Virtus Casarano vs SSC Giugliano: match statistics
Virtus Casarano vs SSC Giugliano: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Virtus Casarano played SSC Giugliano in Serie C Group C (Italy). The match was played on 29 March 2026. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Virtus Casarano: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. SSC Giugliano: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Virtus Casarano scores 1.36 and concedes 1.61 goals per match. SSC Giugliano scores 0.94 and concedes 1.42. League average: 2.49 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Virtus Casarano 58%, SSC Giugliano 45%. Over 2.5: Virtus Casarano 61%, SSC Giugliano 48%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 47%.
xG, shots and style
SSC Giugliano has higher xG: 1.38 vs 1.19. Virtus Casarano: 9.1 shots per match, SSC Giugliano: 11.3.
Match halves
Virtus Casarano: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.82. SSC Giugliano: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.52.
Goals by minute
Virtus Casarano: 76-90+ (13 goals). SSC Giugliano: 76-90+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie C Group C: 2.49 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 47%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I predict a home win based on clear advantages in key home stats. Virtus Casarano win 50% at home, score 1.44 and concede 0.94 per home match, while SSC Giugliano have only 13% away wins, score 0.75 and concede 1.56. Hosts have higher xG (1.26 vs 1.15), better conversion (15% vs 8%) and more SoT (4 vs 2.88), producing greater offensive threat. Visitors fail to score more often (FTS 38% vs 19%) and have lower CS%, further favoring the home team. With comparable recent form, the statistical advantage reduces the likelihood of a draw.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams tend to concede — Casarano 1.29 GA/match, Giugliano 1.56 — supporting BTTS. Season BTTS 41% hosts and 50% guests vs league 50%, but last5 Casarano 100% BTTS and Giugliano 60% are significant signals. Low CS rates (24% and 19%), higher home xG (1.6) and high xG_against for visitors (1.64) indicate chance creation and allowance. Shot stats (13.3 vs 9.2) and conversion suggest at least one goal each is likely; recommend BTTS: Yes.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
xG (1.60 vs 1.15) and opponent defensive xG (1.64 vs 1.45) suggest expected values 1.62 for home and 1.30 for away, total 2.92 goals. Home side dominates shots (13.29 vs 9.19) and SOT (3.82 vs 2.88) with similar efficiency, raising scoring probability. Season Over 1.5 rates (65% home, 56% away) and high BTTS share (41% vs 50%) support over. Last5 showed substantial goals (14 in five for home, 7 for away), confirming offensive momentum. Strongest data signal: play Over 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
HT data show a high frequency of draws at half-time and I predict HT draw as the most probable scenario, driven by average leadingAtHT values (29% for hosts vs 13% for guests) and a high drawingAtHT coefficient. After the break the hosts have better xG, more shots and higher PPG, suggesting a second-half advantage and greater chances to reverse the score in favor of the home side. Goal timing stats also show Virtus Casarano score more late goals (mins 76–90) and have higher xG/shot averages, supporting a FT home win from an HT draw. Giugliano’s weaker away metrics (lower xG and PPG) reduce the probability of keeping a goalless split. Consequently the most reliable signal is HT draw → FT home win (X/1).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Virtus Casarano | SSC Giugliano | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.38 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Virtus Casarano is 14% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Virtus Casarano · 1.4 pts / match - SSC Giugliano
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Virtus Casarano is 45% better for: goals scored per match.
1.36 goals / match - Virtus Casarano · 0.94 goals / match - SSC Giugliano
SSC Giugliano is 13% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.61 goals / match - Virtus Casarano · 1.42 goals / match - SSC Giugliano
Virtus Casarano scores in 79% of matches (26 of 33 matches), while SSC Giugliano keeps a clean sheet in 21% (7 of 33 matches).
SSC Giugliano scores in 61% of matches (20 of 33 matches), while Virtus Casarano keeps a clean sheet in 24% (8 of 33 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Virtus Casarano
Over / Under - SSC Giugliano
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Virtus Casarano is 20% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.27 pts / match - Virtus Casarano · 1.06 pts / match - SSC Giugliano
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Virtus Casarano - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
SSC Giugliano - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 24%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Virtus Casarano
SSC Giugliano
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group C).
Teams vs league
| Virtus Casarano | Liga | SSC Giugliano | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.97 | 2.49 | ▼ 2.36 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 58% | 50% | ▼ 45% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 61% | 47% | • 48% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 24% | 29% | ▼ 21% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 70% | 66% | • 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 85% | 79% | ▲ 82% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Virtus Casarano 1 - 0 - 0 SSC Giugliano. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Virtus Casarano vs SSC Giugliano?
The Serie C Group C match finished Virtus Casarano 2:0 SSC Giugliano. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Virtus Casarano vs SSC Giugliano?
Virtus Casarano score 1.36 goals per game on average and SSC Giugliano 0.94. The Serie C Group C average is 2.49 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 58% of Virtus Casarano's matches and 45% of SSC Giugliano's.
What form are Virtus Casarano and SSC Giugliano in?
Over the last 5 games Virtus Casarano have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and SSC Giugliano 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Virtus Casarano vs SSC Giugliano?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Virtus Casarano vs SSC Giugliano: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.