Vis Pesaro vs Athletic Carpi: match statistics
Vis Pesaro vs Athletic Carpi: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Vis Pesaro played Athletic Carpi in Serie C Group B (Italy). The match was played on 12 April 2026. Final score: 3:0.
Current form
Vis Pesaro: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Athletic Carpi: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Vis Pesaro scores 1.00 and concedes 0.97 goals per match. Athletic Carpi scores 0.97 and concedes 1.27. League average: 2.25 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Vis Pesaro 52%, Athletic Carpi 48%. Over 2.5: Vis Pesaro 36%, Athletic Carpi 33%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 39%.
xG, shots and style
Athletic Carpi has higher xG: 1.43 vs 1.39. Vis Pesaro: 10.7 shots per match, Athletic Carpi: 12.0.
Match halves
Vis Pesaro: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.52. Athletic Carpi: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.55.
Goals by minute
Vis Pesaro: 0-15 (9 goals). Athletic Carpi: 76-90+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie C Group B: 2.25 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 39%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Vis Pesaro holds a clear defensive advantage: at home they concede an average of 0.88 goals per game, while Athletic Carpi concedes 1.50 on the road, and the hosts’ goal difference is +1 versus Carpi’s -10 away. Offensively the numbers are similar, but the hosts create slightly better chances — Vis posts home xG of 1.54 and scores 0.94 goals with 4.25 shots on target per game, while Carpi has xG 1.43, 0.88 goals and 3.75 shots on target away. In the last 5 matches Vis has averaged 1.4 points, scored 5 and conceded 4, whereas Carpi averages 1.0 point, with 7 scored and 7 conceded, indicating greater stability for the hosts. Additionally Vis loses only 25% of home games and keeps 38% clean sheets, while Carpi concedes in 56% of away fixtures, has 25% clean sheets and a higher share of matches without scoring (38% vs 31% for Vis), which increases the likelihood of a home success. Based on this, I tip a Vis Pesaro win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Statistical analysis indicates BTTS - Yes is more likely: Vis Pesaro has a seasonal BTTS rate of 59% vs 38% for Athletic Carpi, with the league average at 50% BTTS matches. In the last 5 fixtures the signal favors BTTS for Carpi (80% BTTS) while Pesaro sits at 40% in their last 5, which increases the probability of both teams scoring. Both sides generate similar xG (1.42 vs 1.43) and concede on average 1.06 and 1.5 goals per match this season, and clean sheet expected rates are low (24% and 25%), so the risk of a No Goal match is limited. Carpi averaged 1.4 goals in their last 5 matches (Pesaro 1.0), and shots on target 3.75 vs 3.24 indicate the visitors can create chances; however Carpi failed to score in 38% of matches this season, which reduces certainty. Therefore I predict a moderate edge for BTTS - Yes with a probability of 60% vs 40%.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The xG model shows significant goal potential: home xG_for 1.42 and away 1.43 (total ~2.85), and comparison with xG_conceded (home 1.44, away 1.52) yields xG-based values of ~1.47 and ~1.44. However, seasonal average goals scored are lower: Vis Pesaro 1.06 and Athletic Carpi 0.88, and shot conversion rates are only 9% and 7%, so after weighing xG and efficiency I project 1.28 goals for the home side and 1.16 for the visitors (total 2.44). In the last 5 matches Vis Pesaro scored 5 and conceded 4, while Athletic Carpi scored 7 and conceded 7, with the home side’s recent xG_conceded at 2.05, which increases the risk of goals from both teams. Historically the 1.5 line is strong (home Over1.5 in 82% of matches, away in 63%), hence I rate Over 1.5 at ~70%, whereas the 2.5 line (seasonal Over 29% and 38%) is less convincing (Over ~44%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
I back 1/1: Vis Pesaro led at the break in 60% of their last 5 matches, whereas Athletic Carpi did so in only 20% of their last 5, which provides a strong signal in favor of the home side for the first half. The hosts score an average of 0.47 goals by half-time, while the visitors concede an average of 0.88 goals by half-time, so Pesaro has a higher probability of opening the scoring before the break. Over 90 minutes Vis Pesaro averages 1.06 goals with an xG of 1.42, and Athletic Carpi concedes 1.50 goals on average with xG against of 1.52, which suggests a home advantage through full-time as well. Additionally, the hosts accumulated 22 points at the break (1.29 per match) versus the visitors’ 11 points (0.69 per match), and the shot conversion rate is 9% compared to 7% for the visitors — this confirms 1/1 as the most likely Half-Time/Full-Time scenario.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Vis Pesaro | Athletic Carpi | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 29% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Vis Pesaro is 40% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Vis Pesaro · 1 pts / match - Athletic Carpi
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Vis Pesaro is 31% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.97 goals / match - Vis Pesaro · 1.27 goals / match - Athletic Carpi
Vis Pesaro scores in 70% of matches (23 of 33 matches), while Athletic Carpi keeps a clean sheet in 24% (8 of 33 matches).
Athletic Carpi scores in 70% of matches (23 of 33 matches), while Vis Pesaro keeps a clean sheet in 33% (11 of 33 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Vis Pesaro
Over / Under - Athletic Carpi
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Vis Pesaro is 48% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.48 pts / match - Vis Pesaro · 1 pts / match - Athletic Carpi
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Vis Pesaro - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 30%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Athletic Carpi - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 27%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Vis Pesaro
Athletic Carpi
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group B).
Teams vs league
| Vis Pesaro | Liga | Athletic Carpi | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.97 | 2.25 | • 2.24 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 52% | 49% | • 48% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 36% | 39% | ▼ 33% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 30% | ▼ 24% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 58% | 63% | ▲ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 70% | 72% | • 73% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Vis Pesaro 0 - 1 - 0 Athletic Carpi. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Vis Pesaro vs Athletic Carpi?
The Serie C Group B match finished Vis Pesaro 3:0 Athletic Carpi. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Vis Pesaro vs Athletic Carpi?
Vis Pesaro score 1.00 goals per game on average and Athletic Carpi 0.97. The Serie C Group B average is 2.25 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 39% of games. Both teams score in 52% of Vis Pesaro's matches and 48% of Athletic Carpi's.
What form are Vis Pesaro and Athletic Carpi in?
Over the last 5 games Vis Pesaro have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Athletic Carpi 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Vis Pesaro vs Athletic Carpi?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.