Várda SE vs MTK: match statistics
Várda SE demonstrates significantly better home form with a 44% win rate and a goal difference of 0 at their own stadium, whereas MTK displays a disastrous away disposition with only 11% wins and a negative balance of -14 goals. The visitors have not kept a single clean sheet on the road and have lost 67% of their matches, conceding an average of 2.33 goals per game. The form of the last five matches also favors the hosts - Várda earned 1.4 points per game, while MTK managed only 0.2 points, currently enduring a catastrophic streak of four consecutive defeats. xG statistics show that MTK creates more chances than they convert (1.55 xG vs 0.78 actual goals), suggesting finishing issues. Considering all these factors, especially the hosts' home advantage and the visitors' dismal away form, Várda SE has a clear edge to secure three points.
Várda SE vs MTK: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Várda SE played MTK in NB I (Hungary). The match was played on 24 January 2026. Final score: 2:3.
Current form
Várda SE: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. MTK: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Várda SE scores 1.22 and concedes 1.61 goals per match. MTK scores 1.83 and concedes 2.06. League average: 3.06 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Várda SE 39%, MTK 61%. Over 2.5: Várda SE 50%, MTK 72%. League level: BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 60%.
xG, shots and style
MTK has higher xG: 1.60 vs 1.30. Várda SE: 11.0 shots per match, MTK: 13.7.
Match halves
Várda SE: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.61. MTK: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 1.11.
Goals by minute
Várda SE: 16-30 (4 goals). MTK: 46-60 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
NB I: 3.06 goals per match, BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 60%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Várda SE demonstrates significantly better home form with a 44% win rate and a goal difference of 0 at their own stadium, whereas MTK displays a disastrous away disposition with only 11% wins and a negative balance of -14 goals. The visitors have not kept a single clean sheet on the road and have lost 67% of their matches, conceding an average of 2.33 goals per game. The form of the last five matches also favors the hosts - Várda earned 1.4 points per game, while MTK managed only 0.2 points, currently enduring a catastrophic streak of four consecutive defeats. xG statistics show that MTK creates more chances than they convert (1.55 xG vs 0.78 actual goals), suggesting finishing issues. Considering all these factors, especially the hosts' home advantage and the visitors' dismal away form, Várda SE has a clear edge to secure three points.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Várda SE | MTK | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Várda SE is 600% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Várda SE · 0.2 pts / match - MTK
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
MTK is 50% better for: goals scored per match.
1.22 goals / match - Várda SE · 1.83 goals / match - MTK
Várda SE is 28% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.61 goals / match - Várda SE · 2.06 goals / match - MTK
Várda SE scores in 67% of matches (12 of 18 matches), while MTK keeps a clean sheet in 22% (4 of 18 matches).
MTK scores in 83% of matches (15 of 18 matches), while Várda SE keeps a clean sheet in 33% (6 of 18 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Várda SE
Over / Under - MTK
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Várda SE is 17% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.17 pts / match - Várda SE · 1 pts / match - MTK
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Várda SE - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
MTK - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 2.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 0% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -8 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Várda SE
MTK
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NB I).
Teams vs league
| Várda SE | Liga | MTK | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.83 | 3.06 | ▲ 3.89 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 39% | 61% | • 61% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 60% | ▲ 72% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 22% | • 22% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 61% | 70% | ▲ 89% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 78% | 88% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Várda SE 0 - 0 - 1 MTK. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Várda SE vs MTK?
The NB I match finished Várda SE 2:3 MTK. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Várda SE vs MTK?
Várda SE score 1.22 goals per game on average and MTK 1.83. The NB I average is 3.06 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 60% of games. Both teams score in 39% of Várda SE's matches and 61% of MTK's.
What form are Várda SE and MTK in?
Over the last 5 games Várda SE have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and MTK 0-1-4 (0.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Várda SE vs MTK?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Várda SE vs MTK: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.