Villarreal vs Real Madrid: match statistics
Real Madrid presents more solid form in the last five matches (1.8 PPG) compared to Villarreal (1.2 PPG), indicating the guests' better disposition. Madrid dominates offensive statistics away with an average of 2.0 goals per match and higher xG (2.09 vs 1.79), while simultaneously having better shots on target efficiency (6.8 vs 6.1). Villarreal, despite an impressive record of 80% wins at home, has lost three of the last five matches overall, which may indicate a drop in form. Real Madrid demonstrates greater game control with 58% possession away and better defensive efficiency (40% clean sheets). Considering Real's class, their higher position in the table, and the advantage in key offensive and defensive statistics, the guests are the favorite for this meeting.
Villarreal vs Real Madrid: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Villarreal play Real Madrid in La Liga (Spain). The match date is 24 January 2026 at 21:00. Final score: 0:2.
Current form
Villarreal: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Real Madrid: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Villarreal scores 1.89 and concedes 1.21 goals per match. Real Madrid scores 2.03 and concedes 0.92. League average: 2.69 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Villarreal 63%, Real Madrid 55%. Over 2.5: Villarreal 58%, Real Madrid 55%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
Real Madrid has higher xG: 2.02 vs 1.36. Villarreal: 12.0 shots per match, Real Madrid: 17.5.
Match halves
Villarreal: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.87. Real Madrid: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 1.16.
Goals by minute
Villarreal: 31-45+ (18 goals). Real Madrid: 76-90+ (19 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
La Liga: 2.69 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
Real Madrid presents more solid form in the last five matches (1.8 PPG) compared to Villarreal (1.2 PPG), indicating the guests' better disposition. Madrid dominates offensive statistics away with an average of 2.0 goals per match and higher xG (2.09 vs 1.79), while simultaneously having better shots on target efficiency (6.8 vs 6.1). Villarreal, despite an impressive record of 80% wins at home, has lost three of the last five matches overall, which may indicate a drop in form. Real Madrid demonstrates greater game control with 58% possession away and better defensive efficiency (40% clean sheets). Considering Real's class, their higher position in the table, and the advantage in key offensive and defensive statistics, the guests are the favorite for this meeting.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Villarreal | Real Madrid | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.42 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Real Madrid is 71% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Villarreal · 2.4 pts / match - Real Madrid
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Real Madrid is 7% better for: goals scored per match.
1.89 goals / match - Villarreal · 2.03 goals / match - Real Madrid
Real Madrid is 32% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.21 goals / match - Villarreal · 0.92 goals / match - Real Madrid
Villarreal scores in 84% of matches (32 of 38 matches), while Real Madrid keeps a clean sheet in 37% (14 of 38 matches).
Real Madrid scores in 89% of matches (34 of 38 matches), while Villarreal keeps a clean sheet in 21% (8 of 38 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Villarreal
Over / Under — Real Madrid
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Real Madrid is 5% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.76 pts / match - Villarreal · 1.84 pts / match - Real Madrid
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Villarreal - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 58%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Real Madrid - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 71%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 2.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (18 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (19 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +10 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Villarreal
Real Madrid
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (La Liga).
Teams vs league
| Villarreal | Liga | Real Madrid | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.11 | 2.69 | ▲ 2.95 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 63% | 57% | ▼ 55% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 58% | 50% | ▲ 55% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 21% | 24% | ▲ 37% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 82% | 70% | • 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 89% | 82% | ▲ 84% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Villarreal 0 - 0 - 1 Real Madrid. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Villarreal vs Real Madrid?
The La Liga match finished Villarreal 0:2 Real Madrid. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Villarreal vs Real Madrid?
Villarreal score 1.89 goals per game on average and Real Madrid 2.03. The La Liga average is 2.69 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 63% of Villarreal's matches and 55% of Real Madrid's.
What form are Villarreal and Real Madrid in?
Over the last 5 games Villarreal have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Real Madrid 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Villarreal vs Real Madrid?
The statistical background for Villarreal vs Real Madrid — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.