Vila Nova vs Cuiabá: match statistics
Vila Nova vs Cuiabá: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Vila Nova played Cuiabá in Serie B (Brazil). The match was played on 7 October 2026. Venue: Estádio Onésio Brasileiro Alvarenga. Final score: 0:0.
Current form
Vila Nova: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. Cuiabá: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Vila Nova scores 1.42 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Cuiabá scores 1.03 and concedes 0.81. League average: 2.35 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Vila Nova 39%, Cuiabá 35%. Over 2.5: Vila Nova 35%, Cuiabá 26%. League level: BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 44%.
xG, shots and style
Vila Nova has higher xG: 1.46 vs 1.45. Vila Nova: 13.6 shots per match, Cuiabá: 13.6.
Match halves
Vila Nova: half-time lead 39%, second-half goals 0.68. Cuiabá: half-time lead 23%, second-half goals 0.65.
Goals by minute
Vila Nova: 61-75 (12 goals). Cuiabá: 61-75 (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie B: 2.35 goals per match, BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 44%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-2. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 33%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Vila Nova are second in the standings and have won 80% of their home matches, while Cuiabá have won only 27% of their away games. The hosts average 2.07 goals and 5.67 shots on target per match at home, compared with 0.87 goals and 3.13 shots on target for the visitors away from home. Vila Nova also hold the edge in chance quality: their home xG is 1.75, versus Cuiabá’s away xG of 1.13. The hosts concede an average of 0.73 goals at home, while the visitors have failed to score in 53% of their away matches, further limiting their chances. Vila Nova have won three of their last five matches, compared with two wins for Cuiabá, although the visitors’ 40% away draw rate leaves open the possibility of the points being shared.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest argument for BTTS - No is Vila Nova’s defensive record: they concede an average of 0.60 goals at home and keep a clean sheet in 53% of matches, while Cuiabá fail to score in 53% of their away games. The visitors average just 0.87 goals away from home, with an xG of 1.13, which limits their chances of breaking down the hosts. Previous results also support this scenario: both teams scored in 33% of Vila Nova’s home matches and 40% of Cuiabá’s away matches, compared with 48% league-wide. In each team’s last five games, both sides scored in just 20% of cases. So, even with the hosts’ attacking xG of 1.74, it is more likely that at least one team will fail to score. BTTS - No does not necessarily mean a 0-0 draw; it means at least one team will not score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest pick is Under 3.5 goals: this line has not been breached in 93% of Vila Nova matches and 87% of Cuiabá matches. The hosts concede an average of 0.60 goals, while the visitors score 0.87 and have failed to score in 53% of their matches, limiting the chances of a high-scoring game. Vila Nova create chances worth an average of 1.74 xG, compared with the 1.38 xG conceded by Cuiabá, making a home goal likely; however, 80% of Vila Nova’s matches have finished with no more than two goals. Cuiabá went Over 2.5 goals in 60% of their last five matches, but given Vila Nova’s defensive strength and a projected total of 2.10 goals, Under 3.5 offers a greater safety margin.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A draw at half-time is the most likely outcome: Vila Nova were level at the break in 53% of their matches, compared with 67% for Cuiabá. The hosts kept a clean sheet in the first half in 87% of games, while the visitors failed to score before half-time in 73%, limiting the chances of Cuiabá taking an early lead. After the break, Vila Nova’s advantage could prove decisive: they average 0.73 goals in the second half, compared with Cuiabá’s 0.53, and generate 1.74 xG per match overall against their opponents’ 1.13. The X/1 scenario is also supported by the difference in shots on target, 5.13 to 3.13 per match, although the hosts’ 47% draw rate this season makes X/X a notable alternative.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Vila Nova | Cuiabá | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.24 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Vila Nova is 30% better for: last-5 form.
2.6 pts / match - Vila Nova · 2 pts / match - Cuiabá
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Vila Nova is 38% better for: goals scored per match.
1.42 goals / match - Vila Nova · 1.03 goals / match - Cuiabá
Cuiabá is 23% better for: goals conceded per match.
1 goals / match - Vila Nova · 0.81 goals / match - Cuiabá
Vila Nova scores in 74% of matches (23 of 31 matches), while Cuiabá keeps a clean sheet in 42% (13 of 31 matches).
Cuiabá scores in 61% of matches (19 of 31 matches), while Vila Nova keeps a clean sheet in 39% (12 of 31 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Vila Nova
Over / Under - Cuiabá
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Vila Nova is 17% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.48 pts / match - Vila Nova · 1.26 pts / match - Cuiabá
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Vila Nova - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 39% of matches and wins 55%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Cuiabá - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 23% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 100% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (12 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (12 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Vila Nova
Cuiabá
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).
Teams vs league
| Vila Nova | Liga | Cuiabá | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.42 | 2.35 | ▼ 1.84 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 39% | 48% | ▼ 35% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 35% | 44% | ▼ 26% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 39% | 30% | ▲ 42% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 77% | 68% | ▼ 52% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 68% | 75% | ▼ 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Vila Nova 0 - 1 - 2 Cuiabá. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 33% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Vila Nova vs Cuiabá?
The Serie B match finished Vila Nova 0:0 Cuiabá. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Vila Nova and Cuiabá?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Vila Nova won 0, Cuiabá won 2 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Vila Nova vs Cuiabá?
Vila Nova score 1.42 goals per game on average and Cuiabá 1.03. The Serie B average is 2.35 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 44% of games. Both teams score in 39% of Vila Nova's matches and 35% of Cuiabá's.
What form are Vila Nova and Cuiabá in?
Over the last 5 games Vila Nova have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Cuiabá 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Vila Nova vs Cuiabá?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.