Verl vs Saarbrucken: match statistics
Verl is showing significantly better home form with a 57% win rate at their own stadium and an impressive goal difference of +21 on home turf. The hosts average 2.64 goals per home match, and have failed to score in just 7% of their home fixtures, highlighting their efficient attack. Saarbrücken have very poor away statistics - just a 7% win rate on the road, 47% losses, and a negative goal difference of -10, making them one of the weakest away sides in the league. Furthermore, the visitors concede an average of 1.73 goals per away game and keep only 7% clean sheets, while Verl maintains clean sheets in 29% of their home matches. The advantage in possession (66% vs 50%), significantly higher shot accuracy (16% vs 9%), and superior xG metrics (1.91 vs 1.44) further support a win for the hosts.
Verl vs Saarbrucken: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Verl played Saarbrucken in 3. Liga (Germany). The match was played on 21 March 2026. Final score: 3:0.
Current form
Verl: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Saarbrucken: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Verl scores 2.31 and concedes 1.41 goals per match. Saarbrucken scores 1.38 and concedes 1.48. League average: 3.14 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Verl 76%, Saarbrucken 69%. Over 2.5: Verl 79%, Saarbrucken 45%. League level: BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 64%.
xG, shots and style
Verl has higher xG: 1.81 vs 1.58. Verl: 15.1 shots per match, Saarbrucken: 13.0.
Match halves
Verl: half-time lead 45%, second-half goals 1.28. Saarbrucken: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 0.69.
Goals by minute
Verl: 76-90+ (16 goals). Saarbrucken: 0-15 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
3. Liga: 3.14 goals per match, BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 64%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 6.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Verl is showing significantly better home form with a 57% win rate at their own stadium and an impressive goal difference of +21 on home turf. The hosts average 2.64 goals per home match, and have failed to score in just 7% of their home fixtures, highlighting their efficient attack. Saarbrücken have very poor away statistics - just a 7% win rate on the road, 47% losses, and a negative goal difference of -10, making them one of the weakest away sides in the league. Furthermore, the visitors concede an average of 1.73 goals per away game and keep only 7% clean sheets, while Verl maintains clean sheets in 29% of their home matches. The advantage in possession (66% vs 50%), significantly higher shot accuracy (16% vs 9%), and superior xG metrics (1.91 vs 1.44) further support a win for the hosts.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Verl | Saarbrucken | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.40 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Verl is 17% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Verl · 1.2 pts / match - Saarbrucken
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Verl is 67% better for: goals scored per match.
2.31 goals / match - Verl · 1.38 goals / match - Saarbrucken
Verl is 5% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.41 goals / match - Verl · 1.48 goals / match - Saarbrucken
Verl scores in 90% of matches (26 of 29 matches), while Saarbrucken keeps a clean sheet in 14% (4 of 29 matches).
Saarbrucken scores in 76% of matches (22 of 29 matches), while Verl keeps a clean sheet in 21% (6 of 29 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Verl
Over / Under - Saarbrucken
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Verl is 40% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.69 pts / match - Verl · 1.21 pts / match - Saarbrucken
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Verl - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 45% of matches and wins 48%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Saarbrucken - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 24%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 0% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (16 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Verl
Saarbrucken
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (3. Liga).
Teams vs league
| Verl | Liga | Saarbrucken | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.72 | 3.14 | ▼ 2.86 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 76% | 64% | ▲ 69% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 79% | 64% | ▼ 45% |
| Clean sheets | • 21% | 21% | ▼ 14% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 79% | 76% | ▲ 83% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 90% | 83% | ▼ 72% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Verl 1 - 0 - 0 Saarbrucken. Average goals 6.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Verl vs Saarbrucken?
The 3. Liga match finished Verl 3:0 Saarbrucken. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Verl vs Saarbrucken?
Verl score 2.31 goals per game on average and Saarbrucken 1.38. The 3. Liga average is 3.14 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 64% of games. Both teams score in 76% of Verl's matches and 69% of Saarbrucken's.
What form are Verl and Saarbrucken in?
Over the last 5 games Verl have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Saarbrucken 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Verl vs Saarbrucken?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Verl vs Saarbrucken: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.