Vis Pesaro vs Grosseto: match statistics
Vis Pesaro vs Grosseto: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Vis Pesaro played Grosseto in Serie C Group B (Italy). The match was played on 10 October 2026. Venue: Stadio Tonino Benelli. Final score: 2:3.
Current form
Vis Pesaro: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. Grosseto: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Vis Pesaro scores 1.14 and concedes 2.29 goals per match. Grosseto scores 1.75 and concedes 0.88. League average: 2.51 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Vis Pesaro 86%, Grosseto 50%. Over 2.5: Vis Pesaro 86%, Grosseto 50%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 46%.
xG, shots and style
Grosseto has higher xG: 1.82 vs 1.20. Vis Pesaro: 9.7 shots per match, Grosseto: 16.0.
Match halves
Vis Pesaro: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.71. Grosseto: half-time lead 63%, second-half goals 0.75.
Goals by minute
Vis Pesaro: 46-60 (4 goals). Grosseto: 16-30 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie C Group B: 2.51 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 46%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Grosseto are the favourites: they have won 4 of their 8 matches this season, while Vis Pesaro have won just 1 of 7. In their last five matches, the visitors picked up 8 points compared with 3 for the hosts; Vis Pesaro also lost 4 times and conceded 12 goals. Grosseto average 2 goals per away match, while Vis Pesaro concede 2.25 per home match, pointing to a clear attacking advantage for the visitors. The quality of chances created reinforces this, with Grosseto recording an away xG of 1.91 compared with Vis Pesaro’s 1.43 at home. Grosseto have kept a clean sheet in 67% of their away matches and conceded an average of 0.33 goals in them, making an away win the most likely outcome.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
BTTS - Yes landed in all of Vis Pesaro’s last 5 matches. During that spell, they averaged 1.2 goals scored and conceded as many as 2.4. Grosseto averaged 1.8 goals in their last 5 matches, giving them a clear basis to exploit the hosts’ defensive problems. Although the visitors kept a clean sheet in 67% of their matches this season, they allow opponents chances worth an average of 1.48 xG, while Vis Pesaro have scored in every match they have played this season. BTTS has landed in only 33% of Grosseto’s matches, which tempers confidence in the prediction; however, the combination of the hosts’ scoring form and weak defence points to a goal for both teams.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Vis Pesaro’s last 5 matches averaged 3.6 goals, while Grosseto’s matches averaged 2.8; 100% and 60% of those matches, respectively, finished with at least 3 goals. The home side conceded an average of 2.4 goals during this period, with an xG against of 2.21, which favors the visitors’ attack, as they scored an average of 1.8 goals. On the other hand, Vis Pesaro scored an average of 1.2 goals, while Grosseto conceded only 1.0 per match, so I assess the chances of 3 or more goals more cautiously. The Over 1.5 goals line has the strongest statistical backing: it has landed in all of the home side’s matches so far and in 67% of the visitors’ matches, supporting this pick despite greater uncertainty at higher lines.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest signal is Grosseto leading at the break and holding that advantage through to the final whistle. In their last five matches, the visitors led at half-time three times, while Vis Pesaro did so only once; during this period, the hosts conceded an average of 1.4 goals before the break, while the visitors scored 1.2. The case for Grosseto maintaining their lead is also supported by their full-time form: Vis Pesaro have lost four of their last five matches and conceded an average of 2.4 goals, compared with 1.0 conceded by Grosseto. The visitors have won two of their last five matches and drawn two more, strengthening the case for an away win, although Vis Pesaro’s half-time lead in three of their last five home matches remains a significant risk to the 2/2 pick.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Vis Pesaro | Grosseto | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 29% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.40 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Grosseto is 167% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Vis Pesaro · 1.6 pts / match - Grosseto
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Grosseto is 54% better for: goals scored per match.
1.14 goals / match - Vis Pesaro · 1.75 goals / match - Grosseto
Grosseto is 160% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.29 goals / match - Vis Pesaro · 0.88 goals / match - Grosseto
Vis Pesaro scores in 86% of matches (6 of 7 matches), while Grosseto keeps a clean sheet in 50% (4 of 8 matches).
Grosseto scores in 88% of matches (7 of 8 matches), while Vis Pesaro keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 7 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Vis Pesaro
Over / Under - Grosseto
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Grosseto is 182% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.71 pts / match - Vis Pesaro · 2 pts / match - Grosseto
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Vis Pesaro - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 14%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Grosseto - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 63% of matches and wins 50%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +4 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (3 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Vis Pesaro
Grosseto
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group B).
Teams vs league
| Vis Pesaro | Liga | Grosseto | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.43 | 2.51 | ▲ 2.63 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 86% | 56% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 86% | 46% | ▲ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 26% | ▲ 50% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 86% | 71% | ▲ 88% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 86% | 73% | ▲ 88% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Vis Pesaro vs Grosseto?
The Serie C Group B match finished Vis Pesaro 2:3 Grosseto. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Vis Pesaro vs Grosseto?
Vis Pesaro score 1.14 goals per game on average and Grosseto 1.75. The Serie C Group B average is 2.51 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 86% of Vis Pesaro's matches and 50% of Grosseto's.
What form are Vis Pesaro and Grosseto in?
Over the last 5 games Vis Pesaro have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Grosseto 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Vis Pesaro vs Grosseto?
The statistical background for Vis Pesaro vs Grosseto — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.