Argentina - Primera DivisiónEstadio José AmalfitaniData current as of 17 October 2026

Vélez Sarsfield vs Gimnasia Mendoza: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Vélez Sarsfield vs Gimnasia Mendoza: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Vélez Sarsfield play Gimnasia Mendoza in Primera División (Argentina). The match date is 17 October 2026. Venue: Estadio José Amalfitani.

Current form

Vélez Sarsfield: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Gimnasia Mendoza: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Vélez Sarsfield scores 1.21 and concedes 0.90 goals per match. Gimnasia Mendoza scores 1.04 and concedes 1.21. League average: 2.16 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Vélez Sarsfield 55%, Gimnasia Mendoza 39%. Over 2.5: Vélez Sarsfield 28%, Gimnasia Mendoza 39%. League level: BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 38%.

xG, shots and style

Vélez Sarsfield has higher xG: 1.40 vs 1.33. Vélez Sarsfield: 12.0 shots per match, Gimnasia Mendoza: 12.2.

Match halves

Vélez Sarsfield: half-time lead 34%, second-half goals 0.66. Gimnasia Mendoza: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.50.

Goals by minute

Vélez Sarsfield: 0-15 (10 goals). Gimnasia Mendoza: 31-45+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Primera División: 2.16 goals per match, BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 38%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 100%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(1.94)
(3.10)
(4.33)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Vélez SarsfieldGimnasia Mendoza
1.21Goals scored / match1.04
Vélez SarsfieldGimnasia Mendoza
0.9Goals conceded / match1.21
Vélez SarsfieldGimnasia Mendoza
Vélez SarsfieldGimnasia Mendoza
53%Average possession47%
Vélez SarsfieldGimnasia Mendoza
4.21Shots on target / match3.93
Vélez SarsfieldGimnasia Mendoza
Vélez SarsfieldGimnasia Mendoza

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

12.03Shots per match12.18
Vélez SarsfieldGimnasia Mendoza
4.21Shots on target3.93
Vélez SarsfieldGimnasia Mendoza
10%Shot conversion8.5%
Vélez SarsfieldGimnasia Mendoza
53%Possession47%
Vélez SarsfieldGimnasia Mendoza
1.4xG for1.33
Vélez SarsfieldGimnasia Mendoza
1.55xG against1.49
Vélez SarsfieldGimnasia Mendoza

Shooting quality

Vélez Sarsfield: BalancedGimnasia Mendoza: Balanced
Vélez SarsfieldGimnasia Mendoza
Accuracy (shots on target)35%32%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.290.26

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Vélez Sarsfield is 60% better for: last-5 form.

1.6 pts / match - Vélez Sarsfield · 1 pts / match - Gimnasia Mendoza

Vélez Sarsfield
WDWDL
Season result split
41% W45% D14% L
Season (W-D-L)
12-13-4
1.69 pts / match · goal difference +9
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
8-5-2
Last 5 at home
3-2-0
WDWWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.36Opponent xG: 1.57BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%
Gimnasia Mendoza
DLDLW
Season result split
39% W21% D39% L
Season (W-D-L)
11-6-11
1.39 pts / match · goal difference -5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
3-3-8
Last 5 away
2-0-3
LWWLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.40Opponent xG: 1.35BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 40%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Vélez Sarsfield is 16% better for: goals scored per match.

1.21 goals / match - Vélez Sarsfield · 1.04 goals / match - Gimnasia Mendoza

Vélez Sarsfield is 34% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.9 goals / match - Vélez Sarsfield · 1.21 goals / match - Gimnasia Mendoza

Vélez Sarsfield scoring profile: very strong

Vélez Sarsfield scores in 83% of matches (24 of 29 matches), while Gimnasia Mendoza keeps a clean sheet in 32% (9 of 28 matches).

Gimnasia Mendoza scoring profile: strong

Gimnasia Mendoza scores in 64% of matches (18 of 28 matches), while Vélez Sarsfield keeps a clean sheet in 34% (10 of 29 matches).

35Goals scored (season)29
Vélez SarsfieldGimnasia Mendoza
26Goals conceded (season)34
Vélez SarsfieldGimnasia Mendoza
2.1Average goals in match2.25
Vélez SarsfieldGimnasia Mendoza
7Goals scored (last 5)3
Vélez SarsfieldGimnasia Mendoza
7Goals conceded (last 5)7
Vélez SarsfieldGimnasia Mendoza

How often they score at least...

83%1 goal64%
Vélez SarsfieldGimnasia Mendoza
31%2 goals25%
Vélez SarsfieldGimnasia Mendoza
7%3 goals14%
Vélez SarsfieldGimnasia Mendoza
0%4 goals0%
Vélez SarsfieldGimnasia Mendoza

How often they concede at least...

66%1 goal68%
Vélez SarsfieldGimnasia Mendoza
21%2 goals32%
Vélez SarsfieldGimnasia Mendoza
3%3 goals11%
Vélez SarsfieldGimnasia Mendoza
0%4 goals7%
Vélez SarsfieldGimnasia Mendoza

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

55%
Vélez Sarsfield - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.16 of 29 matches
39%
Gimnasia Mendoza - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.11 of 28 matches
47%
League average

Goal patterns

21%BTTS at half-time25%
Vélez SarsfieldGimnasia Mendoza
3%BTTS in both halves0%
Vélez SarsfieldGimnasia Mendoza
14%Scored in both halves25%
Vélez SarsfieldGimnasia Mendoza

BTTS and goal count

28%Min. 3 goals and BTTS29%
Vélez SarsfieldGimnasia Mendoza
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS11%
Vélez SarsfieldGimnasia Mendoza
60%BTTS - last 520%
Vélez SarsfieldGimnasia Mendoza

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

Full match - team comparison (Over)

1st half

66%Min. 1 goal before half-time61%
Vélez SarsfieldGimnasia Mendoza
24%Min. 2 goals before half-time36%
Vélez SarsfieldGimnasia Mendoza
7%Min. 3 goals before half-time7%
Vélez SarsfieldGimnasia Mendoza

2nd half

69%Min. 1 goal after half-time79%
Vélez SarsfieldGimnasia Mendoza
34%Min. 2 goals after half-time29%
Vélez SarsfieldGimnasia Mendoza
7%Min. 3 goals after half-time11%
Vélez SarsfieldGimnasia Mendoza

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Vélez Sarsfield is 26% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.52 pts / match - Vélez Sarsfield · 1.21 pts / match - Gimnasia Mendoza

Vélez Sarsfield - half-time state
34% leading48% draw17% trailing
Gimnasia Mendoza - half-time state
21% leading57% draw21% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.52Points per match (1st half)1.21
Vélez SarsfieldGimnasia Mendoza
0.55Goals scored (1st half)0.54
Vélez SarsfieldGimnasia Mendoza
0.41Goals conceded (1st half)0.5
Vélez SarsfieldGimnasia Mendoza
0.97Average goals (1st half)1.04
Vélez SarsfieldGimnasia Mendoza
62%Clean sheet before half-time61%
Vélez SarsfieldGimnasia Mendoza
52%No goal before half-time54%
Vélez SarsfieldGimnasia Mendoza

After half-time (2nd half)

1.48Points per match (2nd half)1.32
Vélez SarsfieldGimnasia Mendoza
0.66Goals scored (2nd half)0.5
Vélez SarsfieldGimnasia Mendoza
0.48Goals conceded (2nd half)0.71
Vélez SarsfieldGimnasia Mendoza
1.14Average goals (2nd half)1.21
Vélez SarsfieldGimnasia Mendoza
62%Clean sheet after half-time57%
Vélez SarsfieldGimnasia Mendoza
52%No goal after half-time57%
Vélez SarsfieldGimnasia Mendoza

Vélez Sarsfield - second-half results

34% W45% D21% L
44
Half-time points
16
Half-time goals
+4
Goal difference (1st half)
43
Second-half points
+5
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.52
PPG before half-time
Lead holding121%

Leads at half-time in 34% of matches and wins 41%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Gimnasia Mendoza - second-half results

36% W25% D39% L
34
Half-time points
15
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
37
Second-half points
-6
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.21
PPG before half-time
Lead holding186%

Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 39%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Vélez Sarsfield - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.200.60
Goals scored / match0.80.6
Goals conceded / match0.21.2
Average goals in match1.01.8
1 goal80%80%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet80%20%
No goal20%60%
Goal difference+3-3
Half-time: 60% leading - 40% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 60% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4
Gimnasia Mendoza - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.601.40
Goals scored / match0.20.4
Goals conceded / match0.60.8
Average goals in match0.81.2
1 goal40%80%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal80%60%
Goal difference-2-2
Half-time: 0% leading - 60% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Vélez Sarsfield
ScoredConceded
10
4
0-15
1
4
16-30
5
4
31-45
6
4
46-60
6
2
61-75
7
8
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

Gimnasia Mendoza
ScoredConceded
5
6
0-15
4
3
16-30
6
5
31-45
6
4
46-60
4
5
61-75
4
11
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.18
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.2 : 1.0
Estimated goal split
home : away
101%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
47%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+130%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
53%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
6%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 17 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Vélez Sarsfield

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.15
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.46
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-7.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.19
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.65
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
100%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
95%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.09
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
20% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 29% come in the first quarter-hour.
20%

Gimnasia Mendoza

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.16
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.01
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+3.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.29
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.28
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
109%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
100%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.39
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.0
Late goals
14% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 17% come in the first quarter-hour.
14%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).

Teams vs league

Vélez SarsfieldLigaGimnasia Mendoza
Average goals in match• 2.102.16• 2.25
Both teams scored▲ 55%47%▼ 39%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 28%38%• 39%
Clean sheets• 34%33%• 32%
Goal before half-time▲ 66%61%• 61%
Goal after half-time▼ 69%73%▲ 79%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.16
Average goals per match
47%
Both teams scored
38%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
33%
Clean sheets
1.21
Home goals / match
0.95
Away goals / match
+27%
Home attack advantage
+21%
Home defence advantage
+15%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
61%
1 goal
22%
2 goals
5%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
73%
1 goal
38%
2 goals
12%
3 goals
3%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Vélez Sarsfield 0 - 0 - 1 Gimnasia Mendoza. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

FAQ

When do Vélez Sarsfield and Gimnasia Mendoza play?

Vélez Sarsfield face Gimnasia Mendoza on 17 October 2026 in Primera División at Estadio José Amalfitani. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Vélez Sarsfield vs Gimnasia Mendoza?

Vélez Sarsfield score 1.21 goals per game on average and Gimnasia Mendoza 1.04. The Primera División average is 2.16 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 38% of games. Both teams score in 55% of Vélez Sarsfield's matches and 39% of Gimnasia Mendoza's.

What form are Vélez Sarsfield and Gimnasia Mendoza in?

Over the last 5 games Vélez Sarsfield have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Gimnasia Mendoza 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Vélez Sarsfield vs Gimnasia Mendoza?

The statistical background for Vélez Sarsfield vs Gimnasia Mendoza — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.