Várda SE vs Kazincbarcika: match statistics
Várda SE presents solid home form with a 40% win rate and a -1 goal difference at their own stadium, indicating competitive play. Kazincbarcika has very poor results on the road, losing as many as 70% of matches and holding a -13 goal difference, making them one of the weakest away teams in the league. xG statistics show an advantage for the hosts (1.38 vs 1.03), as well as a significantly better average of shots on target (4 vs 2.8) and possession (52% vs 40%). Recent form for both teams is similar, but home advantage and Várda's clearly better defensive stats in home matches (1.6 vs 2.3 goals conceded on average) favor the hosts. Considering all factors, a victory for Várda SE is the most likely scenario, although the weaker form over the last five matches (1 PPG) and the visitors' ability to snatch sporadic wins (20% rate) leave room for a draw or an upset.
Várda SE vs Kazincbarcika: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Várda SE played Kazincbarcika in NB I (Hungary). The match was played on 6 February 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Várda SE: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Kazincbarcika: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Várda SE scores 1.25 and concedes 1.65 goals per match. Kazincbarcika scores 1.00 and concedes 2.00. League average: 3.03 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Várda SE 45%, Kazincbarcika 60%. Over 2.5: Várda SE 50%, Kazincbarcika 70%. League level: BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 59%.
xG, shots and style
Várda SE has higher xG: 1.31 vs 1.10. Várda SE: 11.2 shots per match, Kazincbarcika: 9.1.
Match halves
Várda SE: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.65. Kazincbarcika: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.35.
Goals by minute
Várda SE: 16-30 (5 goals). Kazincbarcika: 16-30 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
NB I: 3.03 goals per match, BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 59%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Várda SE presents solid home form with a 40% win rate and a -1 goal difference at their own stadium, indicating competitive play. Kazincbarcika has very poor results on the road, losing as many as 70% of matches and holding a -13 goal difference, making them one of the weakest away teams in the league. xG statistics show an advantage for the hosts (1.38 vs 1.03), as well as a significantly better average of shots on target (4 vs 2.8) and possession (52% vs 40%). Recent form for both teams is similar, but home advantage and Várda's clearly better defensive stats in home matches (1.6 vs 2.3 goals conceded on average) favor the hosts. Considering all factors, a victory for Várda SE is the most likely scenario, although the weaker form over the last five matches (1 PPG) and the visitors' ability to snatch sporadic wins (20% rate) leave room for a draw or an upset.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Várda SE | Kazincbarcika | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Várda SE is 67% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Várda SE · 0.6 pts / match - Kazincbarcika
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Várda SE is 25% better for: goals scored per match.
1.25 goals / match - Várda SE · 1 goals / match - Kazincbarcika
Várda SE is 21% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.65 goals / match - Várda SE · 2 goals / match - Kazincbarcika
Várda SE scores in 70% of matches (14 of 20 matches), while Kazincbarcika keeps a clean sheet in 10% (2 of 20 matches).
Kazincbarcika scores in 70% of matches (14 of 20 matches), while Várda SE keeps a clean sheet in 30% (6 of 20 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Várda SE
Over / Under - Kazincbarcika
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Várda SE is 5% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.1 pts / match - Várda SE · 1.05 pts / match - Kazincbarcika
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Várda SE - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Kazincbarcika - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 20%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -4 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (5 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -12 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Várda SE
Kazincbarcika
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NB I).
Teams vs league
| Várda SE | Liga | Kazincbarcika | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.90 | 3.03 | • 3.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 45% | 61% | • 60% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 59% | ▲ 70% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 30% | 21% | ▼ 10% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 65% | 68% | ▲ 70% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 80% | 89% | ▼ 85% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Várda SE 1 - 0 - 0 Kazincbarcika. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Várda SE vs Kazincbarcika?
The NB I match finished Várda SE 1:0 Kazincbarcika. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Várda SE vs Kazincbarcika?
Várda SE score 1.25 goals per game on average and Kazincbarcika 1.00. The NB I average is 3.03 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 59% of games. Both teams score in 45% of Várda SE's matches and 60% of Kazincbarcika's.
What form are Várda SE and Kazincbarcika in?
Over the last 5 games Várda SE have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Kazincbarcika 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Várda SE vs Kazincbarcika?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.