Vélez Sarsfield vs Boca Juniors: match statistics
Vélez Sarsfield are displaying impressive home form, winning 100% of their home matches this season and remaining undefeated at their own stadium. Boca Juniors, on the other hand, are losing all away matches (100% defeats), which poses a serious problem when facing such a strong host. Despite Boca having a better average ball possession (66% vs 54%), their goal-scoring efficiency away is low (1 goal on average per match) compared to Vélez, who score an average of 2 goals in home matches. The recent form of both teams is similar (1.6 vs 1.8 PPG), but the home advantage and Vélez's 100% efficiency in home matches give the hosts a clear edge. The difference in xG (1.31 for Vélez vs 1.33 for Boca) is minimal, but defensive and offensive statistics at home venues speak in favor of the hosts, who should exploit Boca Juniors' weakness in away matches.
Vélez Sarsfield vs Boca Juniors: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Vélez Sarsfield play Boca Juniors in Primera División (Argentina). The match date is 9 February 2026 at 02:15. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Vélez Sarsfield: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Boca Juniors: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Vélez Sarsfield scores 1.06 and concedes 0.76 goals per match. Boca Juniors scores 1.41 and concedes 0.71. League average: 2.08 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Vélez Sarsfield 47%, Boca Juniors 47%. Over 2.5: Vélez Sarsfield 24%, Boca Juniors 35%. League level: BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 34%.
xG, shots and style
Boca Juniors has higher xG: 1.55 vs 1.48. Vélez Sarsfield: 12.7 shots per match, Boca Juniors: 13.1.
Match halves
Vélez Sarsfield: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.59. Boca Juniors: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.88.
Goals by minute
Vélez Sarsfield: 0-15 (6 goals). Boca Juniors: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera División: 2.08 goals per match, BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 34%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
Vélez Sarsfield are displaying impressive home form, winning 100% of their home matches this season and remaining undefeated at their own stadium. Boca Juniors, on the other hand, are losing all away matches (100% defeats), which poses a serious problem when facing such a strong host. Despite Boca having a better average ball possession (66% vs 54%), their goal-scoring efficiency away is low (1 goal on average per match) compared to Vélez, who score an average of 2 goals in home matches. The recent form of both teams is similar (1.6 vs 1.8 PPG), but the home advantage and Vélez's 100% efficiency in home matches give the hosts a clear edge. The difference in xG (1.31 for Vélez vs 1.33 for Boca) is minimal, but defensive and offensive statistics at home venues speak in favor of the hosts, who should exploit Boca Juniors' weakness in away matches.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Vélez Sarsfield | Boca Juniors | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Boca Juniors is 67% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Vélez Sarsfield · 2 pts / match - Boca Juniors
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Boca Juniors is 33% better for: goals scored per match.
1.06 goals / match - Vélez Sarsfield · 1.41 goals / match - Boca Juniors
Boca Juniors is 7% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.76 goals / match - Vélez Sarsfield · 0.71 goals / match - Boca Juniors
Vélez Sarsfield scores in 76% of matches (13 of 17 matches), while Boca Juniors keeps a clean sheet in 53% (9 of 17 matches).
Boca Juniors scores in 88% of matches (15 of 17 matches), while Vélez Sarsfield keeps a clean sheet in 41% (7 of 17 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Vélez Sarsfield
Over / Under — Boca Juniors
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Vélez Sarsfield - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 41%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Boca Juniors - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 47%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (6 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Vélez Sarsfield
Boca Juniors
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Vélez Sarsfield | Liga | Boca Juniors | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.82 | 2.08 | • 2.12 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 47% | 45% | ▲ 47% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 24% | 34% | • 35% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 41% | 34% | ▲ 53% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 59% | 61% | ▼ 59% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 65% | 71% | • 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Vélez Sarsfield 0 - 0 - 1 Boca Juniors. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Vélez Sarsfield vs Boca Juniors?
The Primera División match finished Vélez Sarsfield 2:1 Boca Juniors. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Vélez Sarsfield vs Boca Juniors?
Vélez Sarsfield score 1.06 goals per game on average and Boca Juniors 1.41. The Primera División average is 2.08 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 34% of games. Both teams score in 47% of Vélez Sarsfield's matches and 47% of Boca Juniors's.
What form are Vélez Sarsfield and Boca Juniors in?
Over the last 5 games Vélez Sarsfield have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Boca Juniors 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Vélez Sarsfield vs Boca Juniors?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.