Varzim vs Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF: match statistics
Varzim presents impressive home form with 55% wins and only 9% losses on their own ground, giving them a clear psychological advantage. The hosts additionally have a better goal difference at home (+11 goal difference) and higher shooting efficiency (15% vs 16% for visitors, but with more attempts - 11.18 shots/match). Académica Coimbra performs much worse on the road, winning only 20% of matches and conceding an average of 1.4 goals per match, which, combined with a poor 10% clean sheet rate, signals defensive problems. Recent form for both teams is similar (1.8 pts/match each), but Varzim shows great disposition in their last five home matches with a 'wdddwdwlwww' streak. Taking all factors into account, the hosts' advantage is clear, although Académica's experience and decent possession (52%) could make the match competitive, hence a moderate probability of a Varzim victory.
Varzim vs Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Varzim played Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF in Liga 3 (Portugal). The match was played on 7 March 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Varzim: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Varzim scores 1.36 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF scores 1.67 and concedes 1.05. League average: 2.20 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Varzim 50%, Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF 57%. Over 2.5: Varzim 45%, Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF 38%. League level: BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 38%.
xG, shots and style
Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF has higher xG: 1.35 vs 1.25. Varzim: 9.3 shots per match, Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF: 9.7.
Match halves
Varzim: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 0.68. Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.90.
Goals by minute
Varzim: 76-90+ (8 goals). Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF: 31-45+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga 3: 2.20 goals per match, BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 38%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Varzim presents impressive home form with 55% wins and only 9% losses on their own ground, giving them a clear psychological advantage. The hosts additionally have a better goal difference at home (+11 goal difference) and higher shooting efficiency (15% vs 16% for visitors, but with more attempts - 11.18 shots/match). Académica Coimbra performs much worse on the road, winning only 20% of matches and conceding an average of 1.4 goals per match, which, combined with a poor 10% clean sheet rate, signals defensive problems. Recent form for both teams is similar (1.8 pts/match each), but Varzim shows great disposition in their last five home matches with a 'wdddwdwlwww' streak. Taking all factors into account, the hosts' advantage is clear, although Académica's experience and decent possession (52%) could make the match competitive, hence a moderate probability of a Varzim victory.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Varzim | Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 44% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.39 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF is 23% better for: goals scored per match.
1.36 goals / match - Varzim · 1.67 goals / match - Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF
Varzim is 5% better for: goals conceded per match.
1 goals / match - Varzim · 1.05 goals / match - Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF
Varzim scores in 68% of matches (15 of 22 matches), while Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF keeps a clean sheet in 29% (6 of 21 matches).
Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF scores in 81% of matches (17 of 21 matches), while Varzim keeps a clean sheet in 27% (6 of 22 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Varzim
Over / Under - Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Varzim is 9% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.45 pts / match - Varzim · 1.33 pts / match - Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Varzim - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 41%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Varzim
Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga 3).
Teams vs league
| Varzim | Liga | Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.36 | 2.20 | ▲ 2.71 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 50% | 47% | ▲ 57% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 45% | 38% | • 38% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 27% | 32% | ▼ 29% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 73% | 65% | ▲ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 77% | 73% | ▲ 86% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Associação Académica de Coimbra OAFSubstitutionOn: Jean Carlos Sinisterra AnguloOff: António Luís Cavaco Silva Sá Montez
- Associação Académica de Coimbra OAFSubstitutionOn: António Manuel Pereira XavierOff: Jean Carlos Sinisterra Angulo
- Associação Académica de Coimbra OAFSubstitutionOn: Marco João Costa BaixinhoOff: Beni Yvan Roy Loussakou Souza
FAQ
What was the result of Varzim vs Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF?
The Liga 3 match finished Varzim 0:1 Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Varzim vs Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF?
Varzim score 1.36 goals per game on average and Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF 1.67. The Liga 3 average is 2.20 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 38% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Varzim's matches and 57% of Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF's.
What form are Varzim and Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF in?
Over the last 5 games Varzim have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Varzim vs Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.