Velež vs Posusje: match statistics
Velež presents solid disposition at their home stadium with a 45% win rate and an impressive 64% clean sheets in home matches. The hosts show an advantage in expected goals (xG 1.57 vs 1.05), indicating more effective chance creation. Posusje struggles on the road with only 25% wins and a negative goal difference of -8, conceding an average of 1.33 goals per match. Velež holds a clear advantage in possession (53% vs 42%) and greater scoring efficiency in home games. The form of both teams in the last five matches is similar, but the hosts' advantage on their own turf and the visitors' weakness in away fixtures argue for a victory for Velež, though a draw cannot be ruled out given the hosts' relatively low scoring average.
Velež vs Posusje: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Velež played Posusje in Premier League of Bosnia (Bosnia & Herzegovina). The match was played on 6 March 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Velež: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Posusje: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Velež scores 0.87 and concedes 0.91 goals per match. Posusje scores 0.74 and concedes 1.13. League average: 2.14 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Velež 35%, Posusje 26%. Over 2.5: Velež 30%, Posusje 26%. League level: BTTS 37%, Over 2.5 37%.
xG, shots and style
Velež has higher xG: 1.32 vs 1.23. Velež: 10.0 shots per match, Posusje: 10.6.
Match halves
Velež: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.61. Posusje: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.30.
Goals by minute
Velež: 76-90+ (7 goals). Posusje: 0-15 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Premier League of Bosnia: 2.14 goals per match, BTTS 37%, Over 2.5 37%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-1. Average goals 0.50, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Velež presents solid disposition at their home stadium with a 45% win rate and an impressive 64% clean sheets in home matches. The hosts show an advantage in expected goals (xG 1.57 vs 1.05), indicating more effective chance creation. Posusje struggles on the road with only 25% wins and a negative goal difference of -8, conceding an average of 1.33 goals per match. Velež holds a clear advantage in possession (53% vs 42%) and greater scoring efficiency in home games. The form of both teams in the last five matches is similar, but the hosts' advantage on their own turf and the visitors' weakness in away fixtures argue for a victory for Velež, though a draw cannot be ruled out given the hosts' relatively low scoring average.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Velež | Posusje | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.24 | 0.23 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Posusje is 43% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Velež · 2 pts / match - Posusje
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Velež is 18% better for: goals scored per match.
0.87 goals / match - Velež · 0.74 goals / match - Posusje
Velež is 24% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.91 goals / match - Velež · 1.13 goals / match - Posusje
Velež scores in 57% of matches (13 of 23 matches), while Posusje keeps a clean sheet in 35% (8 of 23 matches).
Posusje scores in 52% of matches (12 of 23 matches), while Velež keeps a clean sheet in 35% (8 of 23 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Velež
Over / Under - Posusje
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Posusje is 13% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.04 pts / match - Velež · 1.17 pts / match - Posusje
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Velež - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 39%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Posusje - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 26%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (4 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Velež
Posusje
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premier League of Bosnia).
Teams vs league
| Velež | Liga | Posusje | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.78 | 2.14 | ▼ 1.87 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 35% | 37% | ▼ 26% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 30% | 37% | ▼ 26% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 35% | 37% | ▼ 35% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 48% | 57% | • 57% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 70% | 72% | ▲ 74% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Velež 0 - 1 - 1 Posusje. Average goals 0.50, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Velež vs Posusje?
The Premier League of Bosnia match finished Velež 1:0 Posusje. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Velež and Posusje?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Velež won 0, Posusje won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 0.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Velež vs Posusje?
Velež score 0.87 goals per game on average and Posusje 0.74. The Premier League of Bosnia average is 2.14 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 37% of games. Both teams score in 35% of Velež's matches and 26% of Posusje's.
What form are Velež and Posusje in?
Over the last 5 games Velež have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Posusje 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Velež vs Posusje?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Velež vs Posusje: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.