Versailles vs Quevilly Rouen: match statistics

Versailles are 7th, while Quevilly Rouen sit 12th, and the hosts have won 3 of their 6 matches this season compared with the visitors’ 2 victories. At home, Versailles average 0.5 goals but create chances worth 1.22 xG and register 4 shots on target per match—clearly more than the visitors away from home: 0.9 xG and 1.67 shots on target. Quevilly Rouen have not won a single away match, have lost 67% of such fixtures, and failed to score in as many as 67% of them. The hosts’ defence also looks more solid, as they keep a clean sheet in 50% of their home matches, while the visitors have not done so once and concede an average of 1.67 goals away from home. The teams’ recent form is similar, with Versailles collecting 9 points from five matches and Quevilly Rouen 8; however, home advantage and the visitors’ poor away attacking efficiency point to a home win.

The strongest argument against BTTS - Yes is Quevilly Rouen’s very poor away scoring record: the team averages just 0.33 goals away from home, and failed to score in 67% of such matches. Versailles should have good opportunities to find the net, as they average 1.67 goals at home, while their opponents concede 1.67 goals per away match and have kept no clean sheets. However, the low offensive potential of the visitors is a major concern for the Goal/Goal scenario, supported by just 1.67 shots on target per match and an xG of 0.90. Quevilly Rouen’s last five matches have produced BTTS in 80% of games and an average of 1.2 goals scored, but across the league BTTS has landed in only 35% of matches, while the visitors’ seasonal away data strongly supports a No Goal outcome for them. The more likely scenario is therefore that Versailles score, but at least one team—most notably Quevilly Rouen—fails to get on the scoresheet.

Versailles score an average of 1.67 goals at home, while Quevilly Rouen concede 1.67 goals away, which clearly supports a goal for the home side. However, the visitors have very limited attacking potential away from home: they score just 0.33 goals per match, average 0.90 xG and record 1.67 shots on target. The total projection of 2.30 goals remains close to the league average of 2.31, but does not point towards a four-goal scenario. Across the season so far, both teams have had 100% of their matches finish Under 3.5 goals, while Over 2.5 goals landed in 67% of Versailles matches and 33% of Quevilly Rouen matches, respectively. The strongest selection is therefore Under 3.5 goals, as the home advantage should be enough to produce a result around 1:0 or 2:1, without the need for an open, high-scoring game.

Versailles score an average of 1.67 goals at home and win 67% of their matches, while Quevilly Rouen have failed to win any away fixture, scoring just 0.33 goals and conceding 1.67. The hosts’ advantage is particularly evident before half-time: they were leading at the break in 2 of 3 matches, scoring an average of 1.00 goal and conceding 0.33, while the visitors were trailing at half-time in 67% of their away games. Versailles average 3.33 shots on target compared with 1.67 for their opponents, and their finishing efficiency stands at 19%, compared with just 4% for Quevilly. The visitors have also failed to score a single goal after half-time in the available away data, whereas the hosts average 0.67 goals in second halves. The most likely scenario is therefore a Versailles lead at the break and a victory maintained through to full-time.