in 32% (8 of 25 matches).
Ferencváros scores in 96% of matches (24 of 25 matches), while Várda SE keeps a clean sheet in 31% (8 of 26 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Várda SE
Over / Under - Ferencváros
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Ferencváros is 70% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.15 pts / match - Várda SE · 1.96 pts / match - Ferencváros
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Várda SE - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 23% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Ferencváros - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 52% of matches and wins 60%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.60 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +6 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (8 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Várda SE
Ferencváros
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NB I).
Teams vs league
| Várda SE | Liga | Ferencváros | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.73 | 2.97 | • 3.04 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 46% | 62% | ▲ 64% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 59% | ▲ 72% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 31% | 21% | ▲ 32% |
| Goal before half-time | • 69% | 68% | ▲ 72% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 77% | 88% | ▲ 92% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Várda SE 0 - 0 - 2 Ferencváros. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Várda SE vs Ferencváros?
The NB I match finished Várda SE 1:1 Ferencváros. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Várda SE and Ferencváros?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Várda SE won 0, Ferencváros won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Várda SE vs Ferencváros?
Várda SE score 1.23 goals per game on average and Ferencváros 1.96. The NB I average is 2.97 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 59% of games. Both teams score in 46% of Várda SE's matches and 64% of Ferencváros's.
What form are Várda SE and Ferencváros in?
Over the last 5 games Várda SE have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Ferencváros 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Várda SE vs Ferencváros?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Várda SE vs Ferencváros: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.