Virtus Casarano vs Picerno: match statistics
Virtus Casarano demonstrates solid home form with 45% of matches won at home and an impressive +4 goal difference on their own turf. The hosts maintain 55% clean sheets in domestic matches, evidencing a stable defense in front of their own crowd. Picerno, on the other hand, struggles on the road, losing as many as 55% of away matches and conceding an average of 1.91 goals per game, with a negative goal difference of -9. Although the recent form of both teams is not impressive, Casarano holds an advantage in possession (52% vs 44%) and a better xG conversion rate in home matches. Considering all statistics, the hosts' advantage is visible, though the weak form in the last five matches for both sides suggests the possibility of a draw or a low score. Casarano should exploit the home field advantage and secure three points in this clash.
Virtus Casarano vs Picerno: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Virtus Casarano played Picerno in Serie C Group C (Italy). The match was played on 24 January 2026. Final score: 2:2.
Current form
Virtus Casarano: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. Picerno: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Virtus Casarano scores 1.32 and concedes 1.68 goals per match. Picerno scores 1.09 and concedes 1.73. League average: 2.50 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Virtus Casarano 45%, Picerno 64%. Over 2.5: Virtus Casarano 59%, Picerno 59%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 49%.
xG, shots and style
Picerno has higher xG: 1.17 vs 1.16. Virtus Casarano: 8.9 shots per match, Picerno: 9.3.
Match halves
Virtus Casarano: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.77. Picerno: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 0.50.
Goals by minute
Virtus Casarano: 76-90+ (9 goals). Picerno: 16-30 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie C Group C: 2.50 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 49%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Virtus Casarano demonstrates solid home form with 45% of matches won at home and an impressive +4 goal difference on their own turf. The hosts maintain 55% clean sheets in domestic matches, evidencing a stable defense in front of their own crowd. Picerno, on the other hand, struggles on the road, losing as many as 55% of away matches and conceding an average of 1.91 goals per game, with a negative goal difference of -9. Although the recent form of both teams is not impressive, Casarano holds an advantage in possession (52% vs 44%) and a better xG conversion rate in home matches. Considering all statistics, the hosts' advantage is visible, though the weak form in the last five matches for both sides suggests the possibility of a draw or a low score. Casarano should exploit the home field advantage and secure three points in this clash.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Virtus Casarano | Picerno | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Picerno is 100% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Virtus Casarano · 1.2 pts / match - Picerno
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Virtus Casarano is 21% better for: goals scored per match.
1.32 goals / match - Virtus Casarano · 1.09 goals / match - Picerno
Virtus Casarano scores in 73% of matches (16 of 22 matches), while Picerno keeps a clean sheet in 14% (3 of 22 matches).
Picerno scores in 73% of matches (16 of 22 matches), while Virtus Casarano keeps a clean sheet in 32% (7 of 22 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Virtus Casarano
Over / Under - Picerno
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Virtus Casarano - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Picerno - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 18%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Virtus Casarano
Picerno
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group C).
Teams vs league
| Virtus Casarano | Liga | Picerno | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.00 | 2.50 | ▲ 2.82 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 45% | 50% | ▲ 64% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 59% | 49% | ▲ 59% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 32% | 29% | ▼ 14% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 73% | 65% | ▲ 82% |
| Goal after half-time | • 77% | 78% | ▲ 82% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Virtus Casarano 1 - 0 - 0 Picerno. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Virtus Casarano vs Picerno?
The Serie C Group C match finished Virtus Casarano 2:2 Picerno. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Virtus Casarano vs Picerno?
Virtus Casarano score 1.32 goals per game on average and Picerno 1.09. The Serie C Group C average is 2.50 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 45% of Virtus Casarano's matches and 64% of Picerno's.
What form are Virtus Casarano and Picerno in?
Over the last 5 games Virtus Casarano have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Picerno 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Virtus Casarano vs Picerno?
The statistical background for Virtus Casarano vs Picerno — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.