Versailles vs Cannes: match statistics

Versailles have home advantage: they won their only home match so far while keeping a clean sheet, averaging 1 goal scored and just 0 conceded at home. Cannes remain unbeaten in the competition, but four of their last five matches ended in draws, and both away fixtures resulted in points being shared. At home, the hosts create chances worth 1.17 xG, while Cannes, despite a higher 1.38 xG average away from home, score just 0.5 goals per match and have failed to score in 50% of their away games. The visitors register more shots on target, averaging 4.5 compared with 3, but their 4% finishing rate significantly limits this advantage. Versailles’ solid defence and Cannes’ struggles to convert chances into goals give the hosts a slight edge, although the visitors’ strong tendency to draw makes this outcome highly plausible.

The seasonal BTTS signal is moderate, as both teams have recorded this outcome in 50% of their matches, while the league average is only 31%. Cannes score just 0.5 goals per away game and have failed to score in 50% of those fixtures, whereas Versailles have kept a clean sheet in 50% of their home matches. The hosts also concede only 0.5 goals per game at home, with an average xG against of 0.85, which limits the visitors’ prospects of finding the net. The last five-match form partially supports a goal for both sides, as BTTS landed in 60% of each team’s matches; however, Cannes conceded just 1.0 goal per game during this period, with an xG against of 0.81. Therefore, BTTS - No remains the most likely outcome, primarily due to Cannes’ poor away scoring efficiency and the strong defensive indicators of both teams.

The seasonal profile of both teams clearly supports a low-scoring outcome: Versailles and Cannes have stayed below 2.5 and 3.5 goals in 100% of their matches so far. Cannes average just 0.5 goals away from home, while Versailles also concede only 0.5 at home, with both teams keeping a clean sheet in 50% of their matches. The hosts have greater attacking potential, scoring 1.5 goals per home game and recording an xG of 1.37; however, Cannes’ defence allows an average of just 0.5 goals and an xG of 1.02. Versailles’ last five matches were more open, averaging 3.6 goals, but Cannes had Over 2.5 goals in only 20% of their matches during that period. The projected total of 1.86 goals makes Under 3.5 the safest line, as a scenario with four or more goals would require a significant departure from the current data for both teams.

Versailles have the clearer potential to make the better start: in their last five matches, they averaged 1.0 goals scored before half-time, compared with just 0.2 for Cannes, while the visitors were trailing at the break in 60% of those games. The hosts led at half-time in 40% of their last five appearances and were never behind at the interval, which strengthens the case for them to establish an advantage in the first half. Across the season, Versailles have scored 1.5 goals per home game while conceding just 0.5, whereas Cannes average only 0.5 goals away from home. The hosts’ advantage is not absolute, however, as Cannes’ xG stands at 1.38 compared with Versailles’ 1.37. Nevertheless, the hosts’ significantly superior conversion rate—14% versus 4% for the visitors—favours them to make better use of their chances. The most likely scenario is therefore Versailles leading at half-time and holding on for the win at full-time.