Mexico - Ascenso MXData current as of 23 July 2026

Venados vs Cancún: match statistics

Venados crest
Venados
2 : 0half-time 0:0
Cancún crest
Cancún
130%(2.12)
X25%(3.30)
245%(3.10)

Cancún presents decidedly better form and season balance with 11 wins against just 4 losses, while Venados has only 6 wins and as many as 8 defeats. The key factor is defense – the visitors concede an average of only 1 goal per away match and hold 40% clean sheets, whereas the hosts concede an average of 2.1 goals in home matches. Although Venados score more goals at home (average 2.8), their weak defense and only 40% win rate in home matches do not give them an advantage. The form over the last 5 matches also favors the guests – Cancún earns 1.6 points per match with 2 victories, while Venados averages only 1.0 point with just 1 win. Solid defense and better efficiency give Cancún a real chance for an away victory.

Venados vs Cancún: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Venados play Cancún in Ascenso MX (Mexico). The match date is 11 February 2026 at 01:00. Final score: 2:0.

Current form

Venados: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Cancún: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

Venados scores 1.93 and concedes 1.96 goals per match. Cancún scores 1.62 and concedes 0.94. League average: 2.85 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Venados 64%, Cancún 59%. Over 2.5: Venados 61%, Cancún 50%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 53%.

xG, shots and style

Venados has higher xG: 1.48 vs 1.39. Venados: 12.5 shots per match, Cancún: 11.3.

Match halves

Venados: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 1.14. Cancún: half-time lead 53%, second-half goals 0.74.

Goals by minute

Venados: 46-60 (12 goals). Cancún: 31-45+ (13 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Ascenso MX: 2.85 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 53%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.

Match description

Cancún presents decidedly better form and season balance with 11 wins against just 4 losses, while Venados has only 6 wins and as many as 8 defeats. The key factor is defense – the visitors concede an average of only 1 goal per away match and hold 40% clean sheets, whereas the hosts concede an average of 2.1 goals in home matches. Although Venados score more goals at home (average 2.8), their weak defense and only 40% win rate in home matches do not give them an advantage. The form over the last 5 matches also favors the guests – Cancún earns 1.6 points per match with 2 victories, while Venados averages only 1.0 point with just 1 win. Solid defense and better efficiency give Cancún a real chance for an away victory.

Half-by-half

0 : 0
1st half
2 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

49Possession (%)51
VenadosCancún
12Shots10
VenadosCancún
7Shots on target3
VenadosCancún
1.51xG1.21
VenadosCancún
2Corners2
VenadosCancún
36Dangerous attacks50
VenadosCancún
13Fouls15
VenadosCancún
2Cards7
VenadosCancún

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.93Goals scored / match1.62
VenadosCancún
1.96Goals conceded / match0.94
VenadosCancún
50%Average possession44%
VenadosCancún
4.89Shots on target / match4.79
VenadosCancún

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

12.54Shots per match11.35
VenadosCancún
4.89Shots on target4.79
VenadosCancún
15.4%Shot conversion14.2%
VenadosCancún
50%Possession44%
VenadosCancún
1.48xG for1.39
VenadosCancún
1.65xG against1.62
VenadosCancún

Shooting quality

Venados: Efficient finishingCancún: Counter-attacking
VenadosCancún
Accuracy (shots on target)39%42%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.390.34

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Venados
LWDWD
Season result split
32% W25% R43% P
Season (W-D-L)
9-7-12
1.21 pts / match · goal difference -1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
7-5-2
Last 5 at home
3-1-1
DWLWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.55Opponent xG: 1.56BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%
Cancún
WDWLD
Season result split
50% W29% R21% P
Season (W-D-L)
17-10-7
1.79 pts / match · goal difference +23
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
8-4-5
Last 5 away
2-2-1
DWWDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.32Opponent xG: 1.51BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Venados is 19% better for: goals scored per match.

1.93 goals / match - Venados · 1.62 goals / match - Cancún

Cancún is 109% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.96 goals / match - Venados · 0.94 goals / match - Cancún

Venados scoring profile: strong

Venados scores in 71% of matches (20 of 28 matches), while Cancún keeps a clean sheet in 32% (11 of 34 matches).

Cancún scoring profile: very strong

Cancún scores in 85% of matches (29 of 34 matches), while Venados keeps a clean sheet in 7% (2 of 28 matches).

54Goals scored (season)55
VenadosCancún
55Goals conceded (season)32
VenadosCancún
3.89Average goals in match2.56
VenadosCancún
9Goals scored (last 5)6
VenadosCancún
7Goals conceded (last 5)5
VenadosCancún

How often they score at least...

71%1 goal85%
VenadosCancún
50%2 goals38%
VenadosCancún
32%3 goals21%
VenadosCancún
25%4 goals12%
VenadosCancún

How often they concede at least...

93%1 goal68%
VenadosCancún
54%2 goals24%
VenadosCancún
36%3 goals3%
VenadosCancún
14%4 goals0%
VenadosCancún

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

36%BTTS at half-time21%
VenadosCancún
21%BTTS in both halves3%
VenadosCancún
39%Scored in both halves32%
VenadosCancún

BTTS and goal count

57%Min. 3 goals and BTTS41%
VenadosCancún
4%Min. 3 goals without BTTS9%
VenadosCancún
80%BTTS - last 580%
VenadosCancún

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

75%Min. 1 goal before half-time71%
VenadosCancún
46%Min. 2 goals before half-time32%
VenadosCancún
25%Min. 3 goals before half-time9%
VenadosCancún

2nd half

89%Min. 1 goal after half-time74%
VenadosCancún
61%Min. 2 goals after half-time50%
VenadosCancún
36%Min. 3 goals after half-time18%
VenadosCancún

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Cancún is 75% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.14 pts / match - Venados · 2 pts / match - Cancún

Venados - half-time state
25% leading39% draw36% trailing
Cancún - half-time state
53% leading41% draw6% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.14Points per match (1st half)2
VenadosCancún
0.79Goals scored (1st half)0.88
VenadosCancún
0.82Goals conceded (1st half)0.26
VenadosCancún
1.61Average goals (1st half)1.15
VenadosCancún
39%Clean sheet before half-time74%
VenadosCancún
50%No goal before half-time35%
VenadosCancún

After half-time (2nd half)

1.39Points per match (2nd half)1.18
VenadosCancún
1.14Goals scored (2nd half)0.74
VenadosCancún
1.14Goals conceded (2nd half)0.68
VenadosCancún
2.29Average goals (2nd half)1.41
VenadosCancún
32%Clean sheet after half-time47%
VenadosCancún
39%No goal after half-time47%
VenadosCancún

Venados - second-half results

39% W21% R39% P
32
Half-time points
22
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
39
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.14
PPG before half-time
Lead holding128%

Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 32%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Cancún - second-half results

24% W47% R29% P
68
Half-time points
30
Half-time goals
+21
Goal difference (1st half)
40
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding94%

Leads at half-time in 53% of matches and wins 50%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.

Defence after half-time+0.4

Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Venados - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.602.60
Goals scored / match0.41.4
Goals conceded / match1.20.2
Average goals in match1.61.6
1 goal100%80%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet0%80%
No goal80%20%
Goal difference-4+6
Half-time: 20% leading - 0% draw - 80% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 20% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2
Cancún - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.200.60
Goals scored / match0.60.6
Goals conceded / match0.01.0
Average goals in match0.61.6
1 goal60%80%
2 goals0%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet100%20%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference+3-2
Half-time: 60% leading - 40% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 60% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Venados
ScoredConceded
8
6
0-15
5
7
16-30
9
10
31-45
12
11
46-60
9
6
61-75
11
15
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (12 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.

Cancún
ScoredConceded
7
2
0-15
10
3
16-30
13
4
31-45
12
5
46-60
4
8
61-75
9
10
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (13 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.23
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.4 : 1.8
Estimated goal split
home : away
113%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
62%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-69%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
60%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
4%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 25 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Venados

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.17
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.14
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-7.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.45
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.31
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
112%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
173%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.39
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
20% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 15% come in the first quarter-hour.
20%

Cancún

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.23
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.91
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-15.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.23
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.68
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
143%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
54%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.19
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
16% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
16%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ascenso MX).

Teams vs league

VenadosLigaCancún
Average goals in match 3.892.85 2.56
Both teams scored 64%57% 59%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 61%53% 50%
Clean sheets 7%25% 32%
Goal before half-time 75%74% 71%
Goal after half-time 89%80% 74%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.85
Average goals per match
57%
Both teams scored
53%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
25%
Clean sheets
1.73
Home goals / match
1.13
Away goals / match
+53%
Home attack advantage
+35%
Home defence advantage
+26%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
35%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
80%
1 goal
45%
2 goals
19%
3 goals
7%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Venados 0 - 0 - 1 Cancún. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

Cancún FC
1 : 0
Venados FC Yucatán

FAQ

What was the result of Venados vs Cancún?

The Ascenso MX match finished Venados 2:0 Cancún. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Venados vs Cancún?

Venados score 1.93 goals per game on average and Cancún 1.62. The Ascenso MX average is 2.85 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 64% of Venados's matches and 59% of Cancún's.

What form are Venados and Cancún in?

Over the last 5 games Venados have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Cancún 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Venados vs Cancún?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.