Vasco da Gama vs Grêmio: match statistics
Vasco da Gama displays solid home form with a 50% win rate at home and a positive goal difference (+1) at their own stadium. The hosts dominate in offensive parameters in home matches, averaging 2.34 xG and 7.25 shots on target per match, indicating high efficiency in creating chances. Grêmio, on the other hand, displays very poor away results – they have not won any away match this season (0% Win%), and their average xG away is only 1.04 with 2.67 shots on target per match. Additionally, the visitors' negative goal difference (-3) and the fact that they lose 67% of their away matches significantly reduce their chances of a favorable outcome. Considering Vasco's advantage in possession (58% vs 52%) and their better form in the last five overall matches (1.6 PPG vs 1.8 PPG, albeit similar), the hosts appear to be the favorites in this encounter.
Vasco da Gama vs Grêmio: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Vasco da Gama played Grêmio in Serie A (Brazil). The match was played on 22 March 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Vasco da Gama: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Grêmio: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Vasco da Gama scores 1.57 and concedes 1.71 goals per match. Grêmio scores 1.71 and concedes 1.43. League average: 2.65 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Vasco da Gama 86%, Grêmio 71%. Over 2.5: Vasco da Gama 71%, Grêmio 43%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 46%.
xG, shots and style
Vasco da Gama has higher xG: 1.98 vs 1.40. Vasco da Gama: 19.0 shots per match, Grêmio: 12.7.
Match halves
Vasco da Gama: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 1.29. Grêmio: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 1.14.
Goals by minute
Vasco da Gama: 46-60 (4 goals). Grêmio: 46-60 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie A: 2.65 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 46%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Vasco da Gama displays solid home form with a 50% win rate at home and a positive goal difference (+1) at their own stadium. The hosts dominate in offensive parameters in home matches, averaging 2.34 xG and 7.25 shots on target per match, indicating high efficiency in creating chances. Grêmio, on the other hand, displays very poor away results – they have not won any away match this season (0% Win%), and their average xG away is only 1.04 with 2.67 shots on target per match. Additionally, the visitors' negative goal difference (-3) and the fact that they lose 67% of their away matches significantly reduce their chances of a favorable outcome. Considering Vasco's advantage in possession (58% vs 52%) and their better form in the last five overall matches (1.6 PPG vs 1.8 PPG, albeit similar), the hosts appear to be the favorites in this encounter.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Vasco da Gama | Grêmio | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Grêmio is 14% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Vasco da Gama · 1.6 pts / match - Grêmio
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Grêmio is 9% better for: goals scored per match.
1.57 goals / match - Vasco da Gama · 1.71 goals / match - Grêmio
Grêmio is 20% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.71 goals / match - Vasco da Gama · 1.43 goals / match - Grêmio
Vasco da Gama scores in 86% of matches (6 of 7 matches), while Grêmio keeps a clean sheet in 14% (1 of 7 matches).
Grêmio scores in 86% of matches (6 of 7 matches), while Vasco da Gama keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 7 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Vasco da Gama
Over / Under - Grêmio
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Grêmio is 200% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.43 pts / match - Vasco da Gama · 1.29 pts / match - Grêmio
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Vasco da Gama - second-half results
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Grêmio - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.20 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -4 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Vasco da Gama
Grêmio
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| Vasco da Gama | Liga | Grêmio | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.29 | 2.65 | ▲ 3.14 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 86% | 58% | ▲ 71% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 71% | 46% | ▼ 43% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 22% | ▼ 14% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 86% | 78% | ▼ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 86% | 74% | ▲ 86% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Vasco da Gama 0 - 1 - 1 Grêmio. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Vasco da Gama vs Grêmio?
The Serie A match finished Vasco da Gama 2:1 Grêmio. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Vasco da Gama and Grêmio?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Vasco da Gama won 0, Grêmio won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Vasco da Gama vs Grêmio?
Vasco da Gama score 1.57 goals per game on average and Grêmio 1.71. The Serie A average is 2.65 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 86% of Vasco da Gama's matches and 71% of Grêmio's.
What form are Vasco da Gama and Grêmio in?
Over the last 5 games Vasco da Gama have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Grêmio 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Vasco da Gama vs Grêmio?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Vasco da Gama vs Grêmio: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.