Viktoria Köln vs Wehen Wiesbaden: match statistics
Viktoria Köln vs Wehen Wiesbaden: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Viktoria Köln played Wehen Wiesbaden in 3. Liga (Germany). The match was played on 11 April 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Viktoria Köln: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Wehen Wiesbaden: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Viktoria Köln scores 1.44 and concedes 1.38 goals per match. Wehen Wiesbaden scores 1.34 and concedes 1.25. League average: 3.12 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Viktoria Köln 50%, Wehen Wiesbaden 50%. Over 2.5: Viktoria Köln 56%, Wehen Wiesbaden 50%. League level: BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 63%.
xG, shots and style
Wehen Wiesbaden has higher xG: 1.52 vs 1.41. Viktoria Köln: 11.5 shots per match, Wehen Wiesbaden: 12.8.
Match halves
Viktoria Köln: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.78. Wehen Wiesbaden: half-time lead 34%, second-half goals 0.84.
Goals by minute
Viktoria Köln: 76-90+ (13 goals). Wehen Wiesbaden: 76-90+ (15 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
3. Liga: 3.12 goals per match, BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 63%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Viktoria Köln has a clear home offensive advantage: they score 1.44 goals per home match on average and have mean xG 1.51 versus just 0.69 goals and xG 1.21 for Wehen away. In the last 5 matches Viktoria scored 8 goals while Wehen only 3, and the hosts have a higher points tempo (1.2 points per match in the last 5) versus 0.8 points per match for the visitors. The hosts average 5 shots on target and 12.44 shots overall at home, with a lower shutout rate of 25% versus Wehen’s 44%, which increases the likelihood of at least one goal. Defensively both teams are relatively even in goals conceded (1.31 for the hosts vs 1.25 for the visitors away), however Wehen concedes a higher xG against (1.76 vs 1.27 for Viktoria), suggesting greater defensive risk and propensity for errors by the visitors. Based on these numerical comparisons I assess the probability of a home win at about 60%, a draw 25% and an away win 15%.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I back BTTS (Both Teams To Score) — roughly 66% vs 34%. Viktoria Köln averages 2.0 goals per game (xG 1.84) and has had BTTS in 69% of matches this season; in the last 5 games BTTS occurred in 80%, strongly favoring the home side. Wehen Wiesbaden have a seasonal goals average of 0.69, but xG 1.21 (and 1.55 in the last five), indicating they create chances; their low conversion rate of 7% and just 3.63 shots on target per game however suppress the actual goal output. Both teams concede around 1.25 goals per game this season (1.8 each in the last 5), and the league BTTS rate is 63%, so Viktoria’s offensive balance and overall league metrics outweigh Wehen’s higher clean sheet rate (44%).
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The xG-based model (Viktoria xG_for=1.84, Wehen xG_for=1.21) together with opponent-adjusted xG (xG vs Wehen=1.76, xG vs Viktoria=1.25) yields expected goals of 1.80 for the home side and 1.23 for the visitors, total 3.03. Using a Poisson distribution with λ=3.03 gives roughly an 81% probability for Over 1.5, 58% for Over 2.5 and 36% for Over 3.5. Season-long figures support this bias: Viktoria recorded Over 1.5 in 81% of matches and Over 2.5 in 63%, Wehen 56% and 38% respectively, while Viktoria had Over 2.5 in 80% of their last 5 games. Additionally, the home side’s offensive profile (avg. 6.0 on-target shots, 15.63 shots and a 13% conversion rate) versus the visitors (3.63 on-target, 10.0 shots and 7% conversion) increases scoring likelihood, so the strongest signal is Over 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Viktoria Köln led at the break in 8 of 16 matches (50%) and averages 0.75 goals in the first half versus 0.25 for Wehen, giving the home side a clear advantage before half-time. The hosts score an average of 2.00 goals per match and have an xG of 1.84 compared to the visitors’ 1.21, and at home they won 63% of games versus Wehen’s 25% wins, so a lead at the break often converts into a Full-Time win. Additionally, Viktoria averages 6.0 shots on target versus the visitors’ 3.63 and finishes matches strongly (10 goals in 76–90 min and 7 goals in 61–75 min), while BTTS in the first half occurs in only 6% of cases, reducing the risk of a quick turnaround. On this basis the most likely scenario is Viktoria Köln leading at Half-Time and winning at Full-Time (1/1) — I assess this at 43%, while alternatives such as a draw at Half-Time and a home win (X/1 15%) or holding the lead to a draw (1/X 5%) have weaker numerical support.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Viktoria Köln | Wehen Wiesbaden | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Viktoria Köln is 50% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Viktoria Köln · 0.8 pts / match - Wehen Wiesbaden
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Viktoria Köln is 7% better for: goals scored per match.
1.44 goals / match - Viktoria Köln · 1.34 goals / match - Wehen Wiesbaden
Wehen Wiesbaden is 10% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.38 goals / match - Viktoria Köln · 1.25 goals / match - Wehen Wiesbaden
Viktoria Köln scores in 72% of matches (23 of 32 matches), while Wehen Wiesbaden keeps a clean sheet in 31% (10 of 32 matches).
Wehen Wiesbaden scores in 72% of matches (23 of 32 matches), while Viktoria Köln keeps a clean sheet in 31% (10 of 32 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Viktoria Köln
Over / Under - Wehen Wiesbaden
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Viktoria Köln - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 41%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Wehen Wiesbaden - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 34% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (15 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Viktoria Köln
Wehen Wiesbaden
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (3. Liga).
Teams vs league
| Viktoria Köln | Liga | Wehen Wiesbaden | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.81 | 3.12 | ▼ 2.59 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 64% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 56% | 63% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 31% | 21% | ▲ 31% |
| Goal before half-time | • 78% | 77% | ▼ 66% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 72% | 82% | • 81% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Viktoria Köln 1 - 0 - 0 Wehen Wiesbaden. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Viktoria Köln vs Wehen Wiesbaden?
The 3. Liga match finished Viktoria Köln 2:1 Wehen Wiesbaden. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Viktoria Köln vs Wehen Wiesbaden?
Viktoria Köln score 1.44 goals per game on average and Wehen Wiesbaden 1.34. The 3. Liga average is 3.12 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Viktoria Köln's matches and 50% of Wehen Wiesbaden's.
What form are Viktoria Köln and Wehen Wiesbaden in?
Over the last 5 games Viktoria Köln have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Wehen Wiesbaden 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Viktoria Köln vs Wehen Wiesbaden?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.