Vila Nova vs Avaí: match statistics
Vila Nova vs Avaí: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Vila Nova played Avaí in Serie B (Brazil). The match was played on 17 May 2026. Venue: Estádio Onésio Brasileiro Alvarenga. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Vila Nova: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Avaí: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Vila Nova scores 1.50 and concedes 1.25 goals per match. Avaí scores 1.25 and concedes 1.13. League average: 2.20 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Vila Nova 75%, Avaí 50%. Over 2.5: Vila Nova 50%, Avaí 50%. League level: BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 41%.
xG, shots and style
Avaí has higher xG: 1.48 vs 1.46. Vila Nova: 13.8 shots per match, Avaí: 14.6.
Match halves
Vila Nova: half-time lead 13%, second-half goals 1.13. Avaí: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.75.
Goals by minute
Vila Nova: 61-75 (5 goals). Avaí: 76-90+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie B: 2.20 goals per match, BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 41%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-2-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Vila Nova is the favorite in this fixture and I project a home win. At home Vila Nova averages 1.75 goals with xG 1.55 and 4.5 shots on target per match, while Avaí register 1.33 goals away with xG 1.36 and 3.67 shots on target. Numerically this points to a home attacking edge: Vila Nova attempts 14.5 shots per match versus 13 for Avaí and has a higher conversion rate 12% vs 10%. In the last 5 matches both sides scored 7 goals, but Avaí conceded 9 compared to Vila Nova’s 6, and average xG against for the visitors on the road is 2.19 versus 1.02 for the hosts. Additionally Vila Nova have performed significantly better in the last 5 (1.6 points per match vs 0.6 for Avaí), so I assess probabilities at roughly 60% for the home win, 25% for a draw and 15% for the away win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I favor BTTS - Yes as more likely because Avaí away has a seasonal BTTS of 67% and BTTS in the last 5 matches of 80%, a strong signal of offensive goal availability. Additionally, Avaí has conceded an average of 1.8 goals in the last 5 fixtures and an away xG against of 2.19, suggesting opponents generate many clear chances. Vila Nova at home has a 60% clean sheet rate this season and a seasonal BTTS of 40%, but in the last 5 matches recorded BTTS of 60% and conceded an average of 1.2 goals, with an average offensive xG of 1.55 versus xG against 1.0. Both teams score at similar levels: seasonal goals averages are 1.2 for Vila Nova and 1.33 for Avaí, and in the last 5 matches both averaged 1.4 goals, so the probability that both teams will score increases.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Combining attacking xG and defensive xG yields 1.87 expected goals for Vila Nova (1.55 attacking xG versus 2.19 xG conceded to Avaí). For Avaí the model gives 1.18 expected goals (1.36 attacking xG versus 1.00 xG conceded to Vila Nova), totaling 3.05 expected goals. In the last 5 matches Vila Nova scored 7 and conceded 6 (avg 2.6 goals per match), while Avaí scored 7 and conceded 9 (avg 3.2 per match), confirming both teams’ tendency for higher-scoring games. Season over 2.5 rates are 40% for Vila Nova and 67% for Avaí, and in the last 5 matches Avaí had 80% of games over 2.5 and 80% BTTS, which is a strong signal for Over 2.5. At the same time Vila Nova has 60% clean sheets at home and Over 3.5 rates are relatively low (20% for Vila Nova, 33% for Avaí), therefore I recommend Over 2.5 as the best line, with an expected 3.05 goals.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Vila Nova led at the break in 40% of home matches and were level at half-time in 60%, while Avaí did not lead at the break in any away game and were level at half-time in 67% of matches. Avaí score on average 1.0 goals after the break and in 100% of their away fixtures at least one goal was scored after half-time, which increases the risk of a turnaround if Vila Nova takes the lead. xG slightly favors the hosts 1.55 to 1.36, while Avaí’s defense concedes as much as 2.19 xG versus 1.0 for Vila Nova, so I expect an even match with chances for both sides and difficulty for the visitors to keep a clean sheet. Vila Nova are in better form (last 5: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss) and record 60% draws at home; therefore the safest pick is a draw at Half-Time and a draw after 90 minutes (HT/FT X/X).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Vila Nova | Avaí | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 29% | 27% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.38 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Vila Nova is 167% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Vila Nova · 0.6 pts / match - Avaí
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Vila Nova is 20% better for: goals scored per match.
1.5 goals / match - Vila Nova · 1.25 goals / match - Avaí
Avaí is 11% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.25 goals / match - Vila Nova · 1.13 goals / match - Avaí
Vila Nova scores in 88% of matches (7 of 8 matches), while Avaí keeps a clean sheet in 50% (4 of 8 matches).
Avaí scores in 75% of matches (6 of 8 matches), while Vila Nova keeps a clean sheet in 13% (1 of 8 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Vila Nova
Over / Under - Avaí
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Avaí is 57% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.88 pts / match - Vila Nova · 1.38 pts / match - Avaí
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Vila Nova - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Avaí - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Vila Nova
Avaí
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).
Teams vs league
| Vila Nova | Liga | Avaí | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.75 | 2.20 | ▲ 2.38 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 75% | 48% | ▲ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 50% | 41% | ▲ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 13% | 34% | ▲ 50% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 63% | 58% | ▲ 63% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 88% | 74% | • 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Vila Nova 0 - 2 - 0 Avaí. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Vila Nova vs Avaí?
The Serie B match finished Vila Nova 2:0 Avaí. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Vila Nova and Avaí?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Vila Nova won 0, Avaí won 0 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Vila Nova vs Avaí?
Vila Nova score 1.50 goals per game on average and Avaí 1.25. The Serie B average is 2.20 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 41% of games. Both teams score in 75% of Vila Nova's matches and 50% of Avaí's.
What form are Vila Nova and Avaí in?
Over the last 5 games Vila Nova have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Avaí 0-3-2 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Vila Nova vs Avaí?
The statistical background for Vila Nova vs Avaí — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.