Viking vs Kristiansund: match statistics

Viking are second in the standings and remain unbeaten in their last five matches, scoring 11 goals, while Kristiansund sit 13th despite an improvement in form, with three wins over the same period. At home, the hosts have won every match so far, averaging 3.38 goals per game and failing to score in none of them. Kristiansund score just 0.7 goals per away game, have failed to find the net in 50% of such matches and have lost 70% of their away fixtures. Viking’s superiority is also evident in chance creation: their average xG stands at 1.96 compared with the visitors’ 1.37, while shots on target are 7.0 to 3.4. Kristiansund’s defence concedes an average of 1.8 goals away from home and has kept no clean sheets on the road, which strongly reinforces the scenario of a comfortable home win.

The BTTS - Yes pick is primarily supported by Viking’s current form: both teams scored in 100% of their last 5 matches, while Viking averaged 2.2 goals per game. Kristiansund have also shown an attacking profile recently, scoring 11 goals in 5 appearances—2.2 per match—with an xG of 1.41. Both defences allow opponents high-quality chances, as Viking’s average xG conceded stands at 1.69 and Kristiansund’s at 1.73. The seasonal signal is more moderate: BTTS landed in 56% of Viking’s matches and 50% of Kristiansund’s, while the hosts failed to keep a clean sheet in 67% of games and the visitors in none. The main risk to the pick is Kristiansund’s season average of just 0.7 goals; however, their current finishing form and the defensive weaknesses on both sides slightly shift the forecast towards both teams finding the net.

Over 1.5 goals has a clear edge, as at least two goals were scored in 89% of Viking’s matches and 80% of Kristiansund’s games. Viking averaged 2.2 goals scored over their last five matches, while Kristiansund also averaged 2.2, significantly strengthening the forecast compared with their full-season averages. The hosts have recently created chances worth 1.73 xG per match, while the visitors’ defense conceded an average of 1.70 xG and have failed to keep a single clean sheet this season. Both teams scored in 100% of Viking’s last five matches, and 80% of those games produced Over 2.5 goals. However, the 1.5 line is safer than higher thresholds, as 89% of Viking’s matches and 80% of Kristiansund’s ended with fewer than 3.5 goals over the entire season.

The most likely HT/FT outcome is a draw at half-time followed by a Viking win, as the hosts were level at the break in 56% of their home matches, while Kristiansund were behind at half-time in as many as 60% of their away fixtures. The opening phase could nevertheless be evenly balanced: Viking average just 0.44 goals before the break, whereas Kristiansund conceded only 0.2 goals per match during this phase across their last five games. The second half should be decisive, with Viking averaging 0.89 goals at home and having collected 13 points, while the visitors concede an average of 1.00 goal away from home after the break. The hosts’ overall season advantage is clear: they have won 44% of their home matches and average 1.56 points per game, whereas Kristiansund have won only 10% of their away fixtures and average 0.50 points. Additionally, Viking are in very strong current form after half-time, averaging 1.6 goals scored and just 0.2 conceded over their last five matches, which favours the match being decided after the turnaround.