Vila Nova vs Fortaleza: match statistics
Vila Nova vs Fortaleza: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Vila Nova play Fortaleza in Serie B (Brazil). The match date is 22 July 2026 at 02:35. Venue: Estádio Onésio Brasileiro Alvarenga. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Vila Nova: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Fortaleza: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Vila Nova scores 1.42 and concedes 1.16 goals per match. Fortaleza scores 1.16 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.27 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Vila Nova 58%, Fortaleza 37%. Over 2.5: Vila Nova 47%, Fortaleza 47%. League level: BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 42%.
xG, shots and style
Fortaleza has higher xG: 1.52 vs 1.40. Vila Nova: 13.2 shots per match, Fortaleza: 14.3.
Match halves
Vila Nova: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.68. Fortaleza: half-time lead 37%, second-half goals 0.68.
Goals by minute
Vila Nova: 61-75 (7 goals). Fortaleza: 76-90+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie B: 2.27 goals per match, BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 42%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Match description
Vila Nova possesses a clear home advantage — winning 75% of home matches, averaging 2.0 goals per game and never recording a home match without a goal (FTS 0%), with xG 1.59 and 4.88 shots on target per game. Fortaleza struggle offensively on the road: only 0.44 goals per away game, 56% of away matches without scoring, 3.11 shots on target and a very low conversion rate (~3%). The visitors, however, are in better overall form over the last 5 matches (3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss, 2.0 points per game) and have conceded only 3 goals in that span, which reduces the risk of a one-sided contest. In terms of chance quality the hosts have higher xG (1.59 vs 1.35) and lower xG against (1.17 vs 1.67 for the visitors away), and the home goal difference is +7 versus Fortaleza’s -5 on the road. Considering 75% home wins, zero FTS at home and the opponent’s poor away efficiency, I project a Vila Nova victory — estimated probabilities: ~60% home win, 20% draw, 20% Fortaleza win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Vila Nova | Fortaleza | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 29% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Fortaleza is 50% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Vila Nova · 1.8 pts / match - Fortaleza
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Vila Nova is 22% better for: goals scored per match.
1.42 goals / match - Vila Nova · 1.16 goals / match - Fortaleza
Fortaleza is 16% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.16 goals / match - Vila Nova · 1 goals / match - Fortaleza
Vila Nova scores in 79% of matches (15 of 19 matches), while Fortaleza keeps a clean sheet in 42% (8 of 19 matches).
Fortaleza scores in 63% of matches (12 of 19 matches), while Vila Nova keeps a clean sheet in 21% (4 of 19 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Vila Nova
Over / Under — Fortaleza
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Fortaleza is 8% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.32 pts / match - Vila Nova · 1.42 pts / match - Fortaleza
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Vila Nova - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 53%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Fortaleza - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 37% of matches and wins 47%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (7 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Vila Nova
Fortaleza
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).
Teams vs league
| Vila Nova | Liga | Fortaleza | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.58 | 2.27 | ▼ 2.16 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 58% | 48% | ▼ 37% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 47% | 42% | ▲ 47% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 21% | 31% | ▲ 42% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 74% | 66% | ▲ 68% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 79% | 74% | ▼ 68% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
What was the result of Vila Nova vs Fortaleza?
The Serie B match finished Vila Nova 2:1 Fortaleza. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Vila Nova vs Fortaleza?
Vila Nova score 1.42 goals per game on average and Fortaleza 1.16. The Serie B average is 2.27 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 42% of games. Both teams score in 58% of Vila Nova's matches and 37% of Fortaleza's.
What form are Vila Nova and Fortaleza in?
Over the last 5 games Vila Nova have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Fortaleza 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Vila Nova vs Fortaleza?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.