Vis Pesaro vs Forlì: match statistics
Vis Pesaro displays solid home form with 40% wins and an impressive 50% clean sheets at their own stadium, making them a tough opponent for visitors. Forlì is experiencing a serious away crisis with a high 64% defeat rate and only 27% wins on the road, while their goal difference stands at -9. The visitors' recent form is alarming – just 1 point in the last 5 matches and only 1 goal scored while conceding 10. Vis Pesaro holds an advantage in efficiency (8% vs 10% shot conversion) and a significantly better home defense (0.8 vs 1.73 goals conceded on average). Considering all statistics, the hosts have a clear advantage, although their own inconsistency (40% draws at home) does not allow for a very high win probability. Forlì has 55% of away matches without scoring a goal, which further supports the home win scenario.
Vis Pesaro vs Forlì: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Vis Pesaro played Forlì in Serie C Group B (Italy). The match was played on 8 February 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Vis Pesaro: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Forlì: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Vis Pesaro scores 1.05 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Forlì scores 1.14 and concedes 1.50. League average: 2.25 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Vis Pesaro 50%, Forlì 50%. Over 2.5: Vis Pesaro 36%, Forlì 45%. League level: BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 37%.
xG, shots and style
Forlì has higher xG: 1.49 vs 1.44. Vis Pesaro: 10.9 shots per match, Forlì: 11.3.
Match halves
Vis Pesaro: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.55. Forlì: half-time lead 23%, second-half goals 0.77.
Goals by minute
Vis Pesaro: 76-90+ (6 goals). Forlì: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie C Group B: 2.25 goals per match, BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 37%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Vis Pesaro displays solid home form with 40% wins and an impressive 50% clean sheets at their own stadium, making them a tough opponent for visitors. Forlì is experiencing a serious away crisis with a high 64% defeat rate and only 27% wins on the road, while their goal difference stands at -9. The visitors' recent form is alarming – just 1 point in the last 5 matches and only 1 goal scored while conceding 10. Vis Pesaro holds an advantage in efficiency (8% vs 10% shot conversion) and a significantly better home defense (0.8 vs 1.73 goals conceded on average). Considering all statistics, the hosts have a clear advantage, although their own inconsistency (40% draws at home) does not allow for a very high win probability. Forlì has 55% of away matches without scoring a goal, which further supports the home win scenario.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Vis Pesaro | Forlì | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Vis Pesaro is 500% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Vis Pesaro · 0.2 pts / match - Forlì
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Forlì is 9% better for: goals scored per match.
1.05 goals / match - Vis Pesaro · 1.14 goals / match - Forlì
Vis Pesaro is 50% better for: goals conceded per match.
1 goals / match - Vis Pesaro · 1.5 goals / match - Forlì
Vis Pesaro scores in 73% of matches (16 of 22 matches), while Forlì keeps a clean sheet in 18% (4 of 22 matches).
Forlì scores in 64% of matches (14 of 22 matches), while Vis Pesaro keeps a clean sheet in 36% (8 of 22 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Vis Pesaro
Over / Under - Forlì
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Vis Pesaro is 15% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.36 pts / match - Vis Pesaro · 1.18 pts / match - Forlì
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Vis Pesaro - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 32%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Forlì - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 23% of matches and wins 32%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -4 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -6 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Vis Pesaro
Forlì
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group B).
Teams vs league
| Vis Pesaro | Liga | Forlì | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.05 | 2.25 | ▲ 2.64 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 50% | 47% | ▲ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 36% | 37% | ▲ 45% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 36% | 31% | ▼ 18% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 68% | 62% | ▼ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 68% | 71% | ▲ 86% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Vis Pesaro 0 - 0 - 1 Forlì. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Vis Pesaro vs Forlì?
The Serie C Group B match finished Vis Pesaro 1:1 Forlì. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Vis Pesaro vs Forlì?
Vis Pesaro score 1.05 goals per game on average and Forlì 1.14. The Serie C Group B average is 2.25 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 37% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Vis Pesaro's matches and 50% of Forlì's.
What form are Vis Pesaro and Forlì in?
Over the last 5 games Vis Pesaro have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Forlì 0-1-4 (0.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Vis Pesaro vs Forlì?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.