Viborg vs Lyngby: match statistics

Viborg sit 2nd, having won 4 of their 6 league matches this season and recorded 3 victories in their last five games, while Lyngby are 11th with a record of 0 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats. At home, the hosts have won all 3 matches, averaging 2.33 goals scored and conceding just 0.33, whereas Lyngby have lost all 3 away games while conceding an average of 2.33 goals. Viborg have scored in every home appearance and kept a clean sheet in 67% of those matches, while the visitors have failed to score in 33% of their away fixtures. Lyngby do create more high-quality chances on the road, with an average xG of 2.09 compared to Viborg’s 1.15 at home, but they convert just 6% of their shots, versus the hosts’ 22% conversion rate. Viborg’s run of three consecutive home wins, combined with Lyngby’s three straight away defeats, clearly points towards a home victory.

The signal for both teams to score is moderately positive: Viborg recorded BTTS in 100% of their home matches, while Lyngby did so in 67% of their away games. Neither team has kept a single clean sheet, with Lyngby conceding as many as 2.33 goals per away match on average, which clearly increases Viborg’s chances of scoring. The visitors score only 1.00 goal per away match, but they create a high volume of chances, averaging 2.09 xG, 17.33 shots and 6.0 shots on target per game. Viborg’s last five matches have produced only 40% BTTS and an average of 0.8 goals conceded, but their xG against stands at 1.55, meaning their defence allows opponents quality chances. The “BTTS - Yes” pick is also supported by the league average of 61% BTTS, although Lyngby’s lower scoring efficiency reduces confidence in the prediction.

Over 1.5 is the strongest data-backed option, as all previous meetings between the two teams have gone above this line. Viborg score an average of 1.33 goals, while Lyngby concede as many as 2.33 goals away from home, clearly increasing the hosts’ attacking potential. However, the visitors create chances worth an average of 2.09 xG and register 6.0 shots on target per match, although their finishing limits their projected scoring output to around 0.95 goals. In their last five matches, Viborg have scored 9 goals, while the overall league average stands at 2.70 goals, making a scenario with at least two goals more likely than a low-scoring game. The 2.5 line is much more evenly balanced, as Lyngby have gone above it only once in their last five matches; therefore, the safer and strongest option remains Over 1.5.

The strongest scenario points to Viborg taking the lead by half-time and maintaining their advantage until the final whistle. In their last five matches, Viborg averaged 1.2 goals scored before the break and conceded just 0.2, while Lyngby failed to score in any first half and were behind at half-time in 40% of their matches. The hosts are also in better current form, winning 60% of their last five games with an average of 1.8 goals scored, whereas Lyngby won only 20% of their matches and averaged 0.8 goals. Furthermore, Lyngby concede an average of 2.33 goals per away game, while Viborg score 1.33 goals at home after the break, further strengthening the outlook for a full-time home win.