Vila Nova vs Atlético GO: match statistics
Vila Nova vs Atlético GO: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Vila Nova played Atlético GO in Serie B (Brazil). The match was played on 4 April 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Vila Nova: 0-2-0, 1.00 points/match. Atlético GO: 0-0-2, 0.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Vila Nova scores 1.50 and concedes 1.50 goals per match. Atlético GO scores 0.50 and concedes 1.50. League average: 2.22 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Vila Nova 100%, Atlético GO 50%. Over 2.5: Vila Nova 50%, Atlético GO 50%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 43%.
xG, shots and style
Vila Nova has higher xG: 1.23 vs 1.02. Vila Nova: 12.0 shots per match, Atlético GO: 10.0.
Match halves
Vila Nova: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 1.50. Atlético GO: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.00.
Goals by minute
Vila Nova: 46-60 (2 goals). Atlético GO: 31-45+ (1 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie B: 2.22 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 43%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Vila Nova has an advantage in home efficiency: an average of 2.0 goals scored per game from 8 shots and 4 shots on target, yielding a 25% conversion rate, whereas Atlético GO on the road averages 0.0 goals and 100% of away matches without a goal. Although Atlético GO dominate possession (57% vs 35%) and average 9 shots per game, their effectiveness is nil — 0% conversion and an average of 0 shots on target away. From a quality-of-chances perspective xG is similar: 0.97 xG for Vila Nova at home vs 0.94 xG for Atlético GO away, but the home side converts much better (2.0 goals from 0.97 xG). Defensively both teams show vulnerabilities: Vila Nova concedes 2.0 goals at home on average with an xG against of 1.65, while Atlético GO concedes 1.0 goal away with an xG against of 1.98, suggesting an open game with chances. Considering the visitors’ lack of away goals and the hosts’ superior efficiency (4 shots on target vs 0), I forecast a Vila Nova win, estimating probabilities of 55% home, 30% draw and 15% away.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I back BTTS - Yes at 70% probability. Vila Nova has had BTTS in 100% of home matches this season and 60% in the last 5; the hosts concede on average 2.0 goals at home. Vila Nova generate xG 1.11 at home, while Atlético GO away concede average xG against 1.98, meaning visitors typically allow close to 2.0 expected goals. Against this speaks the fact Atlético GO have a seasonal average of 0.0 goals away and 100% of away matches without scoring, but in the last 5 fixtures the visitors have xG 1.09 and have scored 3 goals, showing they can find the net. Additionally the hosts average 11.0 shots vs 9.0 for the visitors, and the league BTTS percentage is 60%, therefore I rate BTTS as more likely (70% vs 30%).
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The combined xG for both teams is 1.11 + 0.94 = 2.05, so the model expects about 2.05 goals in the match; I allocate 1.20 for Vila Nova and 0.85 for Atlético GO. In the last 5 matches the teams’ xG is higher (1.44 + 1.09 = 2.53), but only 20% of those recent games finished over 2.5 goals, which weakens the signal for Over 2.5. Seasonal indicators are contradictory: Vila Nova shows 100% of matches over 2.5 in season data, while Atlético GO has 0%, and the home side has 3 goals scored and 3 conceded this season — suggesting small-sample noise. Additionally Atlético GO displays low offensive productivity (attack xG 0.94 and only ~9 shots per game) whereas Vila Nova averages ~11 shots and xG 1.11; this favors a moderate total rather than high overs. Therefore the strongest signal from the data is Under 2.5 (≈65% probability), while Over 1.5 is also likely (≈85%), and Over 3.5 is unlikely (≈8%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Half-time data strongly favor the hosts: Vila Nova led at the break in 100% of cases (1 of 1) and scores on average 1.0 goal by half-time, while Atlético GO has 0.0 half-time goals and concedes on average 1.0 goal by half-time. However, the picture reverses in the second half — the hosts concede on average 2.0 goals after the break (conceded_2hg_avg_home = 2.0) and as many as 2 goals fell in minutes 76–90 (goals_conceded_min_76_to_90_home = 2.0), while the hosts’ losePercentage_home is 100%, indicating that despite leading they do not maintain the favorable result. A comparison of chance quality shows xG 1.11 for the hosts versus 0.94 for the visitors, a slight Vila Nova edge, but xG against Atlético GO = 1.98 signals a vulnerable away defense, giving them real chances for a turnaround after the break. On that basis I identify the strongest scenario as HT/FT 1/2 (home lead at the break, away win at full-time) with a 55% probability; smaller chances are assigned to a draw after the break (1/X 18%) and to the hosts holding the lead (1/1 7%).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Vila Nova | Atlético GO | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 25% | 10% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Vila Nova is 200% better for: goals scored per match.
1.5 goals / match - Vila Nova · 0.5 goals / match - Atlético GO
Vila Nova scores in 100% of matches (2 of 2 matches), while Atlético GO keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 2 matches).
Atlético GO scores in 50% of matches (1 of 2 matches), while Vila Nova keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 2 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Vila Nova
Over / Under - Atlético GO
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Atlético GO is 200% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.5 pts / match - Vila Nova · 1.5 pts / match - Atlético GO
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Vila Nova - second-half results
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Atlético GO - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 0%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.50 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 1.5 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.5 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.5 | 2.5 |
| 1 goal | 50% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 50% |
| Clean sheet | 50% | 0% |
| No goal | 100% | 0% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.50 | 0.50 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.5 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.5 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 50% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 50% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 50% | 50% |
| No goal | 50% | 100% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (1 goal). Concedes most in 76-90 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Vila Nova
Atlético GO
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).
Teams vs league
| Vila Nova | Liga | Atlético GO | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.00 | 2.22 | ▼ 2.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 100% | 57% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 50% | 43% | ▲ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 28% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 61% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 74% | ▼ 50% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Vila Nova 1 - 0 - 1 Atlético GO. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Vila Nova vs Atlético GO?
The Serie B match finished Vila Nova 2:1 Atlético GO. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Vila Nova and Atlético GO?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Vila Nova won 1, Atlético GO won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Vila Nova vs Atlético GO?
Vila Nova score 1.50 goals per game on average and Atlético GO 0.50. The Serie B average is 2.22 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 43% of games. Both teams score in 100% of Vila Nova's matches and 50% of Atlético GO's.
What form are Vila Nova and Atlético GO in?
Over the last 5 games Vila Nova have a 0-2-0 record (1.00 points per game) and Atlético GO 0-0-2 (0.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Vila Nova vs Atlético GO?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Vila Nova vs Atlético GO: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.