Bosnia & Herzegovina - Premier League of BosniaStadion VrapčićiData current as of 20 October 2026

Velež vs BSK Banja Luka: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Velež vs BSK Banja Luka: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Velež play BSK Banja Luka in Premier League of Bosnia (Bosnia & Herzegovina). The match date is 24 October 2026. Venue: Stadion Vrapčići.

Current form

Velež: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. BSK Banja Luka: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

Velež scores 0.67 and concedes 1.56 goals per match. BSK Banja Luka scores 1.30 and concedes 1.70. League average: 2.57 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Velež 33%, BSK Banja Luka 60%. Over 2.5: Velež 33%, BSK Banja Luka 40%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 43%.

xG, shots and style

BSK Banja Luka has higher xG: 1.41 vs 1.28. Velež: 10.6 shots per match, BSK Banja Luka: 11.5.

Match halves

Velež: half-time lead 11%, second-half goals 0.56. BSK Banja Luka: half-time lead 10%, second-half goals 1.00.

Goals by minute

Velež: 76-90+ (3 goals). BSK Banja Luka: 61-75 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Premier League of Bosnia: 2.57 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 43%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

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Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

VeležBSK Banja Luka
0.67Goals scored / match1.3
VeležBSK Banja Luka
1.56Goals conceded / match1.7
VeležBSK Banja Luka
44%Average possession53%
VeležBSK Banja Luka
3Shots on target / match5
VeležBSK Banja Luka

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

10.56Shots per match11.5
VeležBSK Banja Luka
3Shots on target5
VeležBSK Banja Luka
6.3%Shot conversion11.3%
VeležBSK Banja Luka
44%Possession53%
VeležBSK Banja Luka
1.28xG for1.41
VeležBSK Banja Luka
1.26xG against1.45
VeležBSK Banja Luka

Shooting quality

Velež: BalancedBSK Banja Luka: Balanced
VeležBSK Banja Luka
Accuracy (shots on target)28%43%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.220.26

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

BSK Banja Luka is 20% better for: last-5 form.

1 pts / match - Velež · 1.2 pts / match - BSK Banja Luka

Velež
DLWLD
Season result split
22% W22% D56% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-2-5
0.89 pts / match · goal difference -8
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-2-0
Last 5 at home
2-2-0
WDWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.23Opponent xG: 1.15BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 20%
BSK Banja Luka
WDDLD
Season result split
20% W30% D50% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-3-5
0.90 pts / match · goal difference -4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-3-1
1.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-1-4
Last 5 away
0-1-4
LLLDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.80Opponent xG: 1.44BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 40%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

BSK Banja Luka is 94% better for: goals scored per match.

0.67 goals / match - Velež · 1.3 goals / match - BSK Banja Luka

Velež is 9% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.56 goals / match - Velež · 1.7 goals / match - BSK Banja Luka

Velež scoring profile: very strong

Velež scores in 56% of matches (5 of 9 matches), while BSK Banja Luka keeps a clean sheet in 10% (1 of 10 matches).

BSK Banja Luka scoring profile: strong

BSK Banja Luka scores in 70% of matches (7 of 10 matches), while Velež keeps a clean sheet in 33% (3 of 9 matches).

6Goals scored (season)13
VeležBSK Banja Luka
14Goals conceded (season)17
VeležBSK Banja Luka
2.22Average goals in match3
VeležBSK Banja Luka
3Goals scored (last 5)9
VeležBSK Banja Luka
6Goals conceded (last 5)10
VeležBSK Banja Luka

How often they score at least...

56%1 goal70%
VeležBSK Banja Luka
11%2 goals30%
VeležBSK Banja Luka
0%3 goals20%
VeležBSK Banja Luka
0%4 goals10%
VeležBSK Banja Luka

How often they concede at least...

67%1 goal90%
VeležBSK Banja Luka
56%2 goals50%
VeležBSK Banja Luka
33%3 goals20%
VeležBSK Banja Luka
0%4 goals10%
VeležBSK Banja Luka

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

53%
League average

Goal patterns

0%BTTS at half-time20%
VeležBSK Banja Luka
0%BTTS in both halves10%
VeležBSK Banja Luka
11%Scored in both halves20%
VeležBSK Banja Luka

BTTS and goal count

22%Min. 3 goals and BTTS40%
VeležBSK Banja Luka
11%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
VeležBSK Banja Luka
40%BTTS - last 580%
VeležBSK Banja Luka

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

67%Min. 1 goal before half-time70%
VeležBSK Banja Luka
33%Min. 2 goals before half-time20%
VeležBSK Banja Luka
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time10%
VeležBSK Banja Luka

2nd half

89%Min. 1 goal after half-time70%
VeležBSK Banja Luka
33%Min. 2 goals after half-time50%
VeležBSK Banja Luka
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time40%
VeležBSK Banja Luka

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Velež - half-time state
11% leading33% draw56% trailing
BSK Banja Luka - half-time state
10% leading40% draw50% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.67Points per match (1st half)0.7
VeležBSK Banja Luka
0.11Goals scored (1st half)0.3
VeležBSK Banja Luka
0.89Goals conceded (1st half)0.7
VeležBSK Banja Luka
1Average goals (1st half)1
VeležBSK Banja Luka
44%Clean sheet before half-time40%
VeležBSK Banja Luka
89%No goal before half-time70%
VeležBSK Banja Luka

After half-time (2nd half)

1.11Points per match (2nd half)1.5
VeležBSK Banja Luka
0.56Goals scored (2nd half)1
VeležBSK Banja Luka
0.67Goals conceded (2nd half)1
VeležBSK Banja Luka
1.22Average goals (2nd half)2
VeležBSK Banja Luka
33%Clean sheet after half-time50%
VeležBSK Banja Luka
44%No goal after half-time40%
VeležBSK Banja Luka

Velež - second-half results

22% W44% D33% L
6
Half-time points
1
Half-time goals
-7
Goal difference (1st half)
10
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.67
PPG before half-time
Lead holding200%

Leads at half-time in 11% of matches and wins 22%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.2

Defence stays stable across the full match.

BSK Banja Luka - second-half results

40% W30% D30% L
7
Half-time points
3
Half-time goals
-4
Goal difference (1st half)
15
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.70
PPG before half-time
Lead holding200%

Leads at half-time in 10% of matches and wins 20%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Velež - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.601.20
Goals scored / match0.00.6
Goals conceded / match0.60.6
Average goals in match0.61.2
1 goal40%80%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal100%40%
Goal difference-30
Half-time: 0% leading - 60% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0
BSK Banja Luka - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.402.00
Goals scored / match0.41.4
Goals conceded / match1.01.0
Average goals in match1.42.4
1 goal80%80%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet20%40%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference-3+2
Half-time: 0% leading - 40% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Velež
ScoredConceded
1
2
0-15
0
3
16-30
0
3
31-45
2
1
46-60
0
3
61-75
3
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

BSK Banja Luka
ScoredConceded
0
1
0-15
0
3
16-30
3
3
31-45
2
3
46-60
4
2
61-75
4
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.62
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.2 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
102%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
47%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-23%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
39%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
13%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 8 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Velež

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.02
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.91
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+3.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.61
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.30
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
45%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
144%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.11
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.5
Late goals
50% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 17% come in the first quarter-hour.
50%

BSK Banja Luka

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.04
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.36
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.11
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.25
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
120%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
114%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.30
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.7
Late goals
31% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
31%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premier League of Bosnia).

Teams vs league

VeležLigaBSK Banja Luka
Average goals in match▼ 2.222.57▲ 3.00
Both teams scored▼ 33%53%▲ 60%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 33%43%▼ 40%
Clean sheets▲ 33%29%▼ 10%
Goal before half-time▲ 67%61%▲ 70%
Goal after half-time▲ 89%78%▼ 70%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.57
Average goals per match
53%
Both teams scored
43%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
29%
Clean sheets
1.49
Home goals / match
1.08
Away goals / match
+38%
Home attack advantage
+28%
Home defence advantage
+27%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
61%
1 goal
24%
2 goals
10%
3 goals
0%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
45%
2 goals
22%
3 goals
10%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Velež 0 - 0 - 1 BSK Banja Luka. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

FAQ

When do Velež and BSK Banja Luka play?

Velež face BSK Banja Luka on 24 October 2026 in Premier League of Bosnia at Stadion Vrapčići. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Velež vs BSK Banja Luka?

Velež score 0.67 goals per game on average and BSK Banja Luka 1.30. The Premier League of Bosnia average is 2.57 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 43% of games. Both teams score in 33% of Velež's matches and 60% of BSK Banja Luka's.

What form are Velež and BSK Banja Luka in?

Over the last 5 games Velež have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and BSK Banja Luka 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Velež vs BSK Banja Luka?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Velež vs BSK Banja Luka: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.