Venados vs Correcaminos UAT: match statistics
Venados presents significantly better scoring form at their own stadium, averaging 2.73 goals per match in home games, while Correcaminos UAT records just 0.9 goals on average away. The hosts have a positive goal difference (+9) in home matches and high efficiency (45% wins at home), which contrasts with the visitors' very weak form away (only 10% wins, -14 goal difference). Correcaminos UAT struggles to score away (30% of matches without a goal) and concedes an average of 2.3 goals, which, given Venados' offensive potential at home, could be pivotal. Although the form of both teams in the last five matches is not impressive, the hosts' statistical advantage in home matches and the distinct weakness of the visitors away speak in favor of a Venados victory. However, the hosts' tendency to draw at home (45%) must be considered, increasing the probability of a split of points.
Venados vs Correcaminos UAT: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Venados played Correcaminos UAT in Ascenso MX (Mexico). The match was played on 7 March 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Venados: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Correcaminos UAT: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Venados scores 2.05 and concedes 2.14 goals per match. Correcaminos UAT scores 1.05 and concedes 2.24. League average: 2.89 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Venados 64%, Correcaminos UAT 67%. Over 2.5: Venados 64%, Correcaminos UAT 62%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
Venados has higher xG: 1.45 vs 1.12. Venados: 12.4 shots per match, Correcaminos UAT: 8.6.
Match halves
Venados: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 1.14. Correcaminos UAT: half-time lead 5%, second-half goals 0.71.
Goals by minute
Venados: 46-60 (9 goals). Correcaminos UAT: 76-90+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ascenso MX: 2.89 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 9.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Venados presents significantly better scoring form at their own stadium, averaging 2.73 goals per match in home games, while Correcaminos UAT records just 0.9 goals on average away. The hosts have a positive goal difference (+9) in home matches and high efficiency (45% wins at home), which contrasts with the visitors' very weak form away (only 10% wins, -14 goal difference). Correcaminos UAT struggles to score away (30% of matches without a goal) and concedes an average of 2.3 goals, which, given Venados' offensive potential at home, could be pivotal. Although the form of both teams in the last five matches is not impressive, the hosts' statistical advantage in home matches and the distinct weakness of the visitors away speak in favor of a Venados victory. However, the hosts' tendency to draw at home (45%) must be considered, increasing the probability of a split of points.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Venados | Correcaminos UAT | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.41 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Correcaminos UAT is 50% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Venados · 1.2 pts / match - Correcaminos UAT
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Venados is 95% better for: goals scored per match.
2.05 goals / match - Venados · 1.05 goals / match - Correcaminos UAT
Venados is 5% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.14 goals / match - Venados · 2.24 goals / match - Correcaminos UAT
Venados scores in 73% of matches (16 of 22 matches), while Correcaminos UAT keeps a clean sheet in 14% (3 of 21 matches).
Correcaminos UAT scores in 76% of matches (16 of 21 matches), while Venados keeps a clean sheet in 9% (2 of 22 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Venados
Over / Under - Correcaminos UAT
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Venados is 165% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.27 pts / match - Venados · 0.48 pts / match - Correcaminos UAT
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Venados - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 32%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Correcaminos UAT - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 5% of matches and wins 14%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Venados
Correcaminos UAT
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ascenso MX).
Teams vs league
| Venados | Liga | Correcaminos UAT | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 4.18 | 2.89 | ▲ 3.29 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 64% | 55% | ▲ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 64% | 53% | ▲ 62% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 9% | 27% | ▼ 14% |
| Goal before half-time | • 73% | 72% | ▲ 81% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 91% | 80% | ▲ 90% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Venados 1 - 0 - 0 Correcaminos UAT. Average goals 9.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Venados vs Correcaminos UAT?
The Ascenso MX match finished Venados 0:1 Correcaminos UAT. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Venados vs Correcaminos UAT?
Venados score 2.05 goals per game on average and Correcaminos UAT 1.05. The Ascenso MX average is 2.89 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 64% of Venados's matches and 67% of Correcaminos UAT's.
What form are Venados and Correcaminos UAT in?
Over the last 5 games Venados have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Correcaminos UAT 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Venados vs Correcaminos UAT?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.