Velež vs Željezničar: match statistics
Velež shows a significantly better form in home matches, winning 40% of games with only 30% losses, while Željezničar away loses as many as 60% of matches and wins only 20%. The hosts have a positive goal difference at home (+1) and a higher average xG (1.59 vs 1.14), which indicates their offensive superiority. A key factor is also Velež's 60% clean sheets in home matches and a better PPG rate in the last 5 games (1.6 vs 1.0). Željezničar has poor away form with a losing streak and a negative goal difference (-7), which further favors the hosts. I expect a closely contested match, but Velež should capitalize on the home advantage and secure three points.
Velež vs Željezničar: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Velež played Željezničar in Premier League of Bosnia (Bosnia & Herzegovina). The match was played on 20 February 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Velež: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Željezničar: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Velež scores 0.90 and concedes 0.95 goals per match. Željezničar scores 0.90 and concedes 1.14. League average: 2.18 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Velež 38%, Željezničar 38%. Over 2.5: Velež 33%, Željezničar 33%. League level: BTTS 39%, Over 2.5 38%.
xG, shots and style
Velež has higher xG: 1.34 vs 1.29. Velež: 10.2 shots per match, Željezničar: 10.3.
Match halves
Velež: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 0.62. Željezničar: half-time lead 10%, second-half goals 0.62.
Goals by minute
Velež: 76-90+ (7 goals). Željezničar: 46-60 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Premier League of Bosnia: 2.18 goals per match, BTTS 39%, Over 2.5 38%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Velež shows a significantly better form in home matches, winning 40% of games with only 30% losses, while Željezničar away loses as many as 60% of matches and wins only 20%. The hosts have a positive goal difference at home (+1) and a higher average xG (1.59 vs 1.14), which indicates their offensive superiority. A key factor is also Velež's 60% clean sheets in home matches and a better PPG rate in the last 5 games (1.6 vs 1.0). Željezničar has poor away form with a losing streak and a negative goal difference (-7), which further favors the hosts. I expect a closely contested match, but Velež should capitalize on the home advantage and secure three points.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Velež | Željezničar | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.25 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Velež is 200% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Velež · 0.4 pts / match - Željezničar
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Velež is 20% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.95 goals / match - Velež · 1.14 goals / match - Željezničar
Velež scores in 57% of matches (12 of 21 matches), while Željezničar keeps a clean sheet in 38% (8 of 21 matches).
Željezničar scores in 62% of matches (13 of 21 matches), while Velež keeps a clean sheet in 33% (7 of 21 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Velež
Over / Under - Željezničar
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Velež is 30% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.05 pts / match - Velež · 0.81 pts / match - Željezničar
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Velež - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Željezničar - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 10% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 100% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Velež
Željezničar
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premier League of Bosnia).
Teams vs league
| Velež | Liga | Željezničar | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.86 | 2.18 | ▼ 2.05 |
| Both teams scored | • 38% | 39% | • 38% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 33% | 38% | ▼ 33% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 33% | 37% | • 38% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 52% | 59% | ▼ 52% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 67% | 71% | • 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Velež 1 - 0 - 1 Željezničar. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Velež vs Željezničar?
The Premier League of Bosnia match finished Velež 1:0 Željezničar. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Velež and Željezničar?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Velež won 1, Željezničar won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Velež vs Željezničar?
Velež score 0.90 goals per game on average and Željezničar 0.90. The Premier League of Bosnia average is 2.18 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 38% of games. Both teams score in 38% of Velež's matches and 38% of Željezničar's.
What form are Velež and Željezničar in?
Over the last 5 games Velež have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Željezničar 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Velež vs Željezničar?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Velež vs Željezničar: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.