Portugal - Liga 3Estádio do Varzim Sport ClubData current as of 02 September 2026

Varzim vs Paredes: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Varzim vs Paredes: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Varzim play Paredes in Liga 3 (Portugal). The match date is 5 September 2026. Venue: Estádio do Varzim Sport Club.

Current form

Varzim: 3-0-0, 3.00 points/match. Paredes: 2-0-1, 2.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Varzim scores 2.33 and concedes 0.67 goals per match. Paredes scores 1.67 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.47 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Varzim 67%, Paredes 67%. Over 2.5: Varzim 67%, Paredes 67%. League level: BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 43%.

xG, shots and style

Paredes has higher xG: 2.01 vs 1.52. Varzim: 11.7 shots per match, Paredes: 16.7.

Match halves

Varzim: half-time lead 100%, second-half goals 0.67. Paredes: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.67.

Goals by minute

Varzim: 0-15 (2 goals). Paredes: 16-30 (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Liga 3: 2.47 goals per match, BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 43%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-2-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 50%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

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Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

2.33Goals scored / match1.67
VarzimParedes
0.67Goals conceded / match1
VarzimParedes
51%Average possession57%
VarzimParedes
5.67Shots on target / match6.33
VarzimParedes

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

11.67Shots per match16.67
VarzimParedes
5.67Shots on target6.33
VarzimParedes
20%Shot conversion10%
VarzimParedes
51%Possession57%
VarzimParedes
1.52xG for2.01
VarzimParedes
1.3xG against1.11
VarzimParedes

Shooting quality

Varzim: Efficient finishingParedes: Dominant
VarzimParedes
Accuracy (shots on target)49%38%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.410.26

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Varzim is 50% better for: last-5 form.

3 pts / match - Varzim · 2 pts / match - Paredes

Varzim
WWW
5 wins in a row
Season result split
100% W0% R0% P
Season (W-D-L)
3-0-0
3.00 pts / match · goal difference +5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-0
3.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-0-0
Last 5 at home
1-0-0
W
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.3Goals conceded: 0.7xG: 1.52Opponent xG: 1.30BTTS: 67%Over 2.5: 67%
Paredes
WWL
Season result split
67% W0% R33% P
Season (W-D-L)
2-0-1
2.00 pts / match · goal difference +2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-1
2.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-0-0
Last 5 away
1-0-0
W
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.7Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 2.01Opponent xG: 1.11BTTS: 67%Over 2.5: 67%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Varzim is 40% better for: goals scored per match.

2.33 goals / match - Varzim · 1.67 goals / match - Paredes

Varzim is 49% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.67 goals / match - Varzim · 1 goals / match - Paredes

Varzim scoring profile: very strong

Varzim scores in 100% of matches (3 of 3 matches), while Paredes keeps a clean sheet in 33% (1 of 3 matches).

Paredes scoring profile: very strong

Paredes scores in 100% of matches (3 of 3 matches), while Varzim keeps a clean sheet in 33% (1 of 3 matches).

7Goals scored (season)5
VarzimParedes
2Goals conceded (season)3
VarzimParedes
3Average goals in match2.67
VarzimParedes
7Goals scored (last 5)5
VarzimParedes
2Goals conceded (last 5)3
VarzimParedes

How often they score at least...

100%1 goal100%
VarzimParedes
67%2 goals33%
VarzimParedes
33%3 goals33%
VarzimParedes
33%4 goals0%
VarzimParedes

How often they concede at least...

67%1 goal67%
VarzimParedes
0%2 goals33%
VarzimParedes
0%3 goals0%
VarzimParedes
0%4 goals0%
VarzimParedes

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

33%BTTS at half-time33%
VarzimParedes
0%BTTS in both halves0%
VarzimParedes
33%Scored in both halves33%
VarzimParedes

BTTS and goal count

67%Min. 3 goals and BTTS67%
VarzimParedes
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
VarzimParedes
67%BTTS - last 567%
VarzimParedes

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

100%Min. 1 goal before half-time67%
VarzimParedes
67%Min. 2 goals before half-time67%
VarzimParedes
33%Min. 3 goals before half-time33%
VarzimParedes

2nd half

67%Min. 1 goal after half-time67%
VarzimParedes
33%Min. 2 goals after half-time33%
VarzimParedes
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
VarzimParedes

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Varzim is 126% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

3 pts / match - Varzim · 1.33 pts / match - Paredes

Varzim - half-time state
100% leading0% draw0% trailing
Paredes - half-time state
33% leading33% draw33% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

3Points per match (1st half)1.33
VarzimParedes
1.67Goals scored (1st half)1
VarzimParedes
0.33Goals conceded (1st half)0.67
VarzimParedes
2Average goals (1st half)1.67
VarzimParedes
67%Clean sheet before half-time67%
VarzimParedes
0%No goal before half-time33%
VarzimParedes

After half-time (2nd half)

1.33Points per match (2nd half)1.67
VarzimParedes
0.67Goals scored (2nd half)0.67
VarzimParedes
0.33Goals conceded (2nd half)0.33
VarzimParedes
1Average goals (2nd half)1
VarzimParedes
67%Clean sheet after half-time67%
VarzimParedes
67%No goal after half-time33%
VarzimParedes

Varzim - second-half results

33% W33% R33% P
9
Half-time points
5
Half-time goals
+4
Goal difference (1st half)
4
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
3.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 100% of matches and wins 100%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Paredes - second-half results

33% W67% R0% P
4
Half-time points
3
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
5
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.33
PPG before half-time
Lead holding203%

Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 67%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.3

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Varzim - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match3.001.33
Goals scored / match1.70.7
Goals conceded / match0.30.3
Average goals in match2.01.0
1 goal100%67%
2 goals67%33%
3 goals33%0%
Clean sheet67%67%
No goal0%67%
Goal difference+4+1
Half-time: 100% leading - 0% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 33% won - 33% draw - 33% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 33% - Half-time goals total: 5
Paredes - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.331.67
Goals scored / match1.00.7
Goals conceded / match0.70.3
Average goals in match1.71.0
1 goal67%67%
2 goals67%33%
3 goals33%0%
Clean sheet67%67%
No goal33%33%
Goal difference+1+1
Half-time: 33% leading - 33% draw - 33% trailing
2nd half: 33% won - 67% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 33% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Varzim
ScoredConceded
2
0
0-15
1
0
16-30
2
1
31-45
0
0
46-60
1
1
61-75
1
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (2 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

Paredes
ScoredConceded
1
1
0-15
2
1
16-30
0
0
31-45
1
0
46-60
0
1
61-75
1
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (2 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.83
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.7 : 1.2
Estimated goal split
home : away
115%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
67%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-29%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
100%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Varzim

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.22
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+1.44
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.81
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.63
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
166%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
63%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-1.0
Late goals
14% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 29% come in the first quarter-hour.
14%

Paredes

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.90
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.23
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.34
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.11
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
156%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
71%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.3
Late goals
20% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 20% come in the first quarter-hour.
20%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga 3).

Teams vs league

VarzimLigaParedes
Average goals in match 3.002.47 2.67
Both teams scored 67%47% 67%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 67%43% 67%
Clean sheets 33%33% 33%
Goal before half-time 100%63% 67%
Goal after half-time 67%67% 67%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.47
Average goals per match
47%
Both teams scored
43%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
33%
Clean sheets
1.40
Home goals / match
1.07
Away goals / match
+31%
Home attack advantage
+24%
Home defence advantage
+13%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
63%
1 goal
33%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
67%
1 goal
43%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
3%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Varzim 0 - 2 - 0 Paredes. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.

USC Paredes
0 : 0
Varzim SC
Varzim SC
2 : 2
USC Paredes

FAQ

When do Varzim and Paredes play?

Varzim face Paredes on 5 September 2026 in Liga 3 at Estádio do Varzim Sport Club. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Varzim and Paredes?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Varzim won 0, Paredes won 0 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Varzim vs Paredes?

Varzim score 2.33 goals per game on average and Paredes 1.67. The Liga 3 average is 2.47 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 43% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Varzim's matches and 67% of Paredes's.

What form are Varzim and Paredes in?

Over the last 5 games Varzim have a 3-0-0 record (3.00 points per game) and Paredes 2-0-1 (2.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Varzim vs Paredes?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Varzim vs Paredes: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.