Venados vs Dorados: match statistics
Venados clearly dominates in this matchup, presenting solid home form with 50% wins and only 13% losses at their own stadium. The hosts score an average of 2.63 goals per home match, with 18% efficiency and a positive goal difference of +7. Dorados, on the other hand, is in catastrophic away form, losing all of their last 8 away matches (100% defeat rate) and earning zero points. The visitors score an average of only 0.5 goals away while conceding 2.63, resulting in a -17 balance. The difference in quality of play, efficiency, and form is so significant that a decisive victory for Venados is the most likely scenario.
Venados vs Dorados: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Venados played Dorados in Ascenso MX (Mexico). The match was played on 25 January 2026. Final score: 4:4.
Current form
Venados: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Dorados: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Venados scores 2.19 and concedes 2.19 goals per match. Dorados scores 0.69 and concedes 1.88. League average: 2.93 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Venados 69%, Dorados 50%. Over 2.5: Venados 69%, Dorados 56%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 54%.
xG, shots and style
Venados has higher xG: 1.51 vs 1.13. Venados: 13.0 shots per match, Dorados: 9.9.
Match halves
Venados: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 1.13. Dorados: half-time lead 6%, second-half goals 0.56.
Goals by minute
Venados: 46-60 (7 goals). Dorados: 61-75 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ascenso MX: 2.93 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 54%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Venados clearly dominates in this matchup, presenting solid home form with 50% wins and only 13% losses at their own stadium. The hosts score an average of 2.63 goals per home match, with 18% efficiency and a positive goal difference of +7. Dorados, on the other hand, is in catastrophic away form, losing all of their last 8 away matches (100% defeat rate) and earning zero points. The visitors score an average of only 0.5 goals away while conceding 2.63, resulting in a -17 balance. The difference in quality of play, efficiency, and form is so significant that a decisive victory for Venados is the most likely scenario.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Venados | Dorados | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 29% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.43 | 0.24 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Venados is 75% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Venados · 0.8 pts / match - Dorados
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Venados is 217% better for: goals scored per match.
2.19 goals / match - Venados · 0.69 goals / match - Dorados
Dorados is 16% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.19 goals / match - Venados · 1.88 goals / match - Dorados
Venados scores in 75% of matches (12 of 16 matches), while Dorados keeps a clean sheet in 13% (2 of 16 matches).
Dorados scores in 56% of matches (9 of 16 matches), while Venados keeps a clean sheet in 6% (1 of 16 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Venados
Over / Under - Dorados
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Venados is 176% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.38 pts / match - Venados · 0.5 pts / match - Dorados
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Venados - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Dorados - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 6% of matches and wins 13%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +5 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Venados
Dorados
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ascenso MX).
Teams vs league
| Venados | Liga | Dorados | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 4.38 | 2.93 | ▼ 2.56 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 69% | 56% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 69% | 54% | ▲ 56% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 6% | 26% | ▼ 13% |
| Goal before half-time | • 75% | 76% | ▼ 69% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 88% | 80% | ▲ 88% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Other recorded players
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Venados 0 - 0 - 1 Dorados. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Venados vs Dorados?
The Ascenso MX match finished Venados 4:4 Dorados. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Venados vs Dorados?
Venados score 2.19 goals per game on average and Dorados 0.69. The Ascenso MX average is 2.93 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 69% of Venados's matches and 50% of Dorados's.
What form are Venados and Dorados in?
Over the last 5 games Venados have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Dorados 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Venados vs Dorados?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Venados vs Dorados: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.