Viktoria Köln vs Erzgebirge Aue: match statistics
Viktoria Köln presents solid home form with 50% wins, an impressive goal difference (+2), and a high clean sheet ratio (42%). The hosts dominate at their own stadium, averaging 1.5 goals scored with 54% possession. Erzgebirge Aue, on the other hand, performs very poorly away—with only 9% won matches, a negative goal difference (-11), and just 0.82 goals on average per away game. The visitors' form is concerning, with four defeats in their last five away matches. The statistical advantage of the hosts in every aspect of the game, particularly offensive efficiency and defensive stability in home matches, clearly points to a victory for Viktoria Köln. The difference in quality between the two teams in their respective arenas is significant and should translate into three points for the hosts.
Viktoria Köln vs Erzgebirge Aue: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Viktoria Köln played Erzgebirge Aue in 3. Liga (Germany). The match was played on 13 February 2026. Final score: 2:2.
Current form
Viktoria Köln: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Erzgebirge Aue: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Viktoria Köln scores 1.35 and concedes 1.30 goals per match. Erzgebirge Aue scores 1.09 and concedes 1.57. League average: 3.11 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Viktoria Köln 43%, Erzgebirge Aue 52%. Over 2.5: Viktoria Köln 52%, Erzgebirge Aue 57%. League level: BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 63%.
xG, shots and style
Erzgebirge Aue has higher xG: 1.51 vs 1.40. Viktoria Köln: 11.5 shots per match, Erzgebirge Aue: 12.6.
Match halves
Viktoria Köln: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 0.78. Erzgebirge Aue: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.61.
Goals by minute
Viktoria Köln: 76-90+ (10 goals). Erzgebirge Aue: 76-90+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
3. Liga: 3.11 goals per match, BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 63%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Viktoria Köln presents solid home form with 50% wins, an impressive goal difference (+2), and a high clean sheet ratio (42%). The hosts dominate at their own stadium, averaging 1.5 goals scored with 54% possession. Erzgebirge Aue, on the other hand, performs very poorly away—with only 9% won matches, a negative goal difference (-11), and just 0.82 goals on average per away game. The visitors' form is concerning, with four defeats in their last five away matches. The statistical advantage of the hosts in every aspect of the game, particularly offensive efficiency and defensive stability in home matches, clearly points to a victory for Viktoria Köln. The difference in quality between the two teams in their respective arenas is significant and should translate into three points for the hosts.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Viktoria Köln | Erzgebirge Aue | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Viktoria Köln is 25% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Viktoria Köln · 0.8 pts / match - Erzgebirge Aue
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Viktoria Köln is 24% better for: goals scored per match.
1.35 goals / match - Viktoria Köln · 1.09 goals / match - Erzgebirge Aue
Viktoria Köln is 21% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.3 goals / match - Viktoria Köln · 1.57 goals / match - Erzgebirge Aue
Viktoria Köln scores in 70% of matches (16 of 23 matches), while Erzgebirge Aue keeps a clean sheet in 30% (7 of 23 matches).
Erzgebirge Aue scores in 65% of matches (15 of 23 matches), while Viktoria Köln keeps a clean sheet in 39% (9 of 23 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Viktoria Köln
Over / Under - Erzgebirge Aue
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Viktoria Köln is 11% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.3 pts / match - Viktoria Köln · 1.17 pts / match - Erzgebirge Aue
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Viktoria Köln - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 39%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Erzgebirge Aue - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 22%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Viktoria Köln
Erzgebirge Aue
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (3. Liga).
Teams vs league
| Viktoria Köln | Liga | Erzgebirge Aue | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.65 | 3.11 | ▼ 2.65 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 43% | 62% | ▼ 52% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 52% | 63% | ▼ 57% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 39% | 23% | ▲ 30% |
| Goal before half-time | • 74% | 75% | • 74% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 70% | 83% | ▼ 74% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Viktoria Köln 1 - 0 - 0 Erzgebirge Aue. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Viktoria Köln vs Erzgebirge Aue?
The 3. Liga match finished Viktoria Köln 2:2 Erzgebirge Aue. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Viktoria Köln vs Erzgebirge Aue?
Viktoria Köln score 1.35 goals per game on average and Erzgebirge Aue 1.09. The 3. Liga average is 3.11 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 43% of Viktoria Köln's matches and 52% of Erzgebirge Aue's.
What form are Viktoria Köln and Erzgebirge Aue in?
Over the last 5 games Viktoria Köln have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Erzgebirge Aue 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Viktoria Köln vs Erzgebirge Aue?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Viktoria Köln vs Erzgebirge Aue: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.