Venados vs Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara: match statistics
Venados vs Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Venados play Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara in Ascenso MX (Mexico). The match date is 12 April 2026 at 03:00. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Venados: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Venados scores 1.93 and concedes 1.96 goals per match. Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara scores 1.20 and concedes 1.53. League average: 2.85 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Venados 64%, Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara 57%. Over 2.5: Venados 61%, Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara 43%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara has higher xG: 1.53 vs 1.48. Venados: 12.5 shots per match, Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara: 12.5.
Match halves
Venados: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 1.14. Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.67.
Goals by minute
Venados: 46-60 (12 goals). Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara: 46-60 (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ascenso MX: 2.85 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Venados are stronger offensively at home: they average 2.62 goals per home match, registering 14 shots and 5.92 on target with a 19% conversion rate, while Leones on the road score only 0.93 goals on average, with 9.93 shots and 3.43 on target, and a 9% conversion. Expected goals also favor the hosts — Venados xG at home is 1.65 versus 1.26 xG for the visitors away — and the visitors concede 2.00 goals on average away compared to 1.77 conceded by Venados at home. Defensive stats and trends amplify this advantage: Leones have 36% of away matches without scoring and only 7% clean sheets, whereas Venados fail to score in 8% of home games and keep 15% clean sheets, indicating greater attacking confidence for the hosts. Form over the last five matches is poor for both teams — Venados earned 0.8 points per game (1W, 1D, 3L), and Leones 1.0 point per game (1W, 2D, 2L) — but the difference in chance quality and efficiency favors Venados. Therefore I predict a home win; I estimate Venados win probability at 65%, draw 20% and Leones win 15%.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Venados | Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.39 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Venados is 100% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Venados · 0.8 pts / match - Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Venados is 61% better for: goals scored per match.
1.93 goals / match - Venados · 1.2 goals / match - Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara is 28% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.96 goals / match - Venados · 1.53 goals / match - Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
Venados scores in 71% of matches (20 of 28 matches), while Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara keeps a clean sheet in 23% (7 of 30 matches).
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara scores in 73% of matches (22 of 30 matches), while Venados keeps a clean sheet in 7% (2 of 28 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Venados
Over / Under — Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara is 5% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.14 pts / match - Venados · 1.2 pts / match - Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Venados - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 32%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -4 | +6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (12 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (9 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Venados
Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ascenso MX).
Teams vs league
| Venados | Liga | Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.89 | 2.85 | ▼ 2.73 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 64% | 57% | • 57% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 61% | 53% | ▼ 43% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 7% | 25% | ▼ 23% |
| Goal before half-time | • 75% | 74% | ▲ 77% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 89% | 80% | • 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Venados 0 - 0 - 1 Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Venados vs Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara?
The Ascenso MX match finished Venados 2:1 Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Venados vs Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara?
Venados score 1.93 goals per game on average and Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara 1.20. The Ascenso MX average is 2.85 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 64% of Venados's matches and 57% of Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara's.
What form are Venados and Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara in?
Over the last 5 games Venados have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Venados vs Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara?
The statistical background for Venados vs Leones Negros de la Universidad de Guadalajara — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.