Virtus Casarano vs Casertana: match statistics
The match looks very evenly balanced, which suggests a draw. Virtus Casarano have the home advantage with a 46% win rate at home and a positive goal difference (+6) in home matches, but their recent form is poor (1 win in the last 5 matches). Casertana show a similar level away (38% wins), but their form is also concerning (0.8 points per match in the last 5 games, a streak of 3 defeats). The xG stats are similar for both teams (1.25 vs 1.45 for the visitors), suggesting an even quality of chances created. The average goals in matches for both teams (2.15 for the hosts, 2.38 for the guests) indicates a potentially high-scoring encounter, but the poor form of both sides in recent weeks makes a draw the most likely outcome.
Virtus Casarano vs Casertana: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Virtus Casarano played Casertana in Serie C Group C (Italy). The match was played on 14 February 2026. Final score: 3:2.
Current form
Virtus Casarano: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Casertana: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Virtus Casarano scores 1.31 and concedes 1.65 goals per match. Casertana scores 1.46 and concedes 1.19. League average: 2.49 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Virtus Casarano 46%, Casertana 58%. Over 2.5: Virtus Casarano 58%, Casertana 50%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 47%.
xG, shots and style
Casertana has higher xG: 1.39 vs 1.18. Virtus Casarano: 9.0 shots per match, Casertana: 10.9.
Match halves
Virtus Casarano: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.85. Casertana: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.69.
Goals by minute
Virtus Casarano: 76-90+ (10 goals). Casertana: 31-45+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie C Group C: 2.49 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 47%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The match looks very evenly balanced, which suggests a draw. Virtus Casarano have the home advantage with a 46% win rate at home and a positive goal difference (+6) in home matches, but their recent form is poor (1 win in the last 5 matches). Casertana show a similar level away (38% wins), but their form is also concerning (0.8 points per match in the last 5 games, a streak of 3 defeats). The xG stats are similar for both teams (1.25 vs 1.45 for the visitors), suggesting an even quality of chances created. The average goals in matches for both teams (2.15 for the hosts, 2.38 for the guests) indicates a potentially high-scoring encounter, but the poor form of both sides in recent weeks makes a draw the most likely outcome.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Virtus Casarano | Casertana | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Virtus Casarano is 25% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Virtus Casarano · 0.8 pts / match - Casertana
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Casertana is 11% better for: goals scored per match.
1.31 goals / match - Virtus Casarano · 1.46 goals / match - Casertana
Casertana is 39% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.65 goals / match - Virtus Casarano · 1.19 goals / match - Casertana
Virtus Casarano scores in 73% of matches (19 of 26 matches), while Casertana keeps a clean sheet in 27% (7 of 26 matches).
Casertana scores in 81% of matches (21 of 26 matches), while Virtus Casarano keeps a clean sheet in 31% (8 of 26 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Virtus Casarano
Over / Under - Casertana
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Casertana is 33% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.19 pts / match - Virtus Casarano · 1.58 pts / match - Casertana
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Virtus Casarano - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Casertana - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 46%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 100% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 0% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -6 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Virtus Casarano
Casertana
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group C).
Teams vs league
| Virtus Casarano | Liga | Casertana | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.96 | 2.49 | ▲ 2.65 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 46% | 49% | ▲ 58% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 58% | 47% | ▲ 50% |
| Clean sheets | • 31% | 30% | ▼ 27% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 69% | 65% | ▲ 73% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 81% | 77% | ▲ 85% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Virtus Casarano 1 - 0 - 0 Casertana. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Virtus Casarano vs Casertana?
The Serie C Group C match finished Virtus Casarano 3:2 Casertana. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Virtus Casarano vs Casertana?
Virtus Casarano score 1.31 goals per game on average and Casertana 1.46. The Serie C Group C average is 2.49 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 46% of Virtus Casarano's matches and 58% of Casertana's.
What form are Virtus Casarano and Casertana in?
Over the last 5 games Virtus Casarano have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Casertana 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Virtus Casarano vs Casertana?
The statistical background for Virtus Casarano vs Casertana — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.