Mexico - Ascenso MXEstadio Olímpico Carlos Iturralde RiveroData current as of 21 October 2026

Venados vs Durango: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Venados vs Durango: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Venados play Durango in Ascenso MX (Mexico). The match date is 24 October 2026. Venue: Estadio Olímpico Carlos Iturralde Rivero.

Current form

Venados: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Durango: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

Venados scores 2.15 and concedes 1.77 goals per match. Durango scores 1.23 and concedes 0.85. League average: 3.26 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Venados 85%, Durango 23%. Over 2.5: Venados 77%, Durango 31%. League level: BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 63%.

xG, shots and style

Venados has higher xG: 1.91 vs 1.53. Venados: 15.8 shots per match, Durango: 12.5.

Match halves

Venados: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 1.46. Durango: half-time lead 23%, second-half goals 0.77.

Goals by minute

Venados: 61-75 (8 goals). Durango: 61-75 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Ascenso MX: 3.26 goals per match, BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 63%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(2.11)
(3.50)
(2.95)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

2.15Goals scored / match1.23
VenadosDurango
1.77Goals conceded / match0.85
VenadosDurango
50%Average possession59%
VenadosDurango
6.69Shots on target / match4
VenadosDurango

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

15.77Shots per match12.46
VenadosDurango
6.69Shots on target4
VenadosDurango
13.7%Shot conversion9.9%
VenadosDurango
50%Possession59%
VenadosDurango
1.91xG for1.53
VenadosDurango
1.55xG against1.31
VenadosDurango

Shooting quality

Venados: AttackingDurango: Balanced
VenadosDurango
Accuracy (shots on target)42%32%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.320.31

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Durango is 63% better for: last-5 form.

1.6 pts / match - Venados · 2.6 pts / match - Durango

Venados
LWWDD
Season result split
46% W23% D31% L
Season (W-D-L)
6-3-4
1.62 pts / match · goal difference +5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
5-1-0
Last 5 at home
4-1-0
WWWWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.55Opponent xG: 1.81BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 60%
Durango
WWWDW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
46% W23% D31% L
Season (W-D-L)
6-3-4
1.62 pts / match · goal difference +5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-1-0
2.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
3-2-2
Last 5 away
1-2-2
LDLWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.4Goals conceded: 0.4xG: 1.94Opponent xG: 1.17BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 40%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Venados is 75% better for: goals scored per match.

2.15 goals / match - Venados · 1.23 goals / match - Durango

Durango is 108% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.77 goals / match - Venados · 0.85 goals / match - Durango

Venados scoring profile: very strong

Venados scores in 100% of matches (13 of 13 matches), while Durango keeps a clean sheet in 54% (7 of 13 matches).

Durango scoring profile: very strong

Durango scores in 62% of matches (8 of 13 matches), while Venados keeps a clean sheet in 15% (2 of 13 matches).

28Goals scored (season)16
VenadosDurango
23Goals conceded (season)11
VenadosDurango
3.92Average goals in match2.08
VenadosDurango
7Goals scored (last 5)12
VenadosDurango
6Goals conceded (last 5)2
VenadosDurango

How often they score at least...

100%1 goal62%
VenadosDurango
54%2 goals23%
VenadosDurango
38%3 goals15%
VenadosDurango
15%4 goals15%
VenadosDurango

How often they concede at least...

85%1 goal46%
VenadosDurango
46%2 goals31%
VenadosDurango
23%3 goals8%
VenadosDurango
15%4 goals0%
VenadosDurango

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

31%BTTS at half-time8%
VenadosDurango
0%BTTS in both halves0%
VenadosDurango
31%Scored in both halves23%
VenadosDurango

BTTS and goal count

62%Min. 3 goals and BTTS15%
VenadosDurango
15%Min. 3 goals without BTTS15%
VenadosDurango
100%BTTS - last 520%
VenadosDurango

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

85%Min. 1 goal before half-time54%
VenadosDurango
38%Min. 2 goals before half-time31%
VenadosDurango
31%Min. 3 goals before half-time8%
VenadosDurango

2nd half

85%Min. 1 goal after half-time62%
VenadosDurango
77%Min. 2 goals after half-time23%
VenadosDurango
46%Min. 3 goals after half-time23%
VenadosDurango

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Venados is 7% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.23 pts / match - Venados · 1.15 pts / match - Durango

Venados - half-time state
31% leading31% draw38% trailing
Durango - half-time state
23% leading46% draw31% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.23Points per match (1st half)1.15
VenadosDurango
0.69Goals scored (1st half)0.46
VenadosDurango
0.92Goals conceded (1st half)0.46
VenadosDurango
1.62Average goals (1st half)0.92
VenadosDurango
38%Clean sheet before half-time69%
VenadosDurango
46%No goal before half-time69%
VenadosDurango

After half-time (2nd half)

1.62Points per match (2nd half)1.85
VenadosDurango
1.46Goals scored (2nd half)0.77
VenadosDurango
0.85Goals conceded (2nd half)0.38
VenadosDurango
2.31Average goals (2nd half)1.15
VenadosDurango
46%Clean sheet after half-time85%
VenadosDurango
23%No goal after half-time46%
VenadosDurango

Venados - second-half results

38% W46% D15% L
16
Half-time points
9
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
21
Second-half points
+8
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.23
PPG before half-time
Lead holding148%

Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 46%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Durango - second-half results

46% W46% D8% L
15
Half-time points
6
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
24
Second-half points
+5
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.15
PPG before half-time
Lead holding200%

Leads at half-time in 23% of matches and wins 46%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Venados - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.401.40
Goals scored / match0.60.8
Goals conceded / match0.60.6
Average goals in match1.21.4
1 goal80%80%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference0+1
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 80% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3
Durango - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.202.20
Goals scored / match1.01.4
Goals conceded / match0.00.4
Average goals in match1.01.8
1 goal60%80%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet100%80%
No goal40%20%
Goal difference+5+5
Half-time: 60% leading - 40% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 40% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 5

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Venados
ScoredConceded
2
3
0-15
2
2
16-30
5
7
31-45
5
5
46-60
8
3
61-75
6
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

Durango
ScoredConceded
3
2
0-15
1
1
16-30
2
3
31-45
1
1
46-60
6
2
61-75
3
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.00
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.5 : 1.5
Estimated goal split
home : away
92%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
54%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
62%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Venados

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.36
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.02
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.24
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.22
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
108%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
139%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.02
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.8
Late goals
21% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 7% come in the first quarter-hour.
21%

Durango

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.22
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.16
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-5.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.30
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.46
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
97%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
43%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.98
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
19% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 19% come in the first quarter-hour.
19%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ascenso MX).

Teams vs league

VenadosLigaDurango
Average goals in match▲ 3.923.26▼ 2.08
Both teams scored▲ 85%61%▼ 23%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 77%63%▼ 31%
Clean sheets▼ 15%22%▲ 54%
Goal before half-time▲ 85%76%▼ 54%
Goal after half-time▲ 85%82%▼ 62%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.26
Average goals per match
61%
Both teams scored
63%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
22%
Clean sheets
1.99
Home goals / match
1.27
Away goals / match
+57%
Home attack advantage
+36%
Home defence advantage
+21%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
43%
2 goals
14%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
82%
1 goal
58%
2 goals
34%
3 goals
13%
4 goals

FAQ

When do Venados and Durango play?

Venados face Durango on 24 October 2026 in Ascenso MX at Estadio Olímpico Carlos Iturralde Rivero. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Venados vs Durango?

Venados score 2.15 goals per game on average and Durango 1.23. The Ascenso MX average is 3.26 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 85% of Venados's matches and 23% of Durango's.

What form are Venados and Durango in?

Over the last 5 games Venados have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Durango 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Venados vs Durango?

The statistical background for Venados vs Durango — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.