Vicenza vs Juve Stabia: match statistics

Vicenza have a clearly superior record in their last five matches, earning 6 points compared with Juve Stabia’s 3, with the visitors losing as many as 4 of their 5 games. At home, the hosts have won 100% of their matches so far, scoring an average of 3 goals per game, while the visitors average just 1 goal away from home and fail to score in 50% of such appearances. Vicenza’s advantage is also evident in chance creation: their average xG stands at 2.50 compared with the opponents’ 1.55, while the number of shots on target is 9 to 4.5 per match. The hosts’ defence does concede an average of 2 goals at home and have yet to keep a clean sheet, but Juve Stabia are highly inefficient in front of goal, converting just 7% of their shots compared with Vicenza’s 13%. Both teams have conceded more than 2 goals on average per match in their last five games, so the most likely outcome is a home win with both teams scoring.

Recent form clearly supports goals from both sides: Vicenza recorded BTTS in 80% of their last 5 matches, while Juve Stabia did so in 60%. The hosts averaged 1.6 goals scored and 2.0 conceded during this period, whereas the visitors scored 0.8 goals but allowed their opponents 2.2 goals per match. The attacking potential is confirmed by xG: Vicenza produced an average of 1.87 xG, while Juve Stabia recorded 1.40, alongside the visitors’ high xG conceded of 1.79. Juve Stabia have kept a clean sheet in none of their matches this season, and the same applies to Vicenza, strengthening the chance of a goal for each side. Although the hosts have not yet scored in the current season data, their last five performances and the poor defensive records of both teams slightly favor the BTTS - Yes scenario.

The latest form of both teams clearly points to goals: in their last five matches, Vicenza averaged 1.6 goals scored and 2.0 conceded, while Juve Stabia averaged 0.8 scored and 2.2 conceded. Matches featuring Over 2.5 goals occurred in 80% of the last five appearances of each team, compared with the league average of 56% for this line. During this period, Vicenza created chances worth an average of 1.87 xG, while Juve Stabia’s defense allowed opponents 1.79 xG, reinforcing the prospect of at least two goals. The visitors should also benefit from the hosts’ defensive vulnerabilities, as Vicenza allowed 1.46 xG; therefore, Over 1.5 is the safest choice with a projected total of 3.05 goals.

The strongest scenario is a draw at half-time and a draw at full-time, as Vicenza have drawn 3 of their last 5 matches, while Juve Stabia have lost as many as 4 of their last 5; however, both teams have limited early-match effectiveness. The visitors have failed to score before the break in each of their last five matches and were trailing at half-time in 80% of those games, but the hosts also failed to lead at half-time in any of them. Vicenza currently have a slightly stronger attack, averaging 1.6 goals per match compared with Juve Stabia’s 0.8, but they concede 2.0 goals per game, while the visitors concede 2.2, increasing the likelihood of a turnaround after the break. After half-time, both teams average 1.8 goals in total per match, with at least two goals scored in this period in 60% of Vicenza’s matches and 80% of Juve Stabia’s. Vicenza’s advantage in recent results supports the X/1 outcome, but the hosts’ high number of draws and both sides’ weak yet capable-of-responding defences make X/X the most likely single outcome.