Vipers vs Police Uganda: match statistics
Vipers demonstrate impressive home form with an 83% win rate at home and just 0.67 goals conceded on average per match. The league leaders have not lost a single match this season (9-3-0) and hold a +10 goal difference advantage at their own stadium. Police Uganda, although in good form (2.6 PPG in the last 5 matches), shows greater vulnerability to conceding goals on the road (1.17 average) and achieves only 50% wins in away matches. A key factor is also Vipers' higher chance conversion efficiency (18% vs 13%) and better average xG (1.8 vs 1.81, but with a lower xG Against of 1.12 vs 1.71). Considering the home advantage, Vipers' unbeaten run this season, and their solid defense, the hosts are the favorites, though the quality of Police Uganda makes a draw a realistic scenario as well.
Vipers vs Police Uganda: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Vipers played Police Uganda in Uganda Premier League (Uganda). The match was played on 27 January 2026. Final score: 4:1.
Current form
Vipers: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. Police Uganda: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Vipers scores 1.92 and concedes 0.50 goals per match. Police Uganda scores 1.92 and concedes 0.92. League average: 2.27 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Vipers 50%, Police Uganda 69%. Over 2.5: Vipers 42%, Police Uganda 62%. League level: BTTS 44%, Over 2.5 41%.
xG, shots and style
Police Uganda has higher xG: 1.83 vs 1.79. Vipers: 10.3 shots per match, Police Uganda: 12.1.
Match halves
Vipers: half-time lead 58%, second-half goals 1.00. Police Uganda: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 1.15.
Goals by minute
Vipers: 61-75 (7 goals). Police Uganda: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Uganda Premier League: 2.27 goals per match, BTTS 44%, Over 2.5 41%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Vipers demonstrate impressive home form with an 83% win rate at home and just 0.67 goals conceded on average per match. The league leaders have not lost a single match this season (9-3-0) and hold a +10 goal difference advantage at their own stadium. Police Uganda, although in good form (2.6 PPG in the last 5 matches), shows greater vulnerability to conceding goals on the road (1.17 average) and achieves only 50% wins in away matches. A key factor is also Vipers' higher chance conversion efficiency (18% vs 13%) and better average xG (1.8 vs 1.81, but with a lower xG Against of 1.12 vs 1.71). Considering the home advantage, Vipers' unbeaten run this season, and their solid defense, the hosts are the favorites, though the quality of Police Uganda makes a draw a realistic scenario as well.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Vipers | Police Uganda | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 44% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.17 | 0.15 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.42 | 0.41 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Vipers is 84% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.5 goals / match - Vipers · 0.92 goals / match - Police Uganda
Vipers scores in 92% of matches (11 of 12 matches), while Police Uganda keeps a clean sheet in 31% (4 of 13 matches).
Police Uganda scores in 100% of matches (13 of 13 matches), while Vipers keeps a clean sheet in 50% (6 of 12 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Vipers
Over / Under - Police Uganda
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Vipers is 51% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2.08 pts / match - Vipers · 1.38 pts / match - Police Uganda
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Vipers - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 58% of matches and wins 75%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Police Uganda - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 62%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 3.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 100% |
| No goal | 60% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +9 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (7 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Vipers
Police Uganda
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Uganda Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Vipers | Liga | Police Uganda | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.42 | 2.27 | ▲ 2.85 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 50% | 44% | ▲ 69% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 42% | 41% | ▲ 62% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 34% | ▼ 31% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 67% | 61% | ▲ 69% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 75% | 61% | ▲ 85% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Other recorded players
Away team
Other recorded players
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- VipersGoalMilton KarisaAssist: Abdul Karim Watambala
- VipersGoalAbdul Karim Watambala
- Police UgandaGoalSaidi Kyeyune
FAQ
What was the result of Vipers vs Police Uganda?
The Uganda Premier League match finished Vipers 4:1 Police Uganda. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Vipers vs Police Uganda?
Vipers score 1.92 goals per game on average and Police Uganda 1.92. The Uganda Premier League average is 2.27 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 41% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Vipers's matches and 69% of Police Uganda's.
What form are Vipers and Police Uganda in?
Over the last 5 games Vipers have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Police Uganda 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Vipers vs Police Uganda?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.