Venados vs Atlético Zacatepec: match statistics
Venados display significantly better offensive form, scoring an average of 2.78 goals per match at home, while Atlético Zacatepec score only 1.25 goals away. The hosts have a clear advantage in shot accuracy (20% vs 10%) and a higher average xG (1.66 vs 1.37), indicating they create better goal-scoring opportunities. Venados win or draw in 88% of their home matches (44% wins, 44% draws), which demonstrates their solidity at their own stadium. Atlético Zacatepec have a negative goal difference away (-2) and lose 38% of their away matches, further weakening their chances. Considering both teams' recent form (Venados: 1.4 PPG vs Zacatepec: 1.0 PPG) and the hosts' advantage in key offensive and defensive statistics, I expect a Venados victory, although a draw cannot be ruled out due to the high frequency of such results for the home side.
Venados vs Atlético Zacatepec: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Venados played Atlético Zacatepec in Ascenso MX (Mexico). The match was played on 7 February 2026. Final score: 3:3.
Current form
Venados: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Atlético Zacatepec: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Venados scores 2.17 and concedes 2.22 goals per match. Atlético Zacatepec scores 1.12 and concedes 1.71. League average: 2.88 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Venados 67%, Atlético Zacatepec 59%. Over 2.5: Venados 67%, Atlético Zacatepec 47%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
Venados has higher xG: 1.48 vs 1.36. Venados: 12.8 shots per match, Atlético Zacatepec: 11.9.
Match halves
Venados: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 1.11. Atlético Zacatepec: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.65.
Goals by minute
Venados: 31-45+ (8 goals). Atlético Zacatepec: 46-60 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ascenso MX: 2.88 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 9.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Venados display significantly better offensive form, scoring an average of 2.78 goals per match at home, while Atlético Zacatepec score only 1.25 goals away. The hosts have a clear advantage in shot accuracy (20% vs 10%) and a higher average xG (1.66 vs 1.37), indicating they create better goal-scoring opportunities. Venados win or draw in 88% of their home matches (44% wins, 44% draws), which demonstrates their solidity at their own stadium. Atlético Zacatepec have a negative goal difference away (-2) and lose 38% of their away matches, further weakening their chances. Considering both teams' recent form (Venados: 1.4 PPG vs Zacatepec: 1.0 PPG) and the hosts' advantage in key offensive and defensive statistics, I expect a Venados victory, although a draw cannot be ruled out due to the high frequency of such results for the home side.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Venados | Atlético Zacatepec | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.44 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Venados is 40% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Venados · 1 pts / match - Atlético Zacatepec
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Venados is 94% better for: goals scored per match.
2.17 goals / match - Venados · 1.12 goals / match - Atlético Zacatepec
Atlético Zacatepec is 30% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.22 goals / match - Venados · 1.71 goals / match - Atlético Zacatepec
Venados scores in 72% of matches (13 of 18 matches), while Atlético Zacatepec keeps a clean sheet in 18% (3 of 17 matches).
Atlético Zacatepec scores in 76% of matches (13 of 17 matches), while Venados keeps a clean sheet in 6% (1 of 18 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Venados
Over / Under - Atlético Zacatepec
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Venados is 29% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.44 pts / match - Venados · 1.12 pts / match - Atlético Zacatepec
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Venados - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.7 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Atlético Zacatepec - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 24%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.8 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 3.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +6 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Venados
Atlético Zacatepec
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ascenso MX).
Teams vs league
| Venados | Liga | Atlético Zacatepec | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 4.39 | 2.88 | • 2.82 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 67% | 54% | ▲ 59% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 67% | 53% | ▼ 47% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 6% | 27% | ▼ 18% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 72% | 75% | • 76% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 89% | 79% | ▲ 82% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Venados 1 - 0 - 0 Atlético Zacatepec. Average goals 9.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Venados vs Atlético Zacatepec?
The Ascenso MX match finished Venados 3:3 Atlético Zacatepec. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Venados vs Atlético Zacatepec?
Venados score 2.17 goals per game on average and Atlético Zacatepec 1.12. The Ascenso MX average is 2.88 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Venados's matches and 59% of Atlético Zacatepec's.
What form are Venados and Atlético Zacatepec in?
Over the last 5 games Venados have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Atlético Zacatepec 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Venados vs Atlético Zacatepec?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.