Vila Nova vs São Bernardo: match statistics
Vila Nova vs São Bernardo: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Vila Nova play São Bernardo in Serie B (Brazil). The match date is 7 July 2026 at 00:00. Venue: Estádio Onésio Brasileiro Alvarenga. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Vila Nova: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. São Bernardo: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Vila Nova scores 1.42 and concedes 1.16 goals per match. São Bernardo scores 1.33 and concedes 0.94. League average: 2.27 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Vila Nova 58%, São Bernardo 56%. Over 2.5: Vila Nova 47%, São Bernardo 44%. League level: BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 42%.
xG, shots and style
Vila Nova has higher xG: 1.40 vs 1.22. Vila Nova: 13.2 shots per match, São Bernardo: 11.4.
Match halves
Vila Nova: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.68. São Bernardo: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.83.
Goals by minute
Vila Nova: 61-75 (7 goals). São Bernardo: 76-90+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie B: 2.27 goals per match, BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 42%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Match description
Vila Nova holds a clear advantage in chance creation: at home they average 14.57 shots (4.86 on target) per match with an xG of 1.56, while São Bernardo away average 9.57 shots (4.29 on target) and xG 1.07. The hosts convert this into goals — averaging 2.00 goals at home and have not failed to score in 0% of home matches, whereas the visitors score 1.86 goals on the road and fail to score in 14% of away fixtures. Form also favors Vila Nova: in the last 5 matches they have 3 wins and 2 losses, averaging 1.8 points per game, while São Bernardo have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses, averaging 1.0 point per game. São Bernardo defend reasonably on paper (conceding 0.86 goals on average away versus Vila Nova conceding 1.14 at home), but their away xG against is 1.87, suggesting that their defensive solidity may partly be due to individual interventions or luck. Considering the greater quantity and quality of chances (14.57 vs 9.57 shots and xG 1.56 vs 1.07), the superior home goals average (2.00 vs 1.86) and the edge in recent form, I predict a home win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Vila Nova | São Bernardo | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 29% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Vila Nova is 200% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Vila Nova · 0.4 pts / match - São Bernardo
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Vila Nova is 7% better for: goals scored per match.
1.42 goals / match - Vila Nova · 1.33 goals / match - São Bernardo
São Bernardo is 23% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.16 goals / match - Vila Nova · 0.94 goals / match - São Bernardo
Vila Nova scores in 79% of matches (15 of 19 matches), while São Bernardo keeps a clean sheet in 28% (5 of 18 matches).
São Bernardo scores in 78% of matches (14 of 18 matches), while Vila Nova keeps a clean sheet in 21% (4 of 19 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Vila Nova
Over / Under — São Bernardo
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Vila Nova is 25% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.32 pts / match - Vila Nova · 1.06 pts / match - São Bernardo
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Vila Nova - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 53%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
São Bernardo - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 39%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (7 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Vila Nova
São Bernardo
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).
Teams vs league
| Vila Nova | Liga | São Bernardo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.58 | 2.27 | • 2.28 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 58% | 48% | ▲ 56% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 47% | 42% | ▲ 44% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 21% | 31% | ▼ 28% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 74% | 66% | • 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 79% | 74% | ▲ 78% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
What was the result of Vila Nova vs São Bernardo?
The Serie B match finished Vila Nova 2:1 São Bernardo. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Vila Nova vs São Bernardo?
Vila Nova score 1.42 goals per game on average and São Bernardo 1.33. The Serie B average is 2.27 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 42% of games. Both teams score in 58% of Vila Nova's matches and 56% of São Bernardo's.
What form are Vila Nova and São Bernardo in?
Over the last 5 games Vila Nova have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and São Bernardo 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Vila Nova vs São Bernardo?
The statistical background for Vila Nova vs São Bernardo — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.