Virtus Casarano vs Cosenza: match statistics
Cosenza is displaying significantly better form, picking up 2.6 points per game in their last five outings with an impressive five-match unbeaten streak (4 wins, 1 draw). Virtus Casarano has a weaker overall record (11-7-13) and only 1.4 points per game in their last five. The visitors demonstrate greater offensive efficiency (49 goals this season compared to the hosts' 42) and a more solid defense (32 goals conceded vs 51). Despite Casarano's home advantage (47% win rate), Cosenza maintains decent away efficiency with a 33% clean sheet rate and a 0 goal difference. The disparity in current form and team quality favors the visitors, though Cosenza's high away draw percentage (53%) suggests the match could be tight. Considering all factors, a Cosenza win is the most probable outcome, keeping in mind their tendency to draw on the road.
Virtus Casarano vs Cosenza: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Virtus Casarano played Cosenza in Serie C Group C (Italy). The match was played on 14 March 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Virtus Casarano: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Cosenza: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Virtus Casarano scores 1.35 and concedes 1.65 goals per match. Cosenza scores 1.58 and concedes 1.03. League average: 2.47 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Virtus Casarano 55%, Cosenza 55%. Over 2.5: Virtus Casarano 61%, Cosenza 55%. League level: BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 46%.
xG, shots and style
Cosenza has higher xG: 1.43 vs 1.20. Virtus Casarano: 9.2 shots per match, Cosenza: 11.4.
Match halves
Virtus Casarano: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.84. Cosenza: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 1.03.
Goals by minute
Virtus Casarano: 76-90+ (12 goals). Cosenza: 76-90+ (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie C Group C: 2.47 goals per match, BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 46%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Cosenza is displaying significantly better form, picking up 2.6 points per game in their last five outings with an impressive five-match unbeaten streak (4 wins, 1 draw). Virtus Casarano has a weaker overall record (11-7-13) and only 1.4 points per game in their last five. The visitors demonstrate greater offensive efficiency (49 goals this season compared to the hosts' 42) and a more solid defense (32 goals conceded vs 51). Despite Casarano's home advantage (47% win rate), Cosenza maintains decent away efficiency with a 33% clean sheet rate and a 0 goal difference. The disparity in current form and team quality favors the visitors, though Cosenza's high away draw percentage (53%) suggests the match could be tight. Considering all factors, a Cosenza win is the most probable outcome, keeping in mind their tendency to draw on the road.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Virtus Casarano | Cosenza | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Cosenza is 86% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Virtus Casarano · 2.6 pts / match - Cosenza
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Cosenza is 17% better for: goals scored per match.
1.35 goals / match - Virtus Casarano · 1.58 goals / match - Cosenza
Cosenza is 60% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.65 goals / match - Virtus Casarano · 1.03 goals / match - Cosenza
Virtus Casarano scores in 77% of matches (24 of 31 matches), while Cosenza keeps a clean sheet in 32% (10 of 31 matches).
Cosenza scores in 77% of matches (24 of 31 matches), while Virtus Casarano keeps a clean sheet in 26% (8 of 31 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Virtus Casarano
Over / Under - Cosenza
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Cosenza is 10% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.23 pts / match - Virtus Casarano · 1.35 pts / match - Cosenza
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Virtus Casarano - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Cosenza - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 52%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Virtus Casarano
Cosenza
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group C).
Teams vs league
| Virtus Casarano | Liga | Cosenza | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.00 | 2.47 | ▲ 2.61 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 55% | 48% | ▲ 55% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 61% | 46% | ▲ 55% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 26% | 30% | ▲ 32% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 71% | 66% | ▲ 74% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 84% | 78% | • 77% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Virtus Casarano 0 - 0 - 1 Cosenza. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Virtus Casarano vs Cosenza?
The Serie C Group C match finished Virtus Casarano 2:1 Cosenza. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Virtus Casarano vs Cosenza?
Virtus Casarano score 1.35 goals per game on average and Cosenza 1.58. The Serie C Group C average is 2.47 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 55% of Virtus Casarano's matches and 55% of Cosenza's.
What form are Virtus Casarano and Cosenza in?
Over the last 5 games Virtus Casarano have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Cosenza 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Virtus Casarano vs Cosenza?
The statistical background for Virtus Casarano vs Cosenza — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.