Brazil - Serie AEstádio Club de Regatas Vasco da GamaData current as of 23 July 2026

Vasco da Gama vs Mirassol: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Vasco da Gama vs Mirassol: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Vasco da Gama play Mirassol in Serie A (Brazil). The match date is 26 July 2026 at 01:30. Venue: Estádio Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama.

Current form

Vasco da Gama: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. Mirassol: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Vasco da Gama scores 1.16 and concedes 1.58 goals per match. Mirassol scores 1.11 and concedes 1.39. League average: 2.65 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Vasco da Gama 68%, Mirassol 61%. Over 2.5: Vasco da Gama 58%, Mirassol 56%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 50%.

xG, shots and style

Vasco da Gama has higher xG: 1.85 vs 1.53. Vasco da Gama: 17.6 shots per match, Mirassol: 14.0.

Match halves

Vasco da Gama: half-time lead 16%, second-half goals 0.84. Mirassol: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.39.

Goals by minute

Vasco da Gama: 76-90+ (7 goals). Mirassol: 31-45+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Serie A: 2.65 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 50%.

Head-to-head

3 H2H matches: 0-0-3. Average goals 3.33, BTTS 67%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(1.96)
(3.36)
(4.28)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Vasco da GamaMirassol
1.16Goals scored / match1.11
Vasco da GamaMirassol
1.58Goals conceded / match1.39
Vasco da GamaMirassol
54%Average possession51%
Vasco da GamaMirassol
5.37Shots on target / match4.56
Vasco da GamaMirassol

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

17.58Shots per match14
Vasco da GamaMirassol
5.37Shots on target4.56
Vasco da GamaMirassol
6.6%Shot conversion7.9%
Vasco da GamaMirassol
54%Possession51%
Vasco da GamaMirassol
1.85xG for1.53
Vasco da GamaMirassol
1.34xG against1.45
Vasco da GamaMirassol

Shooting quality

Vasco da Gama: AttackingMirassol: Attacking
Vasco da GamaMirassol
Accuracy (shots on target)31%33%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.220.24

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Mirassol is 133% better for: last-5 form.

0.6 pts / match - Vasco da Gama · 1.4 pts / match - Mirassol

Vasco da Gama
WLLLL
Season result split
26% W26% R47% P
Season (W-D-L)
5-5-9
1.05 pts / match · goal difference -8
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-0-4
0.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
5-1-4
Last 5 at home
2-0-3
LWWLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.4Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.75Opponent xG: 1.49BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 40%
Mirassol
DLWLW
Season result split
28% W22% R50% P
Season (W-D-L)
5-4-9
1.06 pts / match · goal difference -5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-1-6
Last 5 away
1-0-4
LWLLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.45Opponent xG: 1.22BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Vasco da Gama is 5% better for: goals scored per match.

1.16 goals / match - Vasco da Gama · 1.11 goals / match - Mirassol

Mirassol is 14% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.58 goals / match - Vasco da Gama · 1.39 goals / match - Mirassol

Vasco da Gama scoring profile: very strong

Vasco da Gama scores in 74% of matches (14 of 19 matches), while Mirassol keeps a clean sheet in 6% (1 of 18 matches).

Mirassol scoring profile: very strong

Mirassol scores in 67% of matches (12 of 18 matches), while Vasco da Gama keeps a clean sheet in 5% (1 of 19 matches).

22Goals scored (season)20
Vasco da GamaMirassol
30Goals conceded (season)25
Vasco da GamaMirassol
2.74Average goals in match2.5
Vasco da GamaMirassol
2Goals scored (last 5)5
Vasco da GamaMirassol
9Goals conceded (last 5)6
Vasco da GamaMirassol

How often they score at least...

74%1 goal67%
Vasco da GamaMirassol
32%2 goals44%
Vasco da GamaMirassol
11%3 goals0%
Vasco da GamaMirassol
0%4 goals0%
Vasco da GamaMirassol

How often they concede at least...

95%1 goal94%
Vasco da GamaMirassol
42%2 goals33%
Vasco da GamaMirassol
16%3 goals11%
Vasco da GamaMirassol
5%4 goals0%
Vasco da GamaMirassol

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

59%
League average

Goal patterns

16%BTTS at half-time22%
Vasco da GamaMirassol
0%BTTS in both halves11%
Vasco da GamaMirassol
0%Scored in both halves22%
Vasco da GamaMirassol

BTTS and goal count

53%Min. 3 goals and BTTS56%
Vasco da GamaMirassol
5%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Vasco da GamaMirassol
20%BTTS - last 560%
Vasco da GamaMirassol

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

79%Min. 1 goal before half-time72%
Vasco da GamaMirassol
21%Min. 2 goals before half-time44%
Vasco da GamaMirassol
5%Min. 3 goals before half-time6%
Vasco da GamaMirassol

2nd half

74%Min. 1 goal after half-time83%
Vasco da GamaMirassol
53%Min. 2 goals after half-time39%
Vasco da GamaMirassol
26%Min. 3 goals after half-time6%
Vasco da GamaMirassol

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Mirassol is 82% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.79 pts / match - Vasco da Gama · 1.44 pts / match - Mirassol

Vasco da Gama - half-time state
16% leading32% draw53% trailing
Mirassol - half-time state
33% leading44% draw22% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.79Points per match (1st half)1.44
Vasco da GamaMirassol
0.32Goals scored (1st half)0.72
Vasco da GamaMirassol
0.74Goals conceded (1st half)0.5
Vasco da GamaMirassol
1.05Average goals (1st half)1.22
Vasco da GamaMirassol
32%Clean sheet before half-time61%
Vasco da GamaMirassol
74%No goal before half-time44%
Vasco da GamaMirassol

After half-time (2nd half)

1.16Points per match (2nd half)0.67
Vasco da GamaMirassol
0.84Goals scored (2nd half)0.39
Vasco da GamaMirassol
0.84Goals conceded (2nd half)0.89
Vasco da GamaMirassol
1.68Average goals (2nd half)1.28
Vasco da GamaMirassol
37%Clean sheet after half-time28%
Vasco da GamaMirassol
53%No goal after half-time67%
Vasco da GamaMirassol

Vasco da Gama - second-half results

26% W37% R37% P
15
Half-time points
6
Half-time goals
-8
Goal difference (1st half)
22
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.79
PPG before half-time
Lead holding163%

Leads at half-time in 16% of matches and wins 26%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Mirassol - second-half results

11% W33% R56% P
26
Half-time points
13
Half-time goals
+4
Goal difference (1st half)
12
Second-half points
-9
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.44
PPG before half-time
Lead holding85%

Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 28%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.

Defence after half-time+0.4

Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Vasco da Gama - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.800.40
Goals scored / match0.20.2
Goals conceded / match0.81.0
Average goals in match1.01.2
1 goal80%60%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal80%80%
Goal difference-3-4
Half-time: 20% leading - 20% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 40% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1
Mirassol - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.800.40
Goals scored / match0.80.2
Goals conceded / match0.21.0
Average goals in match1.01.2
1 goal60%80%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet80%20%
No goal40%80%
Goal difference+3-4
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 40% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Vasco da Gama
ScoredConceded
1
4
0-15
2
4
16-30
3
6
31-45
5
4
46-60
4
6
61-75
7
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

Mirassol
ScoredConceded
1
2
0-15
5
5
16-30
7
2
31-45
2
1
46-60
2
4
61-75
3
11
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.62
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.3 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
99%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
65%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+27%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
50%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
9%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 11 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Vasco da Gama

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.51
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.93
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.69
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.24
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
75%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
144%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.45
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.5
Late goals
32% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 5% come in the first quarter-hour.
32%

Mirassol

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.08
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.36
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.42
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.06
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
101%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
90%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.34
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.3
Late goals
15% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 5% come in the first quarter-hour.
15%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).

Teams vs league

Vasco da GamaLigaMirassol
Average goals in match 2.742.65 2.50
Both teams scored 68%59% 61%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 58%50% 56%
Clean sheets 5%23% 6%
Goal before half-time 79%77% 72%
Goal after half-time 74%78% 83%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.65
Average goals per match
59%
Both teams scored
50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
23%
Clean sheets
1.55
Home goals / match
1.10
Away goals / match
+41%
Home attack advantage
+29%
Home defence advantage
+25%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
77%
1 goal
35%
2 goals
9%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
41%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (3): Vasco da Gama 0 - 0 - 3 Mirassol. Average goals 3.33, both teams scored in 67% matches.

FAQ

When do Vasco da Gama and Mirassol play?

Vasco da Gama face Mirassol on 25 July 2026 in Serie A at Estádio Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Vasco da Gama and Mirassol?

In the last 3 head-to-head matches Vasco da Gama won 0, Mirassol won 3 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Vasco da Gama vs Mirassol?

Vasco da Gama score 1.16 goals per game on average and Mirassol 1.11. The Serie A average is 2.65 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 68% of Vasco da Gama's matches and 61% of Mirassol's.

What form are Vasco da Gama and Mirassol in?

Over the last 5 games Vasco da Gama have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Mirassol 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Vasco da Gama vs Mirassol?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.