Viktoria Plzeň vs Jablonec: match statistics
Viktoria Plzeň vs Jablonec: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Viktoria Plzeň played Jablonec in First League (Czechia). The match was played on 17 May 2026. Venue: Doosan Aréna. Final score: 5:0.
Current form
Viktoria Plzeň: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Jablonec: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Viktoria Plzeň scores 1.67 and concedes 1.06 goals per match. Jablonec scores 1.30 and concedes 1.24. League average: 2.62 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Viktoria Plzeň 45%, Jablonec 42%. Over 2.5: Viktoria Plzeň 48%, Jablonec 36%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Viktoria Plzeň has higher xG: 1.91 vs 1.34. Viktoria Plzeň: 16.8 shots per match, Jablonec: 11.3.
Match halves
Viktoria Plzeň: half-time lead 52%, second-half goals 0.85. Jablonec: half-time lead 42%, second-half goals 0.61.
Goals by minute
Viktoria Plzeň: 31-45+ (11 goals). Jablonec: 16-30 (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
First League: 2.62 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-2-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Viktoria Plzeň is the favorite: their average xG in home matches is 2.10 versus Jablonec’s 1.26 xG away, indicating a clearly superior quality of created chances. This is supported by shot and possession metrics — Plzeň attempts 18.41 shots per game, including 6.71 on target, while Jablonec records 10.76 shots and only 3.53 on target, and Plzeň maintains 57% possession versus the visitors’ 47%. In the last five matches the hosts scored 6 goals and conceded 2, averaging 2 points per game, whereas Jablonec scored 4, conceded 10 and averages 0.8 points per game. Over the season Plzeň have scored 55 goals at home and have a home goal difference of +11, while Jablonec have a negative away goal difference of -5 and concede on average 1.47 goals per game (xG against 1.57), highlighting defensive issues for the visitors. Considering the xG advantage (2.10 vs 1.26), superiority in shots on target (6.71 vs 3.53), lower share of matches without scoring for the hosts (18% vs 29%) and better form (2 points per game for Plzeň vs 0.8 for Jablonec), I predict a Plzeň win; I propose probability distribution 70% home win, 18% draw, 12% away win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Viktoria Plzeň averages 1.44 goals scored and concedes 1.00 per match this season, while Jablonec has 1.18 scored and 1.47 conceded, giving the hosts a slight edge in goal balance. Plzeň records BTTS in 56% of home games, but in the last 5 matches BTTS occurred in only 20% and the team conceded an average of 0.4 goals, indicating recently solid defense. Jablonec’s away-season BTTS rate is only 29%, and in the last 5 matches they averaged 0.8 goals scored and conceded 2.0, showing struggles to score on the road. The difference in xG and shots confirms this picture: Plzeň in the last 5 matches has xG 1.97 versus Jablonec’s 1.34 and averages 4.06 shots on target versus 3.53, so they create more chances and better limit the opponent. Therefore I assess BTTS 'no' probability at 65% and 'yes' at 35%, because recent form (0.4 conceded by Plzeň vs 2.0 conceded by Jablonec) and Jablonec’s low away-season BTTS (29%) provide a stronger signal for No Goal (no BTTS).
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The combined average xG yields an expected 1.49 goals for Viktoria Plzeň (xG 1.41 and Jablonec’s conceded xG 1.57 averaging 1.49) and 1.33 for Jablonec (xG 1.26 and Plzeň’s conceded xG 1.39 giving 1.33), totaling 2.82 expected goals. A Poisson model with λ=2.82 produces probabilities: Over 1.5 ≈77%, Over 2.5 ≈54% and Over 3.5 ≈31%. Season-to-date data support the Over 1.5 pick — Plzeň have had Over 1.5 in 69% of matches, Jablonec in 82%, and in the last 5 fixtures Jablonec conceded 10 goals versus 2 conceded by Plzeň. Although season-long Over 2.5 rates are moderate (Plzeň 38%, Jablonec 35%), recent form (last 5 matches xG: Plzeň 1.97 vs 1.63 xG conceded by Jablonec) indicates an increased scoring tempo; therefore I recommend Over 1.5 as the strongest signal.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Viktoria Plzeň has a clear advantage at the break: the home side led at half-time in 50% of their matches, while Jablonec led in 35%; Plzeň averages 0.81 goals in the first half versus 0.59 for the visitors. Over the full match Plzeň scores 1.44 and concedes 1.00 per game, whereas Jablonec has 1.18 scored and 1.47 conceded, giving the hosts the edge in chance conversion and defense. In the last five fixtures the home team averages 2.0 points and a 60% win rate, while Jablonec averages 0.8 points and a 20% win rate, so form strongly favors Plzeň. The home side’s first half features a goal in 81% of matches (over 0.5 HT) with a low rate of both teams scoring at half-time (BTTS HT 13% and 12%), which supports a 1:0 lead at the break. Therefore the best signal is 1/1 (lead at the break for Plzeň and Full-Time victory), which I assess as the most likely outcome given the 50% HT leads, superior 1.44 vs 1.18 goals per match and markedly better recent form of 2.0 vs 0.8 points in the last five.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Viktoria Plzeň | Jablonec | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Viktoria Plzeň is 900% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Viktoria Plzeň · 0.2 pts / match - Jablonec
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Viktoria Plzeň is 28% better for: goals scored per match.
1.67 goals / match - Viktoria Plzeň · 1.3 goals / match - Jablonec
Viktoria Plzeň is 17% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.06 goals / match - Viktoria Plzeň · 1.24 goals / match - Jablonec
Viktoria Plzeň scores in 76% of matches (25 of 33 matches), while Jablonec keeps a clean sheet in 42% (14 of 33 matches).
Jablonec scores in 79% of matches (26 of 33 matches), while Viktoria Plzeň keeps a clean sheet in 39% (13 of 33 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Viktoria Plzeň
Over / Under - Jablonec
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Viktoria Plzeň is 19% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.85 pts / match - Viktoria Plzeň · 1.55 pts / match - Jablonec
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Viktoria Plzeň - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 52% of matches and wins 52%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Jablonec - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 42% of matches and wins 45%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -7 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (10 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Viktoria Plzeň
Jablonec
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (First League).
Teams vs league
| Viktoria Plzeň | Liga | Jablonec | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.73 | 2.62 | • 2.55 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 45% | 51% | ▼ 42% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 48% | 48% | ▼ 36% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 39% | 29% | ▲ 42% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 79% | 73% | ▲ 79% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 73% | 75% | ▼ 73% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Viktoria Plzeň 0 - 2 - 0 Jablonec. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Viktoria Plzeň vs Jablonec?
The First League match finished Viktoria Plzeň 5:0 Jablonec. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Viktoria Plzeň and Jablonec?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Viktoria Plzeň won 0, Jablonec won 0 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Viktoria Plzeň vs Jablonec?
Viktoria Plzeň score 1.67 goals per game on average and Jablonec 1.30. The First League average is 2.62 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 45% of Viktoria Plzeň's matches and 42% of Jablonec's.
What form are Viktoria Plzeň and Jablonec in?
Over the last 5 games Viktoria Plzeň have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Jablonec 0-1-4 (0.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Viktoria Plzeň vs Jablonec?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.