Vipers vs Mbarara City: match statistics
Vipers demonstrate a decisive advantage as hosts, sitting 2nd in the table with an impressive record of 7 wins and just 3 draws with no defeats. Their home form is outstanding - an 80% win rate, averaging 2.4 goals per match, and a WWDWW streak in their last five home games. Mbarara City performs significantly worse away, occupying 13th position with only a 20% away win rate and conceding an average of 2 goals per match. The difference in Expected Goals (xG) is significant - Vipers generate 1.8 xG in home matches, while Mbarara achieves only 1.43 xG away, while simultaneously conceding an average of 2.11 xG. Additionally, Vipers boast a positive goal difference of +8 at home, whereas the visitors have -3 on the road, confirming the clear advantage for the hosts in this clash.
Vipers vs Mbarara City: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Vipers played Mbarara City in Uganda Premier League (Uganda). The match was played on 6 January 2026. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Vipers: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. Mbarara City: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Vipers scores 1.90 and concedes 0.60 goals per match. Mbarara City scores 1.00 and concedes 1.45. League average: 2.37 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Vipers 60%, Mbarara City 73%. Over 2.5: Vipers 50%, Mbarara City 36%. League level: BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 43%.
xG, shots and style
Vipers has higher xG: 1.85 vs 1.48. Vipers: 10.3 shots per match, Mbarara City: 8.3.
Match halves
Vipers: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 1.00. Mbarara City: half-time lead 9%, second-half goals 0.45.
Goals by minute
Vipers: 61-75 (7 goals). Mbarara City: 16-30 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Uganda Premier League: 2.37 goals per match, BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 43%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Vipers demonstrate a decisive advantage as hosts, sitting 2nd in the table with an impressive record of 7 wins and just 3 draws with no defeats. Their home form is outstanding - an 80% win rate, averaging 2.4 goals per match, and a WWDWW streak in their last five home games. Mbarara City performs significantly worse away, occupying 13th position with only a 20% away win rate and conceding an average of 2 goals per match. The difference in Expected Goals (xG) is significant - Vipers generate 1.8 xG in home matches, while Mbarara achieves only 1.43 xG away, while simultaneously conceding an average of 2.11 xG. Additionally, Vipers boast a positive goal difference of +8 at home, whereas the visitors have -3 on the road, confirming the clear advantage for the hosts in this clash.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Vipers | Mbarara City | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.18 | 0.18 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.47 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Vipers is 38% better for: last-5 form.
2.2 pts / match - Vipers · 1.6 pts / match - Mbarara City
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Vipers is 90% better for: goals scored per match.
1.9 goals / match - Vipers · 1 goals / match - Mbarara City
Vipers is 142% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.6 goals / match - Vipers · 1.45 goals / match - Mbarara City
Vipers scores in 90% of matches (9 of 10 matches), while Mbarara City keeps a clean sheet in 9% (1 of 11 matches).
Mbarara City scores in 82% of matches (9 of 11 matches), while Vipers keeps a clean sheet in 40% (4 of 10 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Vipers
Over / Under - Mbarara City
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Vipers is 109% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.9 pts / match - Vipers · 0.91 pts / match - Mbarara City
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Vipers - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 70%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Mbarara City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 9% of matches and wins 18%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (7 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Vipers
Mbarara City
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Uganda Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Vipers | Liga | Mbarara City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.50 | 2.37 | • 2.45 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 60% | 47% | ▲ 73% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 50% | 43% | ▼ 36% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 40% | 31% | ▼ 9% |
| Goal before half-time | • 60% | 61% | ▼ 55% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 70% | 62% | ▲ 82% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Other recorded players
Away team
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- VipersGoalAllan Okello
- VipersGoalAbdul Karim Watambala
FAQ
What was the result of Vipers vs Mbarara City?
The Uganda Premier League match finished Vipers 2:0 Mbarara City. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Vipers vs Mbarara City?
Vipers score 1.90 goals per game on average and Mbarara City 1.00. The Uganda Premier League average is 2.37 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 43% of games. Both teams score in 60% of Vipers's matches and 73% of Mbarara City's.
What form are Vipers and Mbarara City in?
Over the last 5 games Vipers have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Mbarara City 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Vipers vs Mbarara City?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.