Viktoria Plzeň vs Slovácko: match statistics

Viktoria Plzeň have a clear home advantage, averaging 1.67 goals per match, while Slovácko average just 0.67 away from home. The visitors have lost all three of their away fixtures so far, conceding as many as 2.67 goals per game, and their last five league matches have produced four defeats and just one draw. The hosts enjoy more possession (59% vs. 45%) and are significantly more clinical, converting 15% of their shots into goals compared with 6% for their opponents. Neither defence has been keeping clean sheets, but Plzeň create slightly better chances, with an average xG of 1.37 compared with Slovácko’s 1.18. Despite the hosts’ poor recent run, home advantage and the visitors’ very low conversion rate point towards a Viktoria win.

The BTTS - Yes pick is supported by the strong figures of both teams: Viktoria Plzeň have seen both teams score in 100% of their matches this season, while Slovácko stand at 67%. Over their last five matches, the BTTS rate is 80% for both sides, with the hosts conceding an average of 2.8 goals and the visitors 2.2 goals per game. Plzeň create more high-quality chances, averaging 1.64 xG and 6.0 shots on target, while Slovácko should benefit from their opponents’ weak defence, which has recorded 1.66 xG against in its recent matches. Neither the hosts nor the visitors have kept a clean sheet in any match, while Slovácko’s defence concedes an average of 2.67 goals, significantly increasing the chances of a Plzeň goal. The only clear risk is Slovácko’s low season average of 0.67 goals, but their 1.18 xG and the hosts’ poor current defensive form support the prospect of a goal for the visitors as well.

Viktoria Plzeň create chances worth an average of 1.64 xG at home, while Slovácko allow opponents 1.56 xG away from home and concede as many as 2.67 goals per match. In their last five games, Plzeň averaged 2.0 goals scored but also conceded 2.8, clearly increasing the goalscoring potential for both sides. Slovácko have recently scored just 0.8 goals per match, but 80% of the teams’ last five matches saw both teams score, while the visitors conceded an average of 2.2 goals. Over 1.5 is the strongest selection, as Plzeň have not finished a single league match with fewer than two total goals, and the league average stands at a high 3.08 goals per game.

In their last five matches, Viktoria Plzeň held the lead at the break in 60% of games, scoring an average of 1.4 goals before half-time, while Slovácko managed only 0.2 goals in this phase and were never ahead. The visitors were trailing at half-time in 60% of their recent appearances, and across the season they have conceded as many as 2.67 goals per match on average, reinforcing the scenario of the hosts taking control from the outset. Plzeň also create significantly better chances, with an average xG of 1.64 compared with Slovácko’s 1.18, and register an average of 6.0 shots on target against their opponents’ 2.67. The risk of losing the lead remains significant, as the hosts have conceded 2.8 goals per match in their last five games; however, Slovácko’s 0% win rate and 80% loss rate during this period primarily support the 1/1 HT/FT outcome.