Vegalta Sendai vs Jubilo Iwata: match statistics
Vegalta Sendai vs Jubilo Iwata: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Vegalta Sendai played Jubilo Iwata in J2 League (Japan). The match was played on 4 October 2026. Venue: Yurtec Stadium Sendai. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Vegalta Sendai: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. Jubilo Iwata: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Vegalta Sendai scores 1.88 and concedes 0.88 goals per match. Jubilo Iwata scores 1.25 and concedes 1.38. League average: 2.66 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Vegalta Sendai 50%, Jubilo Iwata 75%. Over 2.5: Vegalta Sendai 38%, Jubilo Iwata 63%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
Jubilo Iwata has higher xG: 1.73 vs 1.65. Vegalta Sendai: 13.6 shots per match, Jubilo Iwata: 15.6.
Match halves
Vegalta Sendai: half-time lead 63%, second-half goals 0.63. Jubilo Iwata: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.63.
Goals by minute
Vegalta Sendai: 16-30 (5 goals). Jubilo Iwata: 0-15 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
J2 League: 2.66 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Vegalta Sendai sit 1st and have won 5 of their 8 matches, while 13th-placed Jubilo Iwata have recorded 3 wins and 4 losses. In their last 5 matches, the hosts have scored 12 goals and won 3 times, while the visitors have scored 7 and suffered 3 defeats. At home, Vegalta create chances worth an average xG of 1.91 from 16 shots per match, compared with Jubilo’s away xG of 1.60 and 13 shots. The hosts concede an average of 1 goal at home, with opponents posting an xG of 1.01, whereas the visitors concede 1.5 goals away from home, with opponents registering an xG of 1.22—strengthening Vegalta’s prospects. A draw remains a realistic outcome, as 2 of Vegalta’s 3 home matches so far have ended level, and Jubilo have scored in each of their 4 away games.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams have recorded BTTS in 75% of matches in the relevant home and away conditions, well above the league average of 49%. Vegalta are yet to keep a clean sheet at home, while Jubilo average 1.5 goals scored away, strongly supporting the visitors’ chances of finding the net. The hosts score an average of just 1.0 goals at home, but create chances worth 1.87 xG and face a side that concede an average of 1.5 goals away. Over their last five matches, both teams conceded an average of 1.4 goals, while BTTS landed in 80% of Vegalta’s matches and 60% of Jubilo’s. The hosts’ lower conversion rate of 5% limits confidence in the pick, but the overall indicators point to goals at both ends.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
In their last 5 matches, Vegalta games averaged 3.8 goals, compared with 2.8 in Jubilo matches, supporting a total of at least two goals. Both teams went over 1.5 goals in 75% of their matches, and both teams scored in 75% of games for each side. Their attacking potential is reflected in xG figures of 1.87 for the hosts and 1.60 for the visitors, although their actual average goals scored is lower, at 1.0 and 1.5 respectively. Therefore, Over 1.5 is the strongest pick, while the 2.5 line remains less certain: it was cleared in 50% of Vegalta matches and 75% of Jubilo matches.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest signal points to Vegalta Sendai leading at the break and holding on to their advantage through to the final whistle. The hosts led at half-time in 3 of their last 5 matches, while Jubilo Iwata were trailing at the break in 3 of 5 and failed to score before half-time in 4 of 5 games. Vegalta have recently averaged 1.2 first-half goals compared with Jubilo’s 0.4, strengthening the case for the hosts to lead after 45 minutes. Their prospects of a full-time win are also supported by a record of 3 wins in their last 5 matches compared with Jubilo’s 2, as well as an average of 2.4 goals scored against 1.4. However, this is not a certain pick: in their matches so far this season, Vegalta have led at half-time only once in 4 games, while Jubilo have averaged 1.5 goals per match compared with the hosts’ 1.0.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Vegalta Sendai | Jubilo Iwata | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 29% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Vegalta Sendai is 117% better for: last-5 form.
2.6 pts / match - Vegalta Sendai · 1.2 pts / match - Jubilo Iwata
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Vegalta Sendai is 50% better for: goals scored per match.
1.88 goals / match - Vegalta Sendai · 1.25 goals / match - Jubilo Iwata
Vegalta Sendai is 57% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.88 goals / match - Vegalta Sendai · 1.38 goals / match - Jubilo Iwata
Vegalta Sendai scores in 75% of matches (6 of 8 matches), while Jubilo Iwata keeps a clean sheet in 13% (1 of 8 matches).
Jubilo Iwata scores in 88% of matches (7 of 8 matches), while Vegalta Sendai keeps a clean sheet in 38% (3 of 8 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Vegalta Sendai
Over / Under - Jubilo Iwata
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Vegalta Sendai is 113% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2.13 pts / match - Vegalta Sendai · 1 pts / match - Jubilo Iwata
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Vegalta Sendai - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 63% of matches and wins 63%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Jubilo Iwata - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.60 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 2.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 0% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +6 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (5 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (4 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Vegalta Sendai
Jubilo Iwata
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (J2 League).
Teams vs league
| Vegalta Sendai | Liga | Jubilo Iwata | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.75 | 2.66 | • 2.63 |
| Both teams scored | • 50% | 51% | ▲ 75% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 38% | 50% | ▲ 63% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 38% | 28% | ▼ 13% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 88% | 67% | ▲ 88% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 75% | 80% | ▲ 88% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Vegalta Sendai 1 - 0 - 1 Jubilo Iwata. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Vegalta Sendai vs Jubilo Iwata?
The J2 League match finished Vegalta Sendai 2:1 Jubilo Iwata. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Vegalta Sendai and Jubilo Iwata?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Vegalta Sendai won 1, Jubilo Iwata won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Vegalta Sendai vs Jubilo Iwata?
Vegalta Sendai score 1.88 goals per game on average and Jubilo Iwata 1.25. The J2 League average is 2.66 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Vegalta Sendai's matches and 75% of Jubilo Iwata's.
What form are Vegalta Sendai and Jubilo Iwata in?
Over the last 5 games Vegalta Sendai have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Jubilo Iwata 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Vegalta Sendai vs Jubilo Iwata?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.