Verl vs Havelse: match statistics
Verl vs Havelse: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Verl play Havelse in 3. Liga (Germany). The match date is 2 May 2026 at 14:00. Final score: 4:0.
Current form
Verl: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Havelse: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Verl scores 2.16 and concedes 1.26 goals per match. Havelse scores 1.50 and concedes 2.34. League average: 3.21 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Verl 66%, Havelse 76%. Over 2.5: Verl 74%, Havelse 71%. League level: BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 64%.
xG, shots and style
Verl has higher xG: 1.76 vs 1.42. Verl: 14.6 shots per match, Havelse: 12.2.
Match halves
Verl: half-time lead 47%, second-half goals 1.18. Havelse: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 1.05.
Goals by minute
Verl: 76-90+ (18 goals). Havelse: 76-90+ (21 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
3. Liga: 3.21 goals per match, BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 64%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
In my projection the home side are the favorites: Verl score an average of 2.53 goals per home game and have an average xG of 1.89 with 5.94 shots on target and 66% possession, indicating clear control and good quality of chances. Havelse away average 1.47 goals (xG 1.50), take 12.65 shots with 4.35 on target, but they have as many as 12% of matches without scoring and concede an average of 2.35 goals with xG against 2.11, revealing serious defensive issues. The gap in efficiency and stability is also visible in percentages: Verl win 59% of home matches and keep 35% clean sheets, whereas Havelse win only 12% of away games and record 6% clean sheets with 65% away defeats. At the same time Havelse have better recent form (3 wins in the last 5 and an average 1.8 points per game versus Verl’s 1 win and 0.8 points), so the visitors can be dangerous despite defensive frailties. Considering the advantage in possession, quality of chances (xG 1.89 vs 1.50), Verl’s superior home efficiency and Havelse’s defensive weaknesses on the road, I assign Verl a 65% chance to win, draw 20% and Havelse to win 15%.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Verl | Havelse | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.39 | 0.39 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Verl is 50% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Verl · 1.2 pts / match - Havelse
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Verl is 44% better for: goals scored per match.
2.16 goals / match - Verl · 1.5 goals / match - Havelse
Verl is 86% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.26 goals / match - Verl · 2.34 goals / match - Havelse
Verl scores in 87% of matches (33 of 38 matches), while Havelse keeps a clean sheet in 8% (3 of 38 matches).
Havelse scores in 82% of matches (31 of 38 matches), while Verl keeps a clean sheet in 26% (10 of 38 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Verl
Over / Under — Havelse
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Verl is 91% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.76 pts / match - Verl · 0.92 pts / match - Havelse
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Verl - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 47% of matches and wins 47%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Havelse - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 24%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +5 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 2.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 3.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (18 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (21 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (20). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Verl
Havelse
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (3. Liga).
Teams vs league
| Verl | Liga | Havelse | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.42 | 3.21 | ▲ 3.84 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 66% | 64% | ▲ 76% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 74% | 64% | ▲ 71% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 26% | 21% | ▼ 8% |
| Goal before half-time | • 76% | 77% | ▲ 79% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 89% | 83% | ▲ 97% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Verl 0 - 1 - 0 Havelse. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Verl vs Havelse?
The 3. Liga match finished Verl 4:0 Havelse. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Verl vs Havelse?
Verl score 2.16 goals per game on average and Havelse 1.50. The 3. Liga average is 3.21 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 64% of games. Both teams score in 66% of Verl's matches and 76% of Havelse's.
What form are Verl and Havelse in?
Over the last 5 games Verl have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Havelse 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Verl vs Havelse?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.