Vila Nova vs Operário PR: match statistics
Vila Nova vs Operário PR: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Vila Nova played Operário PR in Serie B (Brazil). The match was played on 18 April 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Vila Nova: 2-2-0, 2.00 points/match. Operário PR: 2-2-0, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Vila Nova scores 1.50 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Operário PR scores 0.75 and concedes 0.25. League average: 2.12 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Vila Nova 75%, Operário PR 25%. Over 2.5: Vila Nova 50%, Operário PR 25%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 43%.
xG, shots and style
xG is very similar for both teams. Vila Nova: 13.8 shots per match, Operário PR: 12.8.
Match halves
Vila Nova: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 1.25. Operário PR: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.25.
Goals by minute
Vila Nova: 46-60 (2 goals). Operário PR: 16-30 (1 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie B: 2.12 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 43%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-2-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Slight favourites are the hosts (Vila Nova): at home they average 2.0 goals and have never finished a match without scoring, while Operário averages 1.0 goals away and in 50% of away trips failed to score. Vila Nova averages 12.5 shots per home match, 4.5 on target, with a 16% conversion rate, whereas Operário averages 10.5 shots with 5.0 on target and a 10% conversion, suggesting greater attacking efficiency for the hosts. On the other hand Operário shows better form (3 wins and 2 draws in last 5) and collects 2.2 points per match versus Vila Nova’s 1.8; the visitors concede only 0.5 goals away compared to 1.5 conceded by the hosts. Looking at xG, Vila Nova has an average offensive xG of 1.36 versus Operário’s 1.19, but Operário’s xG against is 1.58 while actual goals conceded are 0.5, indicating Operário’s defense is outperforming expected metrics and may have some luck. Considering the home attacking efficiency (2.0 goals and no matches without a goal) and the visitors’ solid, albeit somewhat fortunate, defense, I give a slight preference to Vila Nova: 50% home win, 25% draw and 25% Operário win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I back BTTS - No because the home team’s profile strongly favors clean sheets: season clean sheet rate 100% with season goals conceded 0.0 and season BTTS 0%. The hosts also have low scoring efficiency — season goals for 0.5 and shot conversion 3.0% on 15.0 shots and 6.5 shots on target per match — so a high xG of 1.68 is not translating into goals. The visitors are not much leakier defensively either: season goals conceded 0.5 and just 1 goal conceded in the last 5 matches (0.2 avg) reduces the risk of an open game. xG figures work against this view: Vila Nova xG 1.68 vs opponents’ xG 1.58, and Operário xG 1.19 vs opponents’ xG 0.98, indicating both sides create chances. However, due to the very clear defensive signals (100% clean sheets and 0% season BTTS for the hosts) I assign BTTS - No 60% and Yes 40%.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I calculated expected goals as the average of the team’s attacking xG and the opponent’s defensive xG: Vila Nova 1.63 = (1.68 + 1.58)/2, Operário PR 1.09 = (1.19 + 0.98)/2, giving a combined total of 2.72 goals. Assuming a Poisson distribution with parameter 2.72, the probability of at least 2 goals (Over 1.5) is approximately 75.5% (rounded 76%), for at least 3 goals (Over 2.5) about 51.1% (51%), and for at least 4 goals (Over 3.5) about 29.1% (29%). Situational stats confirm offensive potential: Vila Nova averages 15 shots and 6.5 shots on target per match, Operário 10.5 and 5.0, and over the last five matches both teams have attacking xG close to 1.4 (1.38 and 1.41). Despite Vila Nova’s low conversion rate (3.0% vs 10.0% for Operário) and season metrics showing Vila Nova 0% of matches above 1.5, the high volume of created chances (xG 1.68 and 1.58) and the combined expected goals of 2.72 favor the over market; therefore Over 1.5 is the strongest signal.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
I back 1/1 (Vila Nova leading at Half-Time and winning Full-Time) because the home side have kept a 100% clean sheet rate this season and concede on average 0.0 goals per match, and they led at the break in 50% of games, which strongly supports maintaining an early lead. The hosts generate more quality chances: home xG is 1.68 versus Operário’s 1.19, they average 15.0 shots (6.5 on target) compared to the visitors’ 10.5 (5.0) and have an average of 0.5 goals by Half-Time (scoredAVGHT_home 0.5). Operário, however, have greater shot conversion (10.0% versus the hosts’ 3.0%) and have seen both teams score in 50% of their matches this season; in their last five games the visitors averaged 0.6 goals by Half-Time, so there is a risk of an equalizer after the break. Despite that, the hosts’ zero average goals conceded (seasonConcededAVG_home 0.0) and tendency to preserve clean sheets make the 1/1 scenario the strongest signal from the provided data.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Vila Nova | Operário PR | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 29% | 45% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.38 | 0.13 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Vila Nova is 100% better for: goals scored per match.
1.5 goals / match - Vila Nova · 0.75 goals / match - Operário PR
Operário PR is 300% better for: goals conceded per match.
1 goals / match - Vila Nova · 0.25 goals / match - Operário PR
Vila Nova scores in 100% of matches (4 of 4 matches), while Operário PR keeps a clean sheet in 75% (3 of 4 matches).
Operário PR scores in 50% of matches (2 of 4 matches), while Vila Nova keeps a clean sheet in 25% (1 of 4 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Vila Nova
Over / Under - Operário PR
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Operário PR is 50% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - Vila Nova · 1.5 pts / match - Operário PR
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Vila Nova - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Operário PR - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.3 | 1.3 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.5 | 0.5 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 75% | 75% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 75% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 25% |
| Clean sheet | 50% | 50% |
| No goal | 75% | 25% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.5 | 0.3 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.3 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.3 |
| 1 goal | 50% | 25% |
| 2 goals | 25% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 75% | 100% |
| No goal | 50% | 75% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (1 goal). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Vila Nova
Operário PR
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).
Teams vs league
| Vila Nova | Liga | Operário PR | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.50 | 2.12 | ▼ 1.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 75% | 50% | ▼ 25% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 50% | 43% | ▼ 25% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 25% | 32% | ▲ 75% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 75% | 55% | ▼ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | • 75% | 76% | ▼ 25% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Vila Nova 0 - 2 - 0 Operário PR. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Vila Nova vs Operário PR?
The Serie B match finished Vila Nova 2:1 Operário PR. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Vila Nova and Operário PR?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Vila Nova won 0, Operário PR won 0 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Vila Nova vs Operário PR?
Vila Nova score 1.50 goals per game on average and Operário PR 0.75. The Serie B average is 2.12 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 43% of games. Both teams score in 75% of Vila Nova's matches and 25% of Operário PR's.
What form are Vila Nova and Operário PR in?
Over the last 5 games Vila Nova have a 2-2-0 record (2.00 points per game) and Operário PR 2-2-0 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Vila Nova vs Operário PR?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Vila Nova vs Operário PR: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.