Vis Pesaro vs Perugia: match statistics
Vis Pesaro vs Perugia: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Vis Pesaro played Perugia in Serie C Group B (Italy). The match was played on 29 March 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Vis Pesaro: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. Perugia: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Vis Pesaro scores 1.03 and concedes 0.94 goals per match. Perugia scores 1.03 and concedes 1.23. League average: 2.27 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Vis Pesaro 52%, Perugia 58%. Over 2.5: Vis Pesaro 35%, Perugia 42%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 39%.
xG, shots and style
Perugia has higher xG: 1.56 vs 1.42. Vis Pesaro: 11.0 shots per match, Perugia: 13.0.
Match halves
Vis Pesaro: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.55. Perugia: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.55.
Goals by minute
Vis Pesaro: 0-15 (8 goals). Perugia: 16-30 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie C Group B: 2.27 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 39%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Vis Pesaro have a clear home advantage: only 0.87 conceded per match, 40% CS and 2.2 points in the last 5. xG and SoT stats (1.58 xG, 4.4 SOT) indicate better creation quality at home than the visitors show away. Perugia perform poorly away — 1.53 goals conceded per match, only 7% clean sheets and 47% away losses — suggesting defensive vulnerability. Both teams have similar season goal totals, but Vis Pesaro’s defensive edge and form make them favorites. The forecast also factors in higher conversion and better recent runs for the hosts.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Data point to strong BTTS probability: Perugia season BTTS 67% and last5 80%; Vis Pesaro season 50% and last5 60%. Perugia rarely keep clean sheets (CS 7%) and concede 1.53 on average; Vis Pesaro also have low CS (25%), increasing mutual scoring chances. xG and shot stats show both create opportunities (xG_for 1.75 vs 1.34; SOT 4.63 vs 3.40) and can score. Recent last5 goals (gf_last5 7 and 6; ga_last5 3 and 5) confirm regular scoring and conceding. Recommend BTTS = Yes.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
xG-based model shows 1.63 expected for Vis Pesaro and 1.31 for Perugia (total 2.94), indicating high probability of at least two goals. Season metrics show strong Over 1.5 likelihood for both (69% and 80%) and relatively frequent BTTS, especially from Perugia. Perugia concedes often (ga_season_away 38, conceded xG 1.51) while Vis Pesaro is effective at generating xG and SOT. Shot and xG stats favor increased scoring opportunities, yielding a clear Over 1.5 signal. Recommend playing Over 1.5 as the strongest available signal.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
I expect a draw in the first half (high seasonCSPercentageHT_home 69% and low HT goal averages indicate many 0:0/1:1 HT results). Vis Pesaro have better xG and higher shot averages and superior last-5 form, giving them an advantage in the second half. Perugia have higher overall shooting averages but also clearly higher average goals conceded (seasonConcededAVG_away 1.53), which favors the hosts late on. HT stats suggest a goalless or drawn interval, while the hosts’ offensive and defensive quality increases the probability of a home win by full-time. Recommendation: HT draw → FT home win (X/1).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Vis Pesaro | Perugia | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.26 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Vis Pesaro is 38% better for: last-5 form.
2.2 pts / match - Vis Pesaro · 1.6 pts / match - Perugia
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Vis Pesaro is 31% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.94 goals / match - Vis Pesaro · 1.23 goals / match - Perugia
Vis Pesaro scores in 71% of matches (22 of 31 matches), while Perugia keeps a clean sheet in 16% (5 of 31 matches).
Perugia scores in 68% of matches (21 of 31 matches), while Vis Pesaro keeps a clean sheet in 35% (11 of 31 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Vis Pesaro
Over / Under - Perugia
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Vis Pesaro is 22% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.45 pts / match - Vis Pesaro · 1.19 pts / match - Perugia
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Vis Pesaro - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 32%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Perugia - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 23%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Vis Pesaro
Perugia
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group B).
Teams vs league
| Vis Pesaro | Liga | Perugia | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.97 | 2.27 | • 2.26 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 52% | 50% | ▲ 58% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 35% | 39% | ▲ 42% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 35% | 30% | ▼ 16% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 58% | 63% | ▲ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 68% | 72% | ▲ 74% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Vis Pesaro 0 - 0 - 1 Perugia. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Vis Pesaro vs Perugia?
The Serie C Group B match finished Vis Pesaro 0:1 Perugia. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Vis Pesaro vs Perugia?
Vis Pesaro score 1.03 goals per game on average and Perugia 1.03. The Serie C Group B average is 2.27 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 39% of games. Both teams score in 52% of Vis Pesaro's matches and 58% of Perugia's.
What form are Vis Pesaro and Perugia in?
Over the last 5 games Vis Pesaro have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Perugia 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Vis Pesaro vs Perugia?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Vis Pesaro vs Perugia: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.