Villarreal vs Deportivo Alavés: match statistics
Villarreal displays impressive home form, boasting a 78% win rate and a +14 goal difference at their own stadium. The hosts average 2.22 goals per home match, failing to score in just 11% of games. Deportivo Alavés suffers from very poor away statistics: only 13% wins, 75% losses, and a negative goal difference of -8. The visitors fail to score in 63% of away matches, averaging a mere 0.38 goals per game. Villarreal's superiority in possession (51% vs 48%), shots on target (6.33 vs 3.25), and expected goals (1.85 vs 1.13) further confirms their dominance. The hosts' high clean sheet ratio (56%) combined with Alavés's lack of potency makes a Villarreal victory the most probable outcome.
Villarreal vs Deportivo Alavés: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Villarreal played Deportivo Alavés in La Liga (Spain). The match was played on 10 January 2026. Final score: 3:1.
Current form
Villarreal: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match. Deportivo Alavés: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Villarreal scores 2.00 and concedes 0.94 goals per match. Deportivo Alavés scores 0.83 and concedes 1.17. League average: 2.58 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Villarreal 47%, Deportivo Alavés 50%. Over 2.5: Villarreal 53%, Deportivo Alavés 39%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 47%.
xG, shots and style
Villarreal has higher xG: 1.51 vs 1.27. Villarreal: 13.2 shots per match, Deportivo Alavés: 11.2.
Match halves
Villarreal: half-time lead 59%, second-half goals 1.06. Deportivo Alavés: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.44.
Goals by minute
Villarreal: 16-30 (6 goals). Deportivo Alavés: 76-90+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
La Liga: 2.58 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 47%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Villarreal displays impressive home form, boasting a 78% win rate and a +14 goal difference at their own stadium. The hosts average 2.22 goals per home match, failing to score in just 11% of games. Deportivo Alavés suffers from very poor away statistics: only 13% wins, 75% losses, and a negative goal difference of -8. The visitors fail to score in 63% of away matches, averaging a mere 0.38 goals per game. Villarreal's superiority in possession (51% vs 48%), shots on target (6.33 vs 3.25), and expected goals (1.85 vs 1.13) further confirms their dominance. The hosts' high clean sheet ratio (56%) combined with Alavés's lack of potency makes a Villarreal victory the most probable outcome.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Villarreal | Deportivo Alavés | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.40 | 0.24 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Villarreal is 200% better for: last-5 form.
2.4 pts / match - Villarreal · 0.8 pts / match - Deportivo Alavés
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Villarreal is 141% better for: goals scored per match.
2 goals / match - Villarreal · 0.83 goals / match - Deportivo Alavés
Villarreal is 24% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.94 goals / match - Villarreal · 1.17 goals / match - Deportivo Alavés
Villarreal scores in 88% of matches (15 of 17 matches), while Deportivo Alavés keeps a clean sheet in 17% (3 of 18 matches).
Deportivo Alavés scores in 61% of matches (11 of 18 matches), while Villarreal keeps a clean sheet in 41% (7 of 17 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Villarreal
Over / Under - Deportivo Alavés
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Villarreal is 89% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2 pts / match - Villarreal · 1.06 pts / match - Deportivo Alavés
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Villarreal - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 59% of matches and wins 71%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Deportivo Alavés - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 28%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (6 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Villarreal
Deportivo Alavés
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (La Liga).
Teams vs league
| Villarreal | Liga | Deportivo Alavés | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.94 | 2.58 | ▼ 2.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 47% | 52% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 53% | 47% | ▼ 39% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 41% | 26% | ▼ 17% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 82% | 68% | ▼ 56% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 94% | 83% | ▼ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
FAQ
What was the result of Villarreal vs Deportivo Alavés?
The La Liga match finished Villarreal 3:1 Deportivo Alavés. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Villarreal vs Deportivo Alavés?
Villarreal score 2.00 goals per game on average and Deportivo Alavés 0.83. The La Liga average is 2.58 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 47% of Villarreal's matches and 50% of Deportivo Alavés's.
What form are Villarreal and Deportivo Alavés in?
Over the last 5 games Villarreal have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Deportivo Alavés 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Villarreal vs Deportivo Alavés?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Villarreal vs Deportivo Alavés: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.