Vasco da Gama vs Atlético Mineiro: match statistics
Vasco da Gama vs Atlético Mineiro: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Vasco da Gama play Atlético Mineiro in Serie A (Brazil). The match date is 31 May 2026 at 21:00. Venue: Estádio Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Vasco da Gama: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. Atlético Mineiro: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Vasco da Gama scores 1.16 and concedes 1.58 goals per match. Atlético Mineiro scores 1.21 and concedes 1.26. League average: 2.65 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Vasco da Gama 68%, Atlético Mineiro 42%. Over 2.5: Vasco da Gama 58%, Atlético Mineiro 42%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
Vasco da Gama has higher xG: 1.85 vs 1.45. Vasco da Gama: 17.6 shots per match, Atlético Mineiro: 13.6.
Match halves
Vasco da Gama: half-time lead 16%, second-half goals 0.84. Atlético Mineiro: half-time lead 37%, second-half goals 0.53.
Goals by minute
Vasco da Gama: 76-90+ (7 goals). Atlético Mineiro: 16-30 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie A: 2.65 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
2 H2H matches: 0-1-1. Average goals 3.50, BTTS 50%.
Match description
Vasco da Gama holds a clear advantage in chance creation and quality at home: home average xG is 2.04 with 6.22 shots on target and 18.44 shots per match, while Atlético away posts xG 1.39, 3.89 shots on target and 13 shots. The hosts average 1.33 goals per home match and maintain 56% possession, whereas the visitors score only 0.89 on average and have 51% possession on the road; additionally Vasco fail to score in 22% of home games, and Atlético fail to score in 67% of away matches. However, recent form favors Atlético — the visitors average 1.8 points per match over their last five games with 3 wins in that period, while Vasco manage just 0.8 points and one win. A critical warning for the hosts is their weak defense in the short term: Vasco have conceded 12 goals in the last 5 matches (2.4 per match), compared to 4 conceded by Atlético (0.8 per match), which lowers confidence in the forecast. Considering Vasco’s seasonal attacking superiority (xG 2.04 vs 1.39) but also their recent defensive issues, I tip a home win (1) with probabilities: 50% home win, 25% draw, 25% Atlético win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Vasco da Gama | Atlético Mineiro | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.22 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Atlético Mineiro is 167% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Vasco da Gama · 1.6 pts / match - Atlético Mineiro
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Atlético Mineiro is 25% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.58 goals / match - Vasco da Gama · 1.26 goals / match - Atlético Mineiro
Vasco da Gama scores in 74% of matches (14 of 19 matches), while Atlético Mineiro keeps a clean sheet in 21% (4 of 19 matches).
Atlético Mineiro scores in 63% of matches (12 of 19 matches), while Vasco da Gama keeps a clean sheet in 5% (1 of 19 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Vasco da Gama
Over / Under — Atlético Mineiro
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Atlético Mineiro is 86% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.79 pts / match - Vasco da Gama · 1.47 pts / match - Atlético Mineiro
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Vasco da Gama - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 16% of matches and wins 26%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Atlético Mineiro - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 37% of matches and wins 37%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (5 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Vasco da Gama
Atlético Mineiro
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| Vasco da Gama | Liga | Atlético Mineiro | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.74 | 2.65 | ▼ 2.47 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 68% | 59% | ▼ 42% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 58% | 50% | ▼ 42% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 5% | 23% | ▼ 21% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 79% | 77% | ▲ 79% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 74% | 78% | • 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Vasco da Gama 0 - 1 - 1 Atlético Mineiro. Average goals 3.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Vasco da Gama vs Atlético Mineiro?
The Serie A match finished Vasco da Gama 0:1 Atlético Mineiro. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Vasco da Gama and Atlético Mineiro?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Vasco da Gama won 0, Atlético Mineiro won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Vasco da Gama vs Atlético Mineiro?
Vasco da Gama score 1.16 goals per game on average and Atlético Mineiro 1.21. The Serie A average is 2.65 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 68% of Vasco da Gama's matches and 42% of Atlético Mineiro's.
What form are Vasco da Gama and Atlético Mineiro in?
Over the last 5 games Vasco da Gama have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Atlético Mineiro 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Vasco da Gama vs Atlético Mineiro?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.