Varzim vs Amarante: match statistics
Varzim demonstrates significantly better offensive form at their home ground, averaging 1.67 goals per home match with a shot conversion rate of 14%, which is twice as high as that of the visitors. Amarante has serious problems scoring goals away from home – an average of just 0.78 goals per away match and 56% of matches without a goal are alarming statistics. The home side holds an advantage in ball possession (50% vs 41%) and registers significantly more shots on target (4.67 vs 2.56), indicative of their dominance in chance creation. Varzim's goal difference at home stands at +8, while Amarante has a neutral goal difference of 0 on the road, further supporting the hosts. Although both teams are in decent recent form, Varzim's statistical superiority at home and the visitors' offensive weakness away point to a likely victory for the home side.
Varzim vs Amarante: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Varzim played Amarante in Liga 3 (Portugal). The match was played on 7 February 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Varzim: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Amarante: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Varzim scores 1.44 and concedes 0.94 goals per match. Amarante scores 1.06 and concedes 0.94. League average: 2.14 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Varzim 56%, Amarante 33%. Over 2.5: Varzim 44%, Amarante 33%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 35%.
xG, shots and style
Varzim has higher xG: 1.33 vs 1.05. Varzim: 10.1 shots per match, Amarante: 8.1.
Match halves
Varzim: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.78. Amarante: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.72.
Goals by minute
Varzim: 76-90+ (7 goals). Amarante: 76-90+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga 3: 2.14 goals per match, BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 35%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-0. Average goals 0.50, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Varzim demonstrates significantly better offensive form at their home ground, averaging 1.67 goals per home match with a shot conversion rate of 14%, which is twice as high as that of the visitors. Amarante has serious problems scoring goals away from home – an average of just 0.78 goals per away match and 56% of matches without a goal are alarming statistics. The home side holds an advantage in ball possession (50% vs 41%) and registers significantly more shots on target (4.67 vs 2.56), indicative of their dominance in chance creation. Varzim's goal difference at home stands at +8, while Amarante has a neutral goal difference of 0 on the road, further supporting the hosts. Although both teams are in decent recent form, Varzim's statistical superiority at home and the visitors' offensive weakness away point to a likely victory for the home side.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Varzim | Amarante | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.38 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Amarante is 22% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Varzim · 2.2 pts / match - Amarante
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Varzim is 36% better for: goals scored per match.
1.44 goals / match - Varzim · 1.06 goals / match - Amarante
Varzim scores in 72% of matches (13 of 18 matches), while Amarante keeps a clean sheet in 44% (8 of 18 matches).
Amarante scores in 61% of matches (11 of 18 matches), while Varzim keeps a clean sheet in 28% (5 of 18 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Varzim
Over / Under - Amarante
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Varzim is 31% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.39 pts / match - Varzim · 1.06 pts / match - Amarante
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Varzim - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 39%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Amarante - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Varzim
Amarante
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga 3).
Teams vs league
| Varzim | Liga | Amarante | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.39 | 2.14 | ▼ 2.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 56% | 46% | ▼ 33% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 44% | 35% | ▼ 33% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 28% | 33% | ▲ 44% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 72% | 62% | ▼ 56% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 78% | 73% | • 72% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Varzim 1 - 1 - 0 Amarante. Average goals 0.50, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Varzim vs Amarante?
The Liga 3 match finished Varzim 2:1 Amarante. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Varzim and Amarante?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Varzim won 1, Amarante won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 0.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Varzim vs Amarante?
Varzim score 1.44 goals per game on average and Amarante 1.06. The Liga 3 average is 2.14 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 35% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Varzim's matches and 33% of Amarante's.
What form are Varzim and Amarante in?
Over the last 5 games Varzim have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Amarante 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Varzim vs Amarante?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Varzim vs Amarante: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.