Argentina - Primera DivisiónData current as of 06 September 2026

Vélez Sarsfield vs Boca Juniors: match statistics

155%(3.24)
X25%(2.66)
220%(2.65)

Vélez Sarsfield are displaying impressive home form, winning 100% of their home matches this season and remaining undefeated at their own stadium. Boca Juniors, on the other hand, are losing all away matches (100% defeats), which poses a serious problem when facing such a strong host. Despite Boca having a better average ball possession (66% vs 54%), their goal-scoring efficiency away is low (1 goal on average per match) compared to Vélez, who score an average of 2 goals in home matches. The recent form of both teams is similar (1.6 vs 1.8 PPG), but the home advantage and Vélez's 100% efficiency in home matches give the hosts a clear edge. The difference in xG (1.31 for Vélez vs 1.33 for Boca) is minimal, but defensive and offensive statistics at home venues speak in favor of the hosts, who should exploit Boca Juniors' weakness in away matches.

Vélez Sarsfield vs Boca Juniors: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Vélez Sarsfield played Boca Juniors in Primera División (Argentina). The match was played on 9 February 2026. Final score: 2:1.

Current form

Vélez Sarsfield: 2-1-0, 2.33 points/match. Boca Juniors: 2-0-1, 2.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Vélez Sarsfield scores 1.33 and concedes 0.67 goals per match. Boca Juniors scores 1.33 and concedes 0.67. League average: 2.06 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Vélez Sarsfield 67%, Boca Juniors 33%. Over 2.5: Vélez Sarsfield 33%, Boca Juniors 33%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 41%.

xG, shots and style

Boca Juniors has higher xG: 1.47 vs 1.22. Vélez Sarsfield: 9.7 shots per match, Boca Juniors: 12.3.

Match halves

Vélez Sarsfield: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 1.00. Boca Juniors: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 1.00.

Goals by minute

Vélez Sarsfield: 76-90+ (2 goals). Boca Juniors: 76-90+ (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Primera División: 2.06 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 41%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Vélez Sarsfield are displaying impressive home form, winning 100% of their home matches this season and remaining undefeated at their own stadium. Boca Juniors, on the other hand, are losing all away matches (100% defeats), which poses a serious problem when facing such a strong host. Despite Boca having a better average ball possession (66% vs 54%), their goal-scoring efficiency away is low (1 goal on average per match) compared to Vélez, who score an average of 2 goals in home matches. The recent form of both teams is similar (1.6 vs 1.8 PPG), but the home advantage and Vélez's 100% efficiency in home matches give the hosts a clear edge. The difference in xG (1.31 for Vélez vs 1.33 for Boca) is minimal, but defensive and offensive statistics at home venues speak in favor of the hosts, who should exploit Boca Juniors' weakness in away matches.

View the statistical overview

Half-by-half

0 : 0
1st half
2 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

50Possession (%)50
Vélez SarsfieldBoca Juniors
15Shots9
Vélez SarsfieldBoca Juniors
4Shots on target3
Vélez SarsfieldBoca Juniors
1.63xG1.19
Vélez SarsfieldBoca Juniors
2Corners7
Vélez SarsfieldBoca Juniors
56Dangerous attacks56
Vélez SarsfieldBoca Juniors
10Fouls8
Vélez SarsfieldBoca Juniors
0Cards1
Vélez SarsfieldBoca Juniors

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Vélez SarsfieldBoca Juniors
1.33Goals scored / match1.33
Vélez SarsfieldBoca Juniors
0.67Goals conceded / match0.67
Vélez SarsfieldBoca Juniors
51%Average possession68%
Vélez SarsfieldBoca Juniors
4Shots on target / match3.67
Vélez SarsfieldBoca Juniors

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

9.67Shots per match12.33
Vélez SarsfieldBoca Juniors
4Shots on target3.67
Vélez SarsfieldBoca Juniors
13.8%Shot conversion10.8%
Vélez SarsfieldBoca Juniors
51%Possession68%
Vélez SarsfieldBoca Juniors
1.22xG for1.47
Vélez SarsfieldBoca Juniors
1.74xG against0.98
Vélez SarsfieldBoca Juniors

Shooting quality

Vélez Sarsfield: Efficient finishingBoca Juniors: Balanced
Vélez SarsfieldBoca Juniors
Accuracy (shots on target)41%30%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.330.36

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Vélez Sarsfield is 17% better for: last-5 form.

2.33 pts / match - Vélez Sarsfield · 2 pts / match - Boca Juniors

Vélez Sarsfield
WWD
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
67% W33% R0% P
Season (W-D-L)
2-1-0
2.33 pts / match · goal difference +2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-0
2.33 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-0-0
Last 5 at home
1-0-0
W
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.3Goals conceded: 0.7xG: 1.22Opponent xG: 1.74BTTS: 67%Over 2.5: 33%
Boca Juniors
WLW
Season result split
67% W0% R33% P
Season (W-D-L)
2-0-1
2.00 pts / match · goal difference +2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-1
2.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-0-1
Last 5 away
0-0-1
L
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.3Goals conceded: 0.7xG: 1.47Opponent xG: 0.98BTTS: 33%Over 2.5: 33%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Vélez Sarsfield scoring profile: strong

Vélez Sarsfield scores in 100% of matches (3 of 3 matches), while Boca Juniors keeps a clean sheet in 67% (2 of 3 matches).

Boca Juniors scoring profile: very strong

Boca Juniors scores in 100% of matches (3 of 3 matches), while Vélez Sarsfield keeps a clean sheet in 33% (1 of 3 matches).

4Goals scored (season)4
Vélez SarsfieldBoca Juniors
2Goals conceded (season)2
Vélez SarsfieldBoca Juniors
2Average goals in match2
Vélez SarsfieldBoca Juniors
4Goals scored (last 5)4
Vélez SarsfieldBoca Juniors
2Goals conceded (last 5)2
Vélez SarsfieldBoca Juniors

How often they score at least...

100%1 goal100%
Vélez SarsfieldBoca Juniors
33%2 goals33%
Vélez SarsfieldBoca Juniors
0%3 goals0%
Vélez SarsfieldBoca Juniors
0%4 goals0%
Vélez SarsfieldBoca Juniors

How often they concede at least...

67%1 goal33%
Vélez SarsfieldBoca Juniors
0%2 goals33%
Vélez SarsfieldBoca Juniors
0%3 goals0%
Vélez SarsfieldBoca Juniors
0%4 goals0%
Vélez SarsfieldBoca Juniors

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

54%
League average

Goal patterns

33%BTTS at half-time0%
Vélez SarsfieldBoca Juniors
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Vélez SarsfieldBoca Juniors
0%Scored in both halves33%
Vélez SarsfieldBoca Juniors

BTTS and goal count

33%Min. 3 goals and BTTS33%
Vélez SarsfieldBoca Juniors
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Vélez SarsfieldBoca Juniors
67%BTTS - last 533%
Vélez SarsfieldBoca Juniors

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

67%Min. 1 goal before half-time67%
Vélez SarsfieldBoca Juniors
33%Min. 2 goals before half-time33%
Vélez SarsfieldBoca Juniors
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
Vélez SarsfieldBoca Juniors

2nd half

67%Min. 1 goal after half-time100%
Vélez SarsfieldBoca Juniors
33%Min. 2 goals after half-time0%
Vélez SarsfieldBoca Juniors
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
Vélez SarsfieldBoca Juniors

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Boca Juniors is 99% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.67 pts / match - Vélez Sarsfield · 1.33 pts / match - Boca Juniors

Vélez Sarsfield - half-time state
0% leading67% draw33% trailing
Boca Juniors - half-time state
33% leading33% draw33% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.67Points per match (1st half)1.33
Vélez SarsfieldBoca Juniors
0.33Goals scored (1st half)0.33
Vélez SarsfieldBoca Juniors
0.67Goals conceded (1st half)0.67
Vélez SarsfieldBoca Juniors
1Average goals (1st half)1
Vélez SarsfieldBoca Juniors
33%Clean sheet before half-time67%
Vélez SarsfieldBoca Juniors
67%No goal before half-time67%
Vélez SarsfieldBoca Juniors

After half-time (2nd half)

2.33Points per match (2nd half)3
Vélez SarsfieldBoca Juniors
1Goals scored (2nd half)1
Vélez SarsfieldBoca Juniors
0Goals conceded (2nd half)0
Vélez SarsfieldBoca Juniors
1Average goals (2nd half)1
Vélez SarsfieldBoca Juniors
100%Clean sheet after half-time100%
Vélez SarsfieldBoca Juniors
33%No goal after half-time0%
Vélez SarsfieldBoca Juniors

Vélez Sarsfield - second-half results

67% W33% R0% P
2
Half-time points
1
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
7
Second-half points
+3
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.67
PPG before half-time
Defence after half-time-0.7

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Boca Juniors - second-half results

100% W0% R0% P
4
Half-time points
1
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
9
Second-half points
+3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.33
PPG before half-time
Lead holding203%

Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 67%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.7

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Vélez Sarsfield - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.672.33
Goals scored / match0.31.0
Goals conceded / match0.70.0
Average goals in match1.01.0
1 goal67%67%
2 goals33%33%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet33%100%
No goal67%33%
Goal difference-1+3
Half-time: 0% leading - 67% draw - 33% trailing
2nd half: 67% won - 33% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 33% - Half-time goals total: 1
Boca Juniors - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.333.00
Goals scored / match0.31.0
Goals conceded / match0.70.0
Average goals in match1.01.0
1 goal67%100%
2 goals33%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet67%100%
No goal67%0%
Goal difference-1+3
Half-time: 33% leading - 33% draw - 33% trailing
2nd half: 100% won - 0% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Vélez Sarsfield
ScoredConceded
0
0
0-15
0
1
16-30
1
1
31-45
1
0
46-60
0
0
61-75
2
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (2 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

Boca Juniors
ScoredConceded
0
0
0-15
0
1
16-30
1
1
31-45
1
0
46-60
0
0
61-75
2
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (2 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.00
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.0 : 1.0
Estimated goal split
home : away
97%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
50%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
100%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Vélez Sarsfield

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.52
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+1.18
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.11
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+1.07
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
112%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
77%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.7
Late goals
50% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
50%

Boca Juniors

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.49
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.17
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.14
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.31
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
153%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
56%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.7
Late goals
50% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
50%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).

Teams vs league

Vélez SarsfieldLigaBoca Juniors
Average goals in match 2.002.06 2.00
Both teams scored 67%54% 33%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 33%41% 33%
Clean sheets 33%31% 67%
Goal before half-time 67%59% 67%
Goal after half-time 67%76% 100%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.06
Average goals per match
54%
Both teams scored
41%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
31%
Clean sheets
1.19
Home goals / match
0.87
Away goals / match
+37%
Home attack advantage
+27%
Home defence advantage
+20%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
59%
1 goal
20%
2 goals
2%
3 goals
0%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
37%
2 goals
11%
3 goals
0%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Boca JuniorsSubstitutionOn: Iker ZufiaurreOff: Gonzalo Germán Gelini
  2. Boca JuniorsYellow cardLeandro Daniel Paredes
  3. Vélez SarsfieldSubstitutionOn: Lucas RobertoneOff: Matías Pellegrini
  4. Vélez SarsfieldSubstitutionOn: Dilan GodoyOff: Florián Gonzalo de Jesús Monzón
  5. Boca JuniorsGoalIker ZufiaurreAssist: Leandro Daniel Paredes
  6. Vélez SarsfieldSubstitutionOn: Aaron Facundo QuirozOff: Diego Alfonso Valdés Contreras

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Referee context

See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.

Nazareno ArasaMatches officiated: 14
5.93Cards per match
0Penalties per match
1 / X / 27%Home wins43%Draws50%Away wins

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Vélez Sarsfield 0 - 0 - 1 Boca Juniors. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

Vélez Sarsfield
1 : 3
Boca Juniors

FAQ

What was the result of Vélez Sarsfield vs Boca Juniors?

The Primera División match finished Vélez Sarsfield 2:1 Boca Juniors. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Vélez Sarsfield vs Boca Juniors?

Vélez Sarsfield score 1.33 goals per game on average and Boca Juniors 1.33. The Primera División average is 2.06 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 41% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Vélez Sarsfield's matches and 33% of Boca Juniors's.

What form are Vélez Sarsfield and Boca Juniors in?

Over the last 5 games Vélez Sarsfield have a 2-1-0 record (2.33 points per game) and Boca Juniors 2-0-1 (2.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Vélez Sarsfield vs Boca Juniors?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.